Updated Sooners game-by-game win probabilities per ESPN FPI after win over TCU

An updated look at Oklahoma’s game-by-game win probabilities per ESPN FPI after the Sooners’ incredible win over the TCU Horned Frogs.

The Oklahoma Sooners beat the TCU Horned Frogs 52-31 on Saturday in a game that at times felt closer than the scoreboard indicated, but was never really close after TCU pulled within three in the second quarter.

The Oklahoma Sooners moved to 7-0 and 4-0 in the Big 12 and continue their march to the Big 12 championship game in Arlington, Texas. With the Kansas Jayhawks and the Texas Tech Red Raiders, the Sooners should be 9-0 before they enter their tough three-game stretch against Baylor, Iowa State, and Oklahoma State to close out the season.

On Saturday, Caleb Williams was phenomenal in helping the Sooners break their trend of one-score wins against FBS opponents. Though it was against a TCU defense that has struggled this year, Williams and the Sooners’ offense was dominant.

Oklahoma has some things to figure out defensively, most importantly, can they get healthy, because it’s clear they’re missing Woodi Washington, Jalen Redmond, and Delarrin Turner-Yell.

As we take a look at the rest of the schedule, the Sooners continue to be the projected winner in each of their five remaining games according to ESPN’s Football Power Index.