Toronto Blue Jays at New York Mets odds, picks and predictions

Analyzing Saturday’s Toronto Blue Jays at New York Mets odds and lines, with MLB expert picks, predictions and best bets.

The Toronto Blue Jays (31-27) will play the 2nd game of a 3-game series against the New York Mets (30-28) Saturday at Citi Field. First pitch is scheduled for 4:10 p.m. ET (MLB Network). Let’s analyze BetMGM Sportsbook’s lines around the Blue Jays vs. Mets odds and make our expert MLB picks and predictions for the best bets.

Season series: Blue Jays lead 1-0.

On Friday, the Blue Jays secured a 3-0 victory over the Mets. Toronto has won 5 of its last 7 games, though, it is still 9 games behind the Tampa Bay Rays for 1st place in the AL East.

In Friday’s shutout loss, the lone bright spot for the Mets was RHP Justin Verlander striking out 8 batters and allowing only 1 earned run in a 117-pitch outing. Despite the loss, New York is only 3 1/2 games back of the Atlanta Braves for 1st place in the NL East.

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Blue Jays at Mets projected starters

RHP Jose Berrios vs. RHP Tylor Megill

Berrios (5-4, 3.86 ERA) makes his 12th start. He has a 1.26 WHIP, 2.6 BB/9 and 8.5 K/9 through 65 1/3 IP.

  • After allowing a combined 20 ER in his first 6 starts, he’s given up only 8 total ER in his last 5 starts.
  • Has notched 5-plus K’s in 8 of his first 11 starts.

Megill (5-3, 4.67 ERA) makes his 12th start. He has a 1.59 WHIP, 4.5 BB/9 and 7.2 K/9 through 54 IP.

  • Has surrendered multiple ER in 9 of his first 11 starts.
  • Has also walked 2-plus batters in 9 of his first 11 starts.

Blue Jays at Mets odds

Provided by BetMