In a featherweight fight in the main event, Max Holloway meets Yair Rodriguez Saturday at UFC Fight Night 197 – also known as UFC Vegas 42. Below, we analyze the UFC Fight Night 197 Holloway vs. Rodriguez odds and lines, with picks and predictions.
The card can be viewed on ESPN+ with the prelims at 1 p.m. ET and the main card at 4 p.m. ET.
Holloway bounced back from a pair of title-fight losses against Alexander Volkanovski when he pushed past Calvin Kattar in the main event last time out at a Fight Night main event in Jan. His last five fights went the distance.
Rodriguez earned a unanimous-decision win over Jeremy Stephens Oct. 18, 2019 in his last fight. He has dealt with an injury and a two-year suspension since that fight, so rust wouldn’t be a shock.
UFC Fight Night 197 Holloway vs. Rodriguez: Odds and lines
Odds via Tipico Sportsbook; access USA TODAY Sports’ betting odds for a full list. Lines last updated at 7:37 a.m. ET.
- Fight result (2-way line): Holloway -800 (bet $800 to win $100) | Rodriguez +470 (bet $100 to win $470)
- Over/Under: 3.5 rounds (Over -205 | Under +145)
- Will the fight go the distance? (Yes -117 | No -116)
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UFC Fight Night 197 Holloway vs. Rodriguez: Odds, lines, predictions and picks
Records: Holloway (22-6-0) | Rodriguez (14-2-0)
Fight result (2-way line or money line)
Holloway (-800) will cost you eight times your potential return, or just a $12.50 profit on a $100 wager.
PASS on the 2-way line and consider playing HOLLOWAY ON POINTS (-122) for the Method of Victory. While his last five fights have been decided by points, the concern here is the fact Rodriguez has been sidelined for so long that cardio could be an issue.
Over/Under (O/U)
YES (-117): FIGHT TO GO THE DISTANCE is the play, as I expect Holloway to get his arm raised after the judges award him the win on points.
In addition, OVER 3.5 ROUNDS (-205) is a little steep, but a strong play if you want a little wiggle room that guards against a possible late finish.
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