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The Virginia Cavaliers (5-2) face the No. 13 Florida Gators (8-0) Wednesday. Tip-off from Exactech Arena at Stephen C. O’Connell Center in Gainesville is set for 7:15 p.m. ET (ESPN2). Let’s analyze BetMGM Sportsbook’s college basketball odds around the Virginia vs. Florida odds, and make our expert college basketball picks and predictions.
The Cavaliers won their second consecutive game on Friday, defeating Holy Cross Crusader 67-41. They covered the 15.5-point spread as home favorites, with the Under 126 cashing. Sophomore G Dai Dai Ames led the team with 16 points. On defense, Virginia limited Holy Cross to just 22.7% (5-of-22) from beyond the arc.
Florida stayed perfect on Friday, securing an 88-51 win over the Wichita State Shockers. The Gators covered the 10.5-point spread comfortably, with the Under 155.5 hitting. Florida dominated the glass, out-rebounding Wichita State 56-30. Senior G Walter Clayton Jr. led with 19 points and sophomore C Rueben Chinyelu registered his first double-double of the season with 14 points, 11 rebounds, 4 assists, and 4 blocks.
– Rankings: USA TODAY Sports Men’s Basketball Coaches Poll
Stream select live college basketball games and full replays: Get ESPN+
Virginia at Florida odds
Provided by BetMGM Sportsbook; access USA TODAY Sports Scores and Sports Betting Odds hub for a full list of college basketball odds. Lines last updated at 12:16 a.m. ET.
- Moneyline (ML): Virginia +900 (bet $100 to win $900) | Florida -1600 (bet $1600 to win $100)
- Against the spread: Virginia +16.5 (-110) | Florida -16.5 (-110)
- Over/Under (O/U): 132.5 (O: -110 | U: -110)
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Virginia at Florida picks and predictions
Prediction
Florida 74, Virginia 55
Moneyline
PASS.
The Gators (-1600) will remain undefeated Wednesday night, but you can’t bet these outrageous odds. You should take your wager to the spread and/or total.
Against the spread
BET FLORIDA -16.5 (-110)
Virginia’s scoring struggles make it tough for them to compete, as they rank 352nd in the nation, averaging just 62.1 points per game. The Cavaliers play at the slowest pace in the country (62.2 possessions per game), which doesn’t help their offensive woes. They’ve also lost their last 5 games against AP-ranked teams.
Florida, in contrast, is a high-scoring, fast-paced team that dominates on the boards, ranking 3rd in the nation in rebounding. With 16 straight wins at home against non-AP-ranked teams, Florida’s offense is tough to stop. Virginia’s best chance is hitting 3-pointers, but that seems unlikely against this Gators team. This is a bad matchup for the Cavaliers.
Over/Under
BET UNDER 132.5 (-110).
Florida and Virginia are 2 of the best defensive teams in the nation, both ranking in the top 50 for defense. Together, they allow just 123.2 points per game on average, and both are 9-6 to the under this season. Florida has hit the under in 3 of its last 4 games.
Virginia’s offense has been a struggle, with their last game totaling only 108 points. The Cavaliers rank 336th in scoring, and their leading scorer, G Isaac McKneely, averages just 13.3 PPG. Meanwhile, Florida averages 86.5 points, but will face Virginia’s tough defense, which allows only 58.7 PPG, ranking 9th in the country.
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