[gambcom-standard rankid=”3011″ ]
The No. 17 Michigan Wolverines (2-1) welcome the No. 12 USC Trojans (2-0) for a Big Ten conference clash Saturday. Kickoff from Michigan Stadium is set for 3:30 p.m. ET (CBS). Let’s analyze BetMGM Sportsbook’s college football odds around the USC vs. Michigan odds, and make our expert college football picks and predictions.
The Wolverines beat Fresno State 30-10 to open the season and then lost 31-12 to the No. 2 Texas Longhorns at home in Week 2, failing to cover as a 6.5-point underdog. It then took down Arkansas State 28-18. Michigan is 0-3 against the spread (ATS), having yet to play on the road as well.
USC opened its season with a neutral-field battle against the No. 16 LSU Tigers and won 27-20 as a 4-point underdog. It then throttled Utah State 48-0 in Week 2 as a 31-point favorite. The Trojans are 2-0 ATS and 0-2 O/U. They are led by QB Miller Moss, who has thrown for 607 yards and has a 72.7% completion rate.
USC is No. 12 and Michigan is No. 17 in the US LBM Coaches Poll, conducted by the American Football Coaches Association and USA TODAY Sports
Stream select live college football games and full replays: Get ESPN+
USC at Michigan odds
Provided by BetMGM Sportsbook; access USA TODAY Sports Scores and Sports Betting Odds hub for a full list of college football odds. Lines last updated Friday at 6:01 p.m. ET.
- Moneyline (ML): USC -210 (bet $210 to win $100) | Michigan +170 (bet $100 to win $170)
- Against the spread (ATS): USC -4.5 (-115) | Michigan +4.5 (-105)
- Over/Under (O/U): 44 (O: -110 | U: -110)
[gambcom-standard rankid=”3012″ ]
USC at Michigan picks and predictions
Prediction
USC 24, Michigan 17
Moneyline
PASS.
There’s not great value here. The Wolverines haven’t been good enough, especially against weaker competition, to assume they can beat a surging USC side. Similarly, the Trojans are far too expensive to play.
Against the spread
BET USC -4.5 (-115).
Simply put, USC has covered this season and shown that upside of a top-15 team, and Michigan, even at home, hasn’t. The Trojans ended with 378 passing yards against LSU and have the ability to keep drives alive through the air. Michigan allowed 246 yards through the air to Texas, so it didn’t limit QB Quinn Ewers much. That could be problematic for the home side.
The Wolverines offense has been the main problem, struggling even in games which they were heavily favored. Against their lone ranked foe, they scored 12 points. USC isn’t at the level of Texas, but it is good enough to give Michigan problems.
Take USC -4.5 (-115).
Over/Under
BET UNDER 44 (-110).
The Wolverines are 1-2 O/U and have yet to score more than 30 points. They have allowed 31 to Texas, but have allowed fewer than 20 in both of their other matchups.
USC has an electric offense, but it is 0-2 O/U and put up just 27 points on the Tigers in what was expected to be an ultra-high-scoring battle. Considering the trends for both sides, take UNDER 44 (-110).
Play our free daily Pick’em Challenge and win! Play now!
[gambcom-standard rankid=”5″ ]
For more sports betting picks and tips, check out SportsbookWire.com and BetFTW.
Follow @nathanbeighle_ on Twitter/X. Follow SportsbookWire on Twitter/X and like us on Facebook.
College sports coverage from USA TODAY Sports Media Group:
Alabama / Arkansas / Auburn / Clemson / Colorado / Duke / Florida / Florida State / Georgia / Iowa / Kentucky / LSU / Michigan / Michigan State / Nebraska / North Carolina / Notre Dame / Ohio State / Oklahoma / Oregon / Penn State / Rutgers / Tennessee / Texas / Texas A&M / UCLA / USC / Washington / Wisconsin / Recruiting / Transfer portal / College Football Playoffs / College Sports Wire / High School
[lawrence-newsletter]
[lawrence-auto-related count=3 category=1622]