In a middleweight bout on the main card, Darren Till will take on Dricus Du Plessis Saturday at UFC 282 at T-Mobile Arena in Las Vegas. Let’s analyze Tipico Sportsbook‘s lines around the UFC 282: Till vs. Du Plessis odds, and make our expert picks and predictions.
The early prelims begin at 6:30 p.m. ET on ESPN+, with the prelims set to begin at 8 p.m. ET on ESPN2/ESPN+ and the main card starting at 10 p.m. ET on Pay-Per-View (PPV).
Till has dropped 4 of his last 5 fights, going 1-2 since his return to middleweight back in 2019, though those 4 losses came against some high-level and experienced competition. Three of those 4 losses were finishes — 2 submissions and 1 KO/TKO. Despite the recent string of bad luck, Till remains No. 10 in the UFC’s middleweight rankings.
Ranked No. 14 in UFC’s middleweight rankings, Du Plessis is on a 5-fight win streak. Sixteen of his 17 career wins have come by submission or KO, though his last fight was a win by decision against Brad Tavares at UFC 276. His bout against Till will be Du Plessis’ 4th fight in the UFC — Du Plessis is a 3-time champion in outside promotions (EFC and KSW).
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UFC 282: Till vs. Du Plessis odds
Provided by Tipico Sportsbook; access USA TODAY Sports Scores and Sports Betting Odds hub for a full list. Lines last updated at 9:50 a.m. ET.
- Fight result (2-way line): Till +150 (bet $100 to win $150) | du Plessis -175 (bet $175 to win $100)
- Over/Under: 2.5 rounds (Over +122 | Under -170)
- Will the fight go the distance? (Yes +130 | No -180)
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UFC 282: Till vs. Du Plessis picks and predictions
Records: Till (18-4-1) | du Plessis (17-2)
Fight result (2-way line or moneyline)
It’s easy to see why du Plessis is the favorite in this bout — he’s on the rise while Till has been on a downturn. The best thing Till has going for him is that he’s more of a technically-sound striker than du Plessis, but the latter simply throws a ton of strikes at 6.55 landed per minute and will work constantly until he finds an opening.
Combine that striking with du Plessis’ size, strength and striking velocity along with Till’s recent injury issues and you have a prime matchup for du Plessis to work his way up the rankings.
BET DU PLESSIS (-175).
Over/Under (O/U)
Till’s last 3 fights have made it to the 3rd round but the majority of du Plessis’ fights have been finished in the first 2 rounds. It seems likely that du Plessis will be able to work in a good submission or land a KO in the first couple of rounds, though the moneyline is the better play for this fight.
LEAN UNDER 2.5 ROUNDS (-170).
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