Toronto Raptors at Atlanta Hawks odds, picks and predictions

Analyzing Monday’s Toronto Raptors at Atlanta Hawks odds and lines, with NBA expert picks, predictions and best bets.

The Toronto Raptors (24-23) travel to the Big Peach Monday for a 7:30 p.m. ET tip-off with the Atlanta Hawks (24-25) at State Farm Arena. Below, we look at the Raptors vs. Hawks odds and lines, and make our expert NBA picks, predictions and bets.

Toronto has alternated wins and losses over the past six games with the latest being a 124-120, triple-overtime victory as a 2.5-point road underdog at the Miami Heat Saturday. The Raptors are 3-4 straight up (SU) and 4-3 against the spread (ATS) over the past two weeks.

Atlanta is on a 7-game winning streak (7-0 ATS). The Hawks beat the Los Angeles Lakers 129-121 Sunday as 7.5-point home favorites.

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Raptors at Hawks odds, spread and lines

Odds provided by Tipico Sportsbook; access USA TODAY Sports Scores and Sports Betting Odds hub for a full list. Lines last updated at 2:10 p.m. ET.

  • Money line: Raptors -125 (bet $125 to win $100) | Hawks +102 (bet $100 to win $102)
  • Against the spread: Raptors -1.5 (-112) | Hawks +1.5 (-108)
  • Over/Under (O/U): 215.5 (O: -112 | U: -108)

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Raptors at Hawks key injuries

Raptors

  • Khem Birch (nose) out

Hawks

  • SF De’Andre Hunter (ankle) probable
  • PG Trae Young (shoulder) questionable

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Raptors at Hawks odds, lines, picks and predictions

Prediction

Raptors 114, Hawks 109

Money line

BET RAPTORS (-125) for 1 unit.

Toronto has a significant edge in transition basketball and should have more possessions than Atlanta, which usually means more points.

The Raptors get out in transition at the fifth-highest rate and are third in fast-break points per game (PPG). Meanwhile, Atlanta has the worst transition defensive efficiency in the NBA.

Both teams have top-five offensive turnover rates, but the Raptors force the highest rate of turnovers in the NBA and the Hawks rank 28th in defensive-turnover rate.

Also, this is a much better spot for Toronto since Atlanta is 5-7 SU when playing with a rest disadvantage with a minus-2.7 margin of victory and 3-5 ATS on the second of a back-to-back with a minus-3.5 margin of victory.

The Hawks are second in adjusted-offensive rating and the Raptors perform well versus top-10 offenses.

Toronto is sixth in adjusted-net rating versus top-10 offenses with the fifth-best ATS margin at plus-2.9, according to CleaningTheGlass.com (CTG).

BET RAPTORS (-125).

Against the spread

PASS since Toronto’s money line is only 13 cents on the dollar more expensive than the Raptors -1.5 (-112).

Don’t be cheap, just TAKE TORONTO (-125) to win outright.

Over/Under

BET OVER 215.5 (-112) for a quarter-unit.

The Over has cashed in five of the past six Raptors-Hawks meetings and Toronto is 10-2 O/U when playing on a rest advantage with a plus-12.8 total margin.

Also, the assigned officiating crew for this game has a combined 44-40 O/U record.

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