In a heavyweight bout in the prelims, Jairzinho Rozenstruik and Chris Daukaus meet Saturday at UFC 282 at T-Mobile Arena in Las Vegas. Let’s analyze Tipico Sportsbook‘s lines around the UFC 282: Rozenstruik vs. Daukaus odds, and make our expert picks and predictions.
The early prelims begin at 6:30 p.m. ET on ESPN+, with the prelims set to begin at 8 p.m. ET on ESPN2/ESPN+ and the main card starting at 10 p.m. ET on Pay-Per-View (PPV).
Rozenstruik takes the walk to the octagon on a 2-bout losing streak. He was knocked out by Alexander Volkov last time out in a fight night main event in early June, following up a unanimous-decision loss to Curtis Blaydes at UFC 266 in Sept. 2021.
Since arriving at the UFC level, Rozenstruik has had just 2 fights go the distance — both losses — and he is 1-3 across his last 4 bouts overall.
Daukaus is looking to add to the woes of the Suriname fighter, but he has issues of his own, dropping the past 2 bouts by KO/TKO. He was dropped just 17 seconds into the 2nd round by Blaydes in a fight night main event in late March and was dropped by Derrick Lewis last December in the 1st round.
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UFC 282: Rozenstruik vs. Daukaus odds
Odds provided by Tipico Sportsbook; access USA TODAY Sports Scores and Sports Betting Odds hub for a full list. Lines last updated at 8 a.m. ET.
- Fight result (2-way line): Rozenstruik -170 (bet $170 to win $100) | Daukaus +145 (bet $100 to win $145)
- Over/Under: 1.5 rounds (Over +122 | Under -170)
- Fight to go the distance: Yes (+320) | No (-540)
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UFC 282: Rozenstruik vs. Daukaus picks and predictions
Records: Rozenstruik (12-4-0) | Daukaus (12-5-0)
Fight result (2-way line or moneyline)
ROZENSTRUIK (-170) is just a few fights removed from a narrow loss to Ciryl Gane in the main event in late Feb. 2021. He was on pace for a potential title shot, knocking out some big names, including Alistair Overeem and Andrei Arlovski.
He hit a speed bump recently and needs to bounce back from the Volkov loss. He gets it done here, as Daukaus has been equally unimpressive and his defense has been terrible lately.
Rozenstruik holds a 2-inch reach advantage over Daukaus, although the latter has an impressive 6.47-to-2.80 significant strikes landed per minute advantage. Still, look for the bigger Rozenstruik to hold his own, and perhaps use the reach advantage to hold Daukaus at a distance, picking and choosing his spots for the big blow.
Over/Under (O/U)
OVER 1.5 ROUNDS (+120) at plus money is a good play here. Daukaus is a punching machine, who will fire out and look to take it to Rozenstruik. The latter is a little more calculating and tends to try and his opponent in the clinch, slowing things down.
I don’t think this fight goes the distance, but we should at least see the second half of the 2nd round.
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