UFC 251 predictions: Who’s picking upsets in the three title fights?

Check out our staff members’ picks for the UFC 251 main card, which features three title fights in Abu Dhabi.

Usman
vs.
Masvidal
Volkanovski
vs.
Holloway
Aldo
vs.
Yan
Andrade
vs.
Namajunas
Ribas
vs.
VanZant
MMA Junkie readers’
consensus picks
2020: 60-36
masvidal2020
Masvidal
(56%)
holloway2020
Holloway
(56%)
yan2020
Yan
(67%)
namajunas2020
Namajunas
(79%)
ribas2020
Ribas
(71%)
Nolan King
@mma_kings
2020: 72-24
masvidal2020
Masvidal
volkanovski2020
Volkanovski
yan2020
Yan
namajunas2020
Namajunas
ribas2020
Ribas
Dan Tom
@DanTomMMA
2020: 70-26
usman2020
Usman
volkanovski2020
Volkanovski
yan2020
Yan
namajunas2020
Namajunas
ribas2020
Ribas
Mike Bohn
@MikeBohnMMA
2020: 68-28
trophy copy 2014 Champion
usman2020
Usman
holloway2020
Holloway
yan2020
Yan
namajunas2020
Namajunas
ribas2020
Ribas
Farah Hannoun
@Farah_Hannoun
2020: 68-28
usman2020
Usman
volkanovski2020
Volkanovski
yan2020
Yan
namajunas2020
Namajunas
ribas2020
Ribas
Simon Head
@simonhead
2020: 67-29
trophy copy 2019 Champion*
masvidal2020
Masvidal
volkanovski2020
Volkanovski
yan2020
Yan
namajunas2020
Namajunas
ribas2020
Ribas
Simon Samano
@SJSamano
2020: 67-29
masvidal2020
Masvidal
volkanovski2020
Volkanovski
yan2020
Yan
namajunas2020
Namajunas
ribas2020
Ribas
Danny Segura
@dannyseguratv
2020: 66-30
masvidal2020
Masvidal
volkanovski2020
Volkanovski
aldo2020
Aldo
namajunas2020
Namajunas
ribas2020
Ribas
Brian Garcia
@thegoze
2020: 66-30
trophy copy 2017 Champion
masvidal2020
Masvidal
volkanovski2020
Volkanovski
yan2020
Yan
namajunas2020
Namajunas
ribas2020
Ribas
Ken Hathaway
@kenshathaway
2020: 65-31
trophy copy 2018 Champion
masvidal2020
Masvidal
volkanovski2020
Volkanovski
yan2020
Yan
namajunas2020
Namajunas
ribas2020
Ribas
George Garcia
@MMAjunkieGeorge
2020: 63-33
masvidal2020
Masvidal
volkanovski2020
Volkanovski
yan2020
Yan
namajunas2020
Namajunas
ribas2020
Ribas
Dave Doyle
@davedoylemma
2020: 63-33
usman2020
Usman
volkanovski2020
Volkanovski
yan2020
Yan
namajunas2020
Namajunas
ribas2020
Ribas
John Morgan
@MMAjunkieJohn
2020: 63-33
usman2020
Usman
volkanovski2020
Volkanovski
yan2020
Yan
andrade2020
Andrade
ribas2020
Ribas
Abbey Subhan
@kammakaze
2020: 60-36
masvidal2020
Masvidal
holloway2020
Holloway
yan2020
Yan
namajunas2020
Namajunas
ribas2020
Ribas
Matt Erickson
@MMAjunkieMatt
2020: 37-59
usman2020
Usman
holloway2020
Holloway
aldo2020
Aldo
andrade2020
Andrade
vanzant2020
VanZant

After much anticipation, the UFC has its first of four straight events on “Fight Island” on Saturday – with three title fights atop the bill.

UFC 251 takes place Saturday at Yas Island in Abu Dhabi. The main card airs on pay-per-view following prelims on ESPN and early prelims on UFC Fight Pass/ESPN+.

(Click here to open a PDF of the staff picks grid in a separate window.)

In the main event, welterweight champion [autotag]Kamaru Usman[/autotag] (16-1 MMA, 11-0 UFC) takes on short-notice challenger [autotag]Jorge Masvidal[/autotag] (35-13 MMA, 12-6 UFC). Usman is more than a 2-1 favorite, but it’s Masvidal with an 8-6 lead in the picks from our 14 editors, writers, videographers and radio hosts.

In the co-main event, featherweight champ [autotag]Alexander Volkanovski[/autotag] (21-1 MMA, 8-0 UFC) puts his title on the line for the first time against former champ [autotag]Max Holloway[/autotag] (21-5 MMA, 17-5 UFC), whom he beat to win the title in 2019. Volkanovski is more than a 2-1 favorite and has a big 11-3 lead in the picks from our staff members.

In the third title fight on the main card, [autotag]Petr Yan[/autotag] (14-1 MMA, 6-0 UFC) meets former featherweight kingpin [autotag]Jose Aldo[/autotag] (28-6 MMA, 10-5 UFC) for the vacant bantamweight title. Yan is more than a 2-1 favorite, and only two of our pickers are taking Aldo in an upset to become a rare two-division UFC champion.

Also on the main card, [autotag]Jessica Andrade[/autotag] (20-7 MMA, 11-5 UFC) meets [autotag]Rose Namajunas[/autotag] (8-4 MMA, 6-3 UFC) in a rematch. Andrade knocked Namajunas out in May 2019 to win the women’s strawweight title, but has since lost it to champ Zhang Weili. Namajunas is favored in the rematch, and has a big 12-2 lead in the picks.

And to open the main card, [autotag]Amanda Ribas[/autotag] (9-1 MMA, 3-0 UFC) is by far the biggest favorite at the event at more than 8-1 against [autotag]Paige VanZant[/autotag] (8-4 MMA, 5-3 UFC). Only one of our pickers is taking VanZant in an upset in what is the final fight on her UFC deal before she tests free agency.

In the MMA Junkie reader consensus picks, Masvidal (56 percent), Holloway (56 percent), Yan (67 percent), Namajunas (79 percent) and Ribas (71 percent) are the choices.

Check out all the picks above.