The Dallas Mavericks (27-21) host the Utah Jazz (38-11) Monday for a 7 p.m. ET game at American Airlines Center. Below, we analyze the Jazz-Mavericks odds and lines, with NBA picks and predictions.
Utah enters on a nine-game win streak (5-4 against the spread), but only one of the wins was over a team above-.500, which was the Brooklyn Nets who were without their Big 3.
The Jazz are 3.5 games ahead of the Phoenix Suns for first place in the Western Conference.
Dallas has won four in a row and six of its past eight games (6-2 ATS) with the two losses occurring when MVP contender PG Luka Doncic was sidelined with an injury.
Utah won and covered against Dallas in the first two meetings of the season in a back-to-back Jan. 27 and 29. The Jazz are 5-1 straight up in their last six games vs. the Mavs (4-1-1 ATS).
Jazz at Mavericks: Odds, spread and lines
Odds via BetMGM; access USA TODAY Sports’ betting odds for a full list. Lines last updated at 1:10 p.m. ET.
- Money line: Jazz -190 (bet $190 to win $100) | Mavericks +155 (bet $100 to win $155)
- Against the spread/ATS: Jazz -4.5 (-110) | Mavericks +4.5 (-110)
- Over/Under: 223.5 (O: -110 | U: -110)
Jazz at Mavericks: Key injuries
Jazz
- None
Mavericks
- PF Kristaps Porzingis (knee) questionable
- SG Josh Richardson (calf) questionable
- SG J.J. Redick (heel) out
- C Willie Cauley-Stein (health and safety protocols) out
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Jazz at Mavericks: Odds, lines, predictions and picks
Prediction
Jazz 118, Mavericks 111
Money line (ML)
PASS because Utah is the right side, especially with Dallas’ injury report, but the Jazz (-190) are a little out of my price range for an NBA regular-season favorite.
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Against the spread (ATS)
Utah grabbed 28 offensive rebounds to Dallas’s 12 in the back-to-back earlier this season and the Jazz have outrebounded the Mavs in six straight meetings.
Even if Porzings plays for Dallas, it shouldn’t matter much because he’s never outrebounded Jazz C Rudy Gobert in their eight career head-to-head meetings.
In fact, in those eight games, Gobert averaged 13.6 rebounds and 2.9 blocks per game to Porzingis’ 5.4 RPG. Also, Porzingis is shooting just 43.8% from the field and 35.3% from 3 against Gobert.
Lastly, Jazz PG Mike Conley teams are 5-0 vs. Doncic and the Mavs, including three wins while he’s been at Utah. Doncic shoots just 25% from 3 and throws 5 assists to 3 turnovers per game vs. Conley.
“LEAN” to JAZZ -4.5 (-110) for a half unit only because the Mavs are playing much better post-All-Star break.
Over/Under (O/U)
Let’s buck all the total trends in this game and BET 1 unit on OVER 223.5 (-110), but wait closer until tip-off because the market is betting the Under so we might get a cheaper price.
Since the All-Star game, the Jazz have continued their dominant offensive play, but the Mavs have the fourth-highest offensive rating and second-best effective field-goal percentage in their last 14 games.
One of these teams has scored at least 116 points in each of the last four meetings (2-2 O/U) and I think this Jazz-Mavericks game has more two-way action than the first two this season.
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