The 22nd-ranked Virginia Cavaliers (8-2 overall, 4-0 ACC) visit the 12th-ranked Clemson Tigers (9-1, 3-1) Saturday for a 6 p.m. ET tip. Below, we analyze the Virginia-Clemson college basketball betting odds and lines, with picks and predictions.
Rankings courtesy of the Ferris Mowers Coaches Poll powered by USA TODAY Sports.
Virginia at Clemson: Betting odds, spread and lines
Odds via BetMGM; access USA TODAY Sports’ betting odds for a full list. Lines last updated at 6:40 a.m. ET.
- Money line: Virginia -140 (bet $140 to win $100) | Clemson +115 (bet $100 to win $115)
- Against the spread/ATS: Virginia -1.5 (-120) | Clemson +1.5 (+100)
- Over/Under: 116.5 (O: -115 | U: -105)
Virginia at Clemson: Three things to know
- Virginia has won 4 in a row and 7 of 8, most recently knocking off Notre Dame 80-68 as a 9.5-point home favorite Wednesday. Seven-foot-one senior F Jay Huff sank 4 3-pointers and finished with a game-high 18 points, while senior F Sam Hauser and sophomore G Casey Morsell added 15 points each. Hauser leads the Cavs in scoring (13.8 points per game) and rebounding (7.5 RPG).
- Clemson is also on a 4-game win streak, but it hasn’t played since Jan. 5 – a 74-70 overtime home victory vs. NC State. The Tigers’ last two games (at North Carolina and at Syracuse) were postponed due to a positive COVID-19 test within the program. Senior F Aamir Simms leads the Tigers with 12.6 PPG and 5.8 RPG.
- Virginia owns a 10-game win streak vs. Clemson dating back to Feb. 7, 2013. The Cavaliers won the lone head-to-head matchup last season 51-44 but failed to cover as 7.5-point home favorites. The Tigers have actually covered two of their last three tilts in the series, but are 3-6-1 ATS in the last 10.
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Virginia at Clemson: Odds, betting lines, predictions and picks
Prediction
Virginia 68, Clemson 63
Money line (ML)
PASS because it’s better to take the Cavaliers to cover than to pay more than -130 for the Virginia money line.
Against the spread (ATS)
VIRGINIA -1.5 (-120) is the right side in this game. The Cavaliers have covered four of their last five as favorites and the underdog is 3-8-1 ATS in the last 12 Virginia-Clemson meetings.
ATS: Virginia 6-4 | Clemson 6-3-1
Over/Under (O/U)
The OVER 116.5 (-115) is the STRONGEST PLAY – 1½ times your usual wager. While these ACC rivals feature top defenses, this number is just too low. I get it. Clemson ranks fifth in the country, allowing just 57.6 PPG, and Virginia is 13th at 60.3 PPG allowed.
The books have over-reacted partly because of last season’s 51-44 tilt. The Cavs held the Tigers to 14 first-half points in that one, and both teams were dreadful shooting-wise. Clemson was 17-for-52 (32.7%) from the field; Virginia was 17-for-46 (37.0%).
This season, Clemson’s field-goal percentage is 42.7%, and Virginia is at 49.7%. If they shoot like that, 117 total combined points shouldn’t be a problem.
O/U records: Virginia 5-5 | Clemson 5-5
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| Johnny’s 2020-21 CBK record / Strongest plays | 29-24 / 11-15 |
| CBK record since Jan. 1 / Strongest plays | 14-7 / 6-5 |
| 2021 overall record (all sports) / Strongest plays | 24-12 / 12-7 |
| 2020 overall record (all sports) / Strongest plays | 178-147-4 / 87-61-1 |
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