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The Toronto Blue Jays (83-67) and New York Yankees (76-74) meet Tuesday as they open a 3-game AL East set in the Bronx. First pitch at Yankee Stadium is slated for 7:05 p.m. ET. Let’s analyze BetMGM Sportsbook’s lines around the Blue Jays vs. Yankees odds and make our expert MLB picks and predictions for the best bets.
Season series: Yankees lead 4-3
Toronto has won 3 straight games, and that streak comes on the heels of a 4-game losing sked Sept. 11-14. Across that 7-game span, Blue Jays batters have scuffled, logging a .557 OPS while scoring just 2.71 runs per game.
New York is 6-2 over its last 8 games. Yankee pitching has compiled a 2.92 ERA and 1.18 WHIP over that stretch.
Tuesday’s contest at Yankee Stadium marks the 1st of 6 remaining meetings between Toronto and New York.
Blue Jays at Yankees projected starters
LHP Yusei Kikuchi vs. RHP Clarke Schmidt
Kikuchi (9-6, 3.81 ERA) makes his 30th start. He has a 1.25 WHIP, 2.6 BB/9 and 9.6 K/9 through 153 2/3 IP.
- Last start: Loss, 5 IP, 6 ER, 5 H, 2 BB, 3 K in 10-0 home loss vs. Texas Rangers Wednesday
- 2023 Road stats: 4-3, 3.74 ERA in 59 1/3 IP across 15 starts
- Last 5 starts vs. Yankees: 2-1, 3.28 ERA in 24 2/3 IP
Schmidt (9-8, 4.56 ERA) makes his 30th start and 31st appearance. He has a 1.34 WHIP, 2.5 BB/9 and 8.8 K/9 through 146 IP.
- Last start: No-decision, 5 1/3 IP, 4 R (3 ER), 7 H, 3 BB, 3 K in 8-5 win at Boston Red Sox Thursday
- 2023 Home stats: 4-5, 3.94 ERA in 77 2/3 IP across 15 starts and 1 relief apperance
- Only other career start vs. Toronto was on April 3: 5 2/3 IP, 3 R (0 ER), 3 H, 1 BB, 8 K
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Blue Jays at Yankees odds
Provided by BetMGM Sportsbook; access USA TODAY Sports Scores and Sports Betting Odds hub for a full list. Lines last updated at 12:43 p.m. ET.
- Moneyline: Blue Jays -110 (bet $110 to win $100) | Yankees -110 (bet $110 to win $100)
- Run line (RL)/Against the spread (ATS): Blue Jays -1.5 (+150) | Yankees +1.5 (-185)
- Over/Under (O/U): 8.5 (O: -110 | U: -110)
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Blue Jays at Yankees picks and predictions
Prediction
Yankees 5, Blue Jays 4
Moneyline
Peg Schmidt as being slightly underrated by his surface numbers. He has pitched through the extra traffic of a .316 batting average on balls in play (BABIP) and a .320 BABIP in inning lead-off situations which have extra leverage.
The host Yankees have shown better form of late, and they are 6-1 over their last 7 series openers. New York is also on its best platoon side when facing southpaws (.786 OPS).
Toronto owns a whiff-heavy .541 OPS over its last 6 games. The Bronx weather calls for an outward breeze at Yankee Stadium: advantage Schmidt and the New York bullpen as both get more ground balls than their Toronto counterparts.
TAKE THE YANKEES (-110).
Run line/Against the spread
More juice here, and much better value on the above play: PASS.
Over/Under
This one has a bit of an Under lean with the starters, but the offenses — slightly undercooked on both sides — and some overrated-ness for the Yankee ‘pen push things back the other way.
On a wind-blowing-out night, a PASS is most prudent.
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