ESPN Football Power Index – Syndication Server

Where Oregon Ducks rank in final ESPN FPI of 2023 season

Where the Oregon Ducks ended up in the final ESPN Football Power Index rankings of the 2023 season.

The Oregon Ducks had a successful 2023 college football season. While it fell short of the ultimate goal of making the College Football Playoffs, a 12-win season and a victory in the Fiesta Bowl is never something a fan base should turn down.

Throughout the year, we’ve kept track of the Ducks’ place in the ESPN Football Power Index, a ranking that measures a team’s success based on expected point margins vs. average opponents on a neutral field. It is a ranking that offers a different look at the power balance in the nation, contrary to the College Football Playoff rankings, the Associated Press Poll, or the Coaches Poll.

The Ducks have fared well in the ESPN FPI, routinely ranking near the top of the list. So how do they fare with only one game left to play? Here’s a look:

ESPN FPI Update: Ducks’ odds to make CFP take big jump after win over ASU

The Oregon Ducks’ odds to make it to the College Football Playoff went up after their win over ASU on Saturday.

As we get into the final two weeks of the college football season, there is a lot of chaos that can potentially take place. So far, we haven’t seen much of that chaos, other than a devastating injury to Florida State quarterback Jordan Travis that could potentially derail the Seminoles’ undefeated season. However, there are numerous ranked matchups between College Football Playoff contenders over the next couple of weeks, so we will undoubtedly see a lot of moving pieces.

That means that there are a lot of possibilities for the Oregon Ducks. With a win over Oregon State this weekend, they will secure their spot in the Pac-12 Championship game, getting the rematch with the Washington Huskies that everyone has been hoping for. Whichever team wins that game will almost undoubtedly have a spot in the playoff.

So what are the chances of all that happening? ESPN’s football power index breaks it all down for us going forward:

ESPN FPI Update: Oregon’s CFP odds go up after big win over USC

The Oregon Ducks’ odds to make it to the College Football Playoff went up after their win over USC on Saturday.

We’re getting down to it in the 2023 college football season, with just two regular-season games left on the schedule for the Oregon Ducks, and a potential Pac-12 Championship Game should they win both of those games.

That means fewer and fewer predictions about the upcoming games.

Next week against the Arizona State Sun Devils, the Ducks are heavy favorites early on. After that, they’ve got a highly-intense game against the Oregon State Beavers at home, potentially standing between them and a rematch with the Washington Huskies.

How likely is that to happen? Not very, if you ask the ESPN Football Power Index. As we do each and every week, let’s take a look at the FPI numbers, seeing win probability for the remaining two games on the schedule, and the likelihood that Oregon can stay alive throughout the month of December and into January as well:

ESPN FPI Update: Ducks jump to No. 3 in nation after win over California

The Oregon Ducks once again moved up in the ESPN Football Power Index, where they’re now a top-3 team in the nation.

The Oregon Ducks continue to win, and they continue to do it in an incredibly impressive fashion.

While Saturday’s 63-19 blowout win over the California Golden Bears certainly looked great on the scoreboard and in the box score, the reality is Oregon played nowhere near as well as it could have, committing nine penalties for 99 yards and turning the ball over twice.

It’s not easy to leave a 44-point win and feel like you have a lot of places where you can improve, but that’s the mentality for Dan Lanning and this Oregon team.

Regardless of where they need to get better, it’s clear that there are few teams in the nation playing as well as the Ducks right now. That’s shown clearly with ESPN’s Football Power Index, which now has Oregon ranked as the No. 3 team in the nation based on their metrics.

Here’s an updated look at how ESPN expects the rest of the season to play out for the Ducks:

ESPN FPI Update: Ducks take massive jump into top 4; now heavy favorites to win Pac-12

It’s hard to make a bigger statement in a single game than the Oregon Ducks did in Week 9. Going on the road into a tough environment, Dan Lanning and the No. 6 Ducks took the fight to the No. 18 Utah Utes, winning 35-6 in a game that was largely over by the time the second quarter started.

