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The Utah State Aggies (11-1) open up conference play against the No. 20 San Diego State Aztecs (8-2) Saturday. Tip-off from Viejas Arena is set for 6 p.m. ET (FOX). Let’s analyze BetMGM Sportsbook’s college basketball odds around the Utah State vs. San Diego State odds, and make our expert college basketball picks and predictions.
Utah State rebounded from their first loss of the season Dec. 17 with an impressive 75-68 victory over the Saint Mary’s Gaels Sunday. They covered as 5.5-point road underdogs, while the 143-point total landed as a push. The Aggies dominated inside, outscoring the Gaels 40-22 in the paint. Guard Mason Falslev led the charge, contributing 18 points, 5 rebounds, and 2 assists in the much-needed win.
The Aztecs kept their hot streak alive with their 5th straight win, rolling past the California Golden Bears 71-50 Dec. 21. They easily covered as 5.5-point favorites, and the Under 143.5 hit. San Diego State’s defense was on fire, racking up 18 steals. G Nick Boyd was a standout, leading the team with 17 points and grabbing 4 of those steals.
– Rankings: USA TODAY Sports Men’s Basketball Coaches Poll
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Utah State at San Diego State odds
Provided by BetMGM Sportsbook; access USA TODAY Sports Scores and Sports Betting Odds hub for a full list of college basketball odds. Lines last updated at 11:20 a.m. ET.
- Moneyline (ML): Utah State +180 (bet $100 to win $180) | San Diego State -225 (bet $225 to win $100)
- Against the spread (ATS): Utah State +4.5 (-105) | San Diego State -4.5 (-115)
- Over/Under (O/U): 143.5 (O: -115 | U: -105)
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Utah State at San Diego State picks and predictions
Prediction
San Diego State 74, Utah State 67
Moneyline
PASS.
I’ve got San Diego State (-225) winning and covering at home Saturday. I’ll take my wager to the spread.
Against the spread
BET SAN DIEGO STATE -4.5 (-115).
This game features a clash of strengths: Utah State’s explosive offense against San Diego State’s lockdown defense. The Aggies are putting up 85.3 points per game (PPG), ranking 25th nationally, while the Aztecs are holding opponents to just 63.2 PPG, 22nd best in the country.
San Diego State has dominated Utah State at Viejas Arena, winning and covering the spread in the last 5 meetings. The Aztecs have already taken down top teams like the Creighton Bluejays and the No. 12 Houston Cougars, proving their toughness on big stages. Meanwhile, this is only Utah State’s second true road game of the season, making it a tough start to Mountain West play. Expect San Diego State to keep rolling and protect their home court Saturday night.
Over/Under
BET UNDER 143.5 (-105).
The Under has hit in 3 of the last 5 matchups between these teams, and Utah State, despite their offensive firepower, is 5-2-2 against the Under in their last 9 games. San Diego State has consistently shut down the Aggies at Viejas Arena, holding them to just 62.4 points per game in their last 5 meetings there. A big factor is the Aztecs’ ability to defend the 3, limiting opponents to just 29 percent from beyond the arc. That defensive pressure will likely disrupt Utah State’s high-scoring style.
San Diego State prefers to control the tempo and play at a slower pace, which should keep scoring in check. Expect a grind-it-out battle where the Under is firmly in play.
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