The win against Kansas left a sour taste in the mouths of the coaches, players, fans, and voters as the Oklahoma Sooners had to rally from 10 down at halftime to beat the one-win Jayhawks 35-23 on Saturday.
This week, it appears the computers and the voters are in alignment. The Oklahoma Sooners fell in the USA TODAY Sports AFCA Coaches Poll as well as the AP Top 25. They also fell in ESPN’s Football Power Index while much of the Big 12 rose in that rating system and their chances of making the College Football Playoff dropped per FiveThirtyEight.
As a result, in this week’s updated win game-by-game win probabilities, the Oklahoma Sooners’ chance of winning grew slimmer after another underwhelming win in the 2021 college football season. Though the Sooners are the projected winner in each of their remaining four games, more and more of the simulations are projecting wins for their opponents than they were last week.
The trend is troubling, but the reality for the Oklahoma Sooners is as long as they continue to win, they’ll be in a position to contend for the Big 12 championship and will find themselves in the College Football Playoff.
As we take a look at the win probabilities of the Oklahoma Sooners’ four remaining games, let’s remember what former owner of the Raiders said:
“Just win baby!”