It was a masterclass on offense and a demolition on defense. While Bo Nix will get much of the shine as he continues to vault up the odds board for the Heisman Trophy, there is a ton of credit to go around to the rest of the team.

After the victory, the Ducks moved up two spots in the Associated Press Top 25, and now sit just one place behind the Washington Huskies, who handed them their only loss of the season.

While the AP poll has Oregon behind Washington, there are numerous other rankings around the nation that see the Ducks as the better team between the two. One of those rankings is ESPN’s Football Power Index, where the Ducks catapulted themselves into the top 4 teams in the nation with the big win, and are now considered the heavy favorites to win the Pac-12 Championship.

Every week, ESPN’s FPI updates the odds for every game remaining on the schedule, and gives a probability for season-long outlooks. Here’s how the view Oregon after Week 9:

ESPN FPI Update: Ducks drop several spots despite big win over Washington State

By any measure, the Oregon Ducks took care of business on Saturday afternoon against the Washington State Cougars, and they did so decisively, with a 38-24 win that was really less competitive than the final score would suggest.

Dan Lanning and his team certainly looked better than a lot of other Pac-12 teams, and several other top-10 teams in the nation who managed to squeak out victories on Saturday by slim margins. Despite that, ESPN’s Football Power Index dropped the Ducks several spots in their overall rankings.

Oregon is still favored to win every game left on their schedule, though their win probability dropped in every game going forward. They will be put to the test this weekend when going to Salt Lake City to take on the No. 13 Utah Utes in a marquee matchup that will draw ESPN’s ‘College GameDay’ to the Rocky Mountains.

Here’s how ESPN projects the rest of the season for the Ducks:

ESPN FPI Update: Ducks still top-ranked Pac-12 team despite loss to Washington

The Oregon Ducks may be down for the moment, but they aren’t out. After suffering their first loss of the 2023 season, the road forward got a little bit tougher, but all of the goals that Dan Lanning and his squad had for the 2023 season are still attainable.

Despite their loss to the Washington Huskies, ESPN’s Football Power Index still seems to think highly of the Ducks, keeping them at No. 1 in the Pac-12 rankings this week. Though Washington jumped into the top spot when it comes to conference championship probability, the Ducks are still the higher-rated team, according to the metrics.

Oregon will have no easy path forward to get to that conference championship game, but according to the FPI outlook, they are heavily favored in each of their remaining games. Here’s how ESPN projects the rest of the season for the Ducks:

Texas has fifth-best chance of reaching College Football Playoff

According to ESPN’s FPI, here are the 10 teams with the best chance of reaching the College Football Playoff.

While Texas suffered a heartbreaking loss to Oklahoma in the Red River Rivalry this season, all of their goals are still achievable. Continue reading “Texas has fifth-best chance of reaching College Football Playoff”

A look at how the Oklahoma Sooners stack up in the ESPN Football Power Index after Week 6

According to the ESPN Football Power Index, the Oklahoma Sooners are one of the best teams in the nation.

Though a football program never wants to get too ahead of itself, the Oklahoma Sooners’ win against Texas opens a world of possibilities in 2023.

Coming into the season, many expected the Sooners to be a Big 12 title contender, but most preseason predictions pegged them with at least two losses. Having overcome the Texas Longhorns in the Cotton Bowl, the Sooners have a chance to do something special this season.

This was a signature win for Brent Venables and the Oklahoma Sooners. While they have much higher expectations than simply winning the Red River Rivalry, this was an important monkey to get off the program’s back after what happened a year ago.

We’ve been saying all season that this team looked different. On Saturday in Dallas, the Sooners proved that to be the case. Brent Venables has the Sooners on a strong trajectory, and they’re just getting started.

With the win, let’s see how the Oklahoma Sooners stack up nationally in the ESPN Football Power Index.

ESPN’s FPI now shows Oklahoma as the favorite over Texas in Week 6

ESPN’s FPI now shows Oklahoma with a 54.6% chance of winning.

One of the best rivalries in college football takes place this weekend. Continue reading “ESPN’s FPI now shows Oklahoma as the favorite over Texas in Week 6”