The Miami Heat (27-16) host the Toronto Raptors (21-19) Monday at FTX Arena for a 7:30 p.m. ET tip-off. Below, we look at the Raptors vs. Heat odds and lines, and make our expert NBA picks, predictions and bets.
Toronto busted a two-game losing skid by upsetting the Bucks 103-96 in Milwaukee Saturday as a 7.5-point road underdog. In January, the Raptors are 6-2 straight-up (SU), 6-2 against the spread (ATS) and 4-4 Over/Under (O/U) with the seventh-best net rating.
Miami had a four-game winning streak snapped Saturday, losing to the Philadelphia 76ers 109-98 as a 3.5-point home favorite. The Heat are 4-3 SU, 5-2 ATS and 5-2 O/U this month with the eighth-best net rating.
Raptors at Heat odds, spread and lines
Odds provided by Tipico Sportsbook; access USA TODAY Sports Scores and Sports Betting Odds hub for a full list. Lines last updated at 6:36 a.m. ET.
- Money line: Raptors +145 (bet $100 to win $145) | Heat -180 (bet $180 to win $100)
- Against the spread: Raptors +4.5 (-115) | Heat -4.5 (-107)
- Over/Under: 211.5 (O: -112 | U: -108)
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Raptors at Heat key injuries
Raptors
- SG Gary Trent Jr. (ankle) questionable
Heat
- C Bam Adebayo (thumb) questionable
- PG Kyle Lowry (personal) out
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Raptors at Heat odds, lines, picks and predictions
Prediction
Heat 112, Raptors 105
Money line
PASS.
The Heat (-180) should handle business at home, but the Raptors are playing some good basketball lately, making Miami’s money line too expensive.
Toronto is 9-7 as a road underdog and has a slightly better net rating than Miami this month.
Against the spread
BET the HEAT -4.5 (-107) for 1 unit. They have several strength-on-weakness edges such as drawing fouls, crashing the glass and perimeter shooting.
Miami ranks ninth in adjusted offensive free-throw rate (FT%), sixth in adjusted offensive-rebounding rate and third in adjusted 3-point percentage (3P%), according to CleaningTheGlass.com (CTG).
Whereas Toronto ranks 29th in adjusted defensive FT%, 27th in adjusted defensive-rebounding rate and 27th in adjusted defensive 3P%.
The Heat are much deeper than the Raptors. Miami’s bench ranks fourth with 38.9 points per game (PPG) and Toronto’s bench is dead-last with 23.9 PPG.
Typically, role players perform much better at home, which is part of the reason Miami has a positive home-scoring margin (plus-6.6 PPG) and Toronto has a negative road-scoring margin (minus-1.6 PPG).
This is a better spot for the Heat, who have covered five of their past six games overall, their last five after a loss and are 10-4 ATS in their last 14 games against the Raptors.
BET HEAT -4.5 (-107).
Over/Under
PASS.
Both teams play at a bottom-four pace, Toronto has gone Under the total in four consecutive games and the Under is 4-1 in the last five Raptors-Heat meetings.
However, Toronto is 22-18 O/U and 13-9 O/U as an underdog, while Miami is 25-18 O/U and 16-12 O/U as a favorite.
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