Utah Jazz at Charlotte Hornets odds, picks and predictions

Analyzing Friday’s Utah Jazz at Charlotte Hornets and lines, with NBA expert picks, predictions and best bets.

The Charlotte Hornets (37-36) host the Utah Jazz (45-28) Friday at the Spectrum Center for a 7 p.m. ET tip-off. Below, we look at the Jazz vs. Hornets odds and lines, and make our expert NBA picks, predictions and bets.

Utah has lost back-to-back outings at the Brooklyn Nets Monday (114-106) and at the Boston Celtics Wednesday (125-97). The Jazz are 4-3 straight up (SU) and 3-3-1 against the spread (ATS) over the past two weeks.

Charlotte had its 5-game winning streak (4-1 ATS) snapped in a 121-106 loss to the Knicks Wednesday in New York as 8.5-point road favorites.

The Jazz won their eighth straight meeting versus the Hornets Dec. 20, 112-102, but Charlotte covered as 12.5-point road underdogs, ending a 4-game ATS losing skid to Utah.

Jazz at Hornets odds, spread and lines

Odds provided by Tipico Sportsbook; access USA TODAY Sports Scores and Sports Betting Odds hub for a full list. Lines last updated at 1:10 p.m. ET.

  • Money line (ML): Jazz -175 (bet $175 to win $100) | Hornets +140 (bet $100 to win $140)
  • Against the spread (ATS): Jazz -3.5 (-120) | Hornets +3.5 (-105)
  • Over/Under (O/U): 228.5 (O: -107 | U: -115)

Jazz at Hornets key injuries

Jazz

  • SF Gordon Hayward (ankle) out

Hornets

  • SF Bojan Bogdanovic (calf) out
  • Hassan Whiteside (foot) questionable

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Jazz at Hornets odds, lines, picks and predictions

Prediction

Jazz 124, Hornets 112

Money line

PASS with a heavy “lean” to the Jazz (-175) because this is on the fringe of my price range for Utah in this spot. Betting the Jazz ATS has been very costly this season, so I’d much rather have Utah’s ML than sweat a cover.

But, I like fading the Jazz versus good teams and betting them against bad to mid-tier teams. My power rankings have the Hornets 17th, and Charlotte is overpriced in both the ML and ATS markets for this meeting.

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Against the spread

BET the JAZZ -3.5 (-120) because they should shred Charlotte’s porous defense, and Utah is at least three possessions better than the Hornets +3.5 (-107).

Furthermore, Utah runs the HIGHEST frequency of pick-and-roll (PnR) action through ball handlers and ranks FIRST in efficiency. While Charlotte has the fifth-WORST defensive efficiency versus PnR action through ball handlers.

If the Hornets get diced up in the PnR, it’s going to leave Utah’s 3-point shooters wide open. The Jazz are FIRST in effective field goal shooting (eFG%) and the Hornets are 25th in defensive eFG%.

On top of that, Charlotte’s defense ranks 22nd in shot quality allowed to catch-and-shoot 3-pointers and 23rd versus off-the-dribble 3s, according to ShotQuality.com.

Finally, I think we are getting a good price on the Jazz because they lost back-to-back games, and the Hornets won five straight from March 11-21.

But, Utah’s past two losses were against a red-hot Boston team, and Brooklyn, who has a top-five player on the planet in Kevin Durant. Charlotte is or has neither.

BET the JAZZ -3.5 (-120) for 1 unit all the way up to -5.

Over/Under

LEAN OVER 228.5 (-107) because Utah’s spread is my favorite wager in this game, and I’m skeptical of Charlotte’s offense in this spot. The Hornets like to attack the rim, which is an area Utah big Rudy Gobert locks down.

However, the Jazz’s offense should have a slump-buster outing against this weak Hornets defense. Plus Charlotte’s offense could find some success in transition, which is an area Utah’s defense struggles in.

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