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The Virginia Cavaliers (1-5, 0-2 ACC) and North Carolina Tar Heels (6-0, 3-0) meet Saturday at Kenan Stadium. Kickoff is scheduled for 6:30 p.m. ET (CW Network). Below, we analyze BetMGM Sportsbook’s lines around the Virginia vs. North Carolina odds, and make our expert college football picks and predictions.
The Cavaliers have been hot garbage for most of the season. While they picked up a feel-good 27-13 win against William & Mary of the FCS to earn their first victory of the season, Virginia is still winless in 5 tries against FBS opponents. On a positive note, it has covered in each of its 2 ACC outings.
The Tar Heels cracked the Top 10 with a 40-7 thumping of Syracuse 2 weeks ago. UNC has not only won all 6 games, but the Tar Heels have posted 3 straight wins inside the conference by 10 or more points, while winning 4 straight by 10+ points. UNC has covered 4 in a row, too.
North Carolina is No. 10 in the US LBM Coaches Poll powered by USA TODAY Sports.
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Virginia at North Carolina odds
Provided by BetMGM Sportsbook; access USA TODAY Sports Scores and Sports Betting Odds hub for a full list. Lines last updated at 9:27 a.m. ET.
- Moneyline (ML): Virginia +1100 (bet $100 to win $1,100) | North Carolina -2500 (bet $2,500 to win $100)
- Against the spread (ATS): Virginia +23.5 (-105) | North Carolina -23.5 (-115)
- Over/Under (O/U): 57.5 (O: -115 | U: -105)
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Virginia at North Carolina picks and predictions
Prediction
North Carolina 45, Virginia 20
Moneyline
North Carolina (-2500) will cost you 25 times your potential return, or in other words, $4 profit for every $100 risked. If you need $4 that badly, go turn in some aluminum cans, or buy a metal detector and check for coins at the beach. Anything is better than risking that much for so little.
AVOID.
Against the spread
NORTH CAROLINA -23.5 (-115) is a risky play in this one, believe it or not. This is the longest-running rivalry in the South, as these teams meet for the 129th time. UNC leads the all-time series 66-58-4, while Virginia +23.5 (-105) has won 4 of the past 6.
That all being said, go with the Tar Heels. They’re a top-10 team, putting up 31 or more points in every game this season. Virginia is in bad shape, although it has covered 3 straight, including both ACC games. I just think QB Drake Maye and the offense picks this Hoos team apart, however.
Over/Under
OVER 57.5 (-115) is the play for this ACC tangle at Kenan, and UNC should do most of the heavy lifting to the total across the finish line.
This is a team which has posted 31 or more points in every game this season. Virginia has allowed 24 or more points in all 5 games against FBS opponents, cashing the Over at a 4-1 clip in those outings. Go high, and feel confident in doing so.
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