U.S. Open heat index: Who to pick at Torrey Pines?

Using the rankings, we’ve identified players who are trending heading into this week’s U.S. Open at Torrey Pines.

Looking for a player to pick in your office pool? One strategy is to consider players who have had the most success in the months leading up to this week’s U.S. Open, the third major of 2021.

The entire U.S. Open field is broken down below according to the Golfweek/Sagarins and the Official World Golf Ranking. The left column, or the “heat index,” is a player’s ranking based on his play the past four months. That can help you pick a player who is trending.

So far in the 2020-21 Tour season, the average ranking of the winner heading into the week in which he won a PGA Tour event has been 90.8 in the Golfweek/Sagarins and 91.6 in the OWGR.

Player Heat GW/Sagarin OWGR
 Jordan Spieth 1 19 24
 Collin Morikawa 2 12 4
 Jon Rahm 3 1 3
 Charley Hoffman 4 25 58
 Jason Kokrak 5 33 22
 Louis Oosthuizen 6 8 18
 Viktor Hovland 7 3 13
 Paul Casey 8 16 19
 Brian Harman 9 17 47
 Corey Conners 10 20 36
 Branden Grace 11 97 71
 Daniel Berger 12 9 16
 Webb Simpson 13 4 12
 Bryson DeChambeau 14 6 5
 Cameron Smith 16 26 28
 Scottie Scheffler 17 29 17
 Will Zalatoris 18 7 29
 Abraham Ancer 19 18 21
 Christiaan Bezuidenhout 20 31 46
 Shane Lowry 21 43 41
 Matt Fitzpatrick 22 34 20
 Kevin Streelman 23 32 54
 Joaquin Niemann 24 13 31
 Brendan Steele 26 41 79
 Xander Schauffele 27 2 6
 Tyrrell Hatton 28 14 9
 Billy Horschel 29 36 23
 Stewart Cink 31 44 44
 Patrick Reed 32 22 8
 Justin Thomas 33 10 2
 Jhonattan Vegas 35 75 138
 Tony Finau 36 11 14
 Garrick Higgo 37 164 39
 Hideki Matsuyama 38 30 15
 Sam Burns 42 39 37
 Ian Poulter 43 54 56
 Ryan Palmer 44 28 34
 Max Homa 45 66 40
 Robert MacIntyre 46 46 48
 Adam Scott 47 24 43
 Dustin Johnson 49 5 1
 Rory McIlroy 52 15 11
 Patrick Cantlay 53 21 7
 Matt Jones 54 53 60
 Brendon Todd 55 48 62
 Harris English 57 23 25
 Matt Wallace 59 61 55
 Bubba Watson 62 63 61
 Si Woo Kim 63 35 49
 Justin Rose 66 72 42
 Kevin Na 67 57 38
 Tommy Fleetwood 71 49 33
 Charl Schwartzel 73 91 110
 Marc Leishman 77 111 45
 Sungjae Im 78 51 26
 K.H. Lee 81 122 64
 Zach Johnson 85 37 123
 Sahith Theegala 87 128 702
 Thomas Detry 91 95 92
 Russell Henley 93 47 63
 Lee Westwood 95 84 27
 Troy Merritt 96 98 132
 Gary Woodland 97 103 57
 Matt Kuchar 98 70 59
 Carlos Ortiz 101 67 53
 Martin Laird 105 127 99
 Brooks Koepka 107 82 10
 Phil Mickelson 110 117 30
 Bernd Wiesberger 112 68 52
 Jordan L Smith 114 193 205
 Adam Hadwin 123 86 100
 Taylor Pendrith 125 65 194
 Lanto Griffin 129 74 70
 Sebastián Muñoz 132 106 65
 Sergio Garcia 133 64 50
 Wyndham Clark 135 104 147
 Erik van Rooyen 147 114 86
 Chan Kim 151 130 83
 Guido Migliozzi 161 311 103
 Victor Perez 166 185 35
 Marcus Armitage 182 189 122
 Jimmy Walker 195 298 332
 Francesco Molinari 207 115 173
 Mackenzie Hughes 216 92 67
 Bo Hoag 217 171 233
 Tom Hoge 218 179 125
 Patrick Rodgers 223 214 236
 Brian Stuard 229 177 232
 J.T. Poston 232 163 98
 Greyson Sigg 237 138 168
 Adrian Meronk 240 335 187
 Rikuya Hoshino 250 208 78
 Kevin Kisner 257 108 51
 Taylor Montgomery 274 224 347
 Cameron Champ 277 218 112
 Sung Kang 282 355 196
 Paul Barjon 285 252 216
 Rafa Cabrera Bello 288 223 139
 Yosuke Asaji 289 384 336
 Dylan Frittelli 298 160 89
 Chez Reavie 300 173 136
 Justin Suh 308 151 441
 Cameron Young 313 261 172
 John Huh 317 113 357
 Ryo Ishikawa 328 271 145
 Richard Bland 340 272 115
 Sam Ryder 344 306 215
 Robby Shelton 345 288 248
 Hayden Buckley 351 312 301
 Matthew Southgate 374 296 217
 Henrik Stenson 378 385 149
 Wilco Nienaber 392 324 141
 Zack Sucher 395 469 569
 Dylan Wu 406 403 489
 J.J. Spaun 421 338 496
 Andy Pope 442 396 1133
 Edoardo Molinari 444 592 375
 Johannes Veerman 456 361 330
 Fabián Gómez 466 448 423
 Peter Malnati 487 260 188
 Wade Ormsby 495 474 208
 David Coupland 500 421 458
 Martin Kaymer 554 284 104
 Rick Lamb 576 489 1131
 Chris Baker 589 424 617
 Brad Kennedy 617 577 193
 Eric Cole 623 546 702
 Matthew Wolff N/R 38 32
 Akshay Bhatia N/R 263 879
 Zach Zaback N/R 732 1740
 Thomas Aiken N/R N/R 1672
 Steve Allan N/R N/R 1168
 Luis Fernando Barco N/R N/R 1897
 Mario Carmona N/R N/R 1897
 Pierceson Coody N/R N/R 1897
 Roy Cootes N/R N/R 1897
 Chris Crawford N/R N/R 1897
 Wilson Furr N/R N/R N/R
 Luis Gagne N/R N/R 1897
 Cole Hammer N/R N/R 1897
 James Hervol N/R N/R N/R
 Joe Highsmith N/R N/R N/R
 Michael Johnson N/R N/R N/R
 Andrew Kozan N/R N/R N/R
 Joe Long N/R N/R 1897
 Dylan Meyer N/R N/R 1897
 Ollie Osborne N/R N/R N/R
 Spencer Ralston N/R N/R 1897
 Carson Schaake N/R N/R 1897
 Matthias Schmid N/R N/R N/R
 Matt Sharpstene N/R N/R N/R
 Davis Shore N/R N/R N/R
 Hayden Springer N/R N/R 1897
 Tyler Strafaci N/R N/R N/R
 Kyle Westmoreland N/R N/R 1897
 Alvaro Ortiz VV N/R 526

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