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The Toronto Blue Jays (4-5) and New York Yankees (7-2) meet Sunday for the finale of a 3-game series. First pitch from Yankee Stadium is set for 1:35 p.m. ET (MLB Network). Let’s analyze BetMGM Sportsbook’s lines around the Blue Jays vs. Yankees odds and make our expert MLB picks and predictions for the best bets.
Season series: Tied 1-1
After losing 3-0 in Friday’s opener, New York squeezed out the 9-8 win on Saturday as a -118 home favorite. The Yankees hit 3 HRs to the Blue Jays’ 1. The Yankees also left 7 runners on base compared to Toronto’s 11.
Toronto was down 9-2 heading into the 7th and scored 6 runs in the 7th and 9th innings to give the Yankees a scare.
Blue Jays at Yankees projected starters
RHP Bowden Francis vs. RHP Luis Gil
Francis (0-1, 11.81 ERA) makes his 2nd start. He has a 2.06 WHIP, 1.7 BB/9 and 11.8 K/9 in 5 1/3 IP.
- 2023 road splits: 0-0, 2.19 ERA (12 1/3 IP, 3 ER), 8 H, 3 BB, 14 K through 8 relief appearances
- First career matchup with the Yankees
Gil (0-0, 1.93 ERA) makes his 2nd start. He has a 0.86 WHIP, 5.8 BB/9 and 11.6 K/9 in 4 2/3 IP.
- Career home splits: 1-1, 3.07 ERA (29 1/3 IP, 10 ER), 20 H, 19 BB, 38 K across 6 starts
- Career vs. Toronto: 0-0, 8.10 ERA (3 1/3 IP, 3 ER), 1 H, 7 BB, 6 K in 1 start
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Blue Jays at Yankees odds
Provided by BetMGM Sportsbook; access USA TODAY Sports Scores and Sports Betting Odds hub for a full list. Lines last updated at 1:57 a.m. ET.
- Moneyline (ML): Blue Jays +125 (bet $100 to win $125) | Yankees -150 (bet $150 to win $100)
- Run line (RL)/Against the spread (ATS): Blue Jays +1.5 (-160) | Yankees -1.5 (+135)
- Over/Under (O/U): 8.5 (O: -115 | U: -105)
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Blue Jays at Yankees picks and predictions
Prediction
Yankees 4, Blue Jays 3
Moneyline
BET YANKEES (-150).
New York has won 4 of its last 6 matchups vs. Toronto overall and is 2-1 in the last 3 meetings in New York. New York has also gotten off to a better start than the Blue Jays, which makes me confident in this bet.
Run line/Against the spread
PASS.
I like Toronto to cover here as a +1.5 (-160) underdog, but the line here is just a bit too risky. This bet is made safer because of just how much Gil struggled against the Blue Jays in his only career start vs. Toronto, so if you’re willing to bet the juice, this line could be worth a small wager.
Over/Under
LEAN UNDER 8.5 (-105).
The Under has hit in 3 of Toronto’s last 4 overall. For New York, the Under is 6-2-1 on the season. The Under has also hit in 4 of the last 5 Toronto-New York matchups overall.
But be aware that with how Gil struggled in his only career matchup vs. New York and how Francis struggled in his 1st start this year, it is possible both team’s could get their big bats rolling.
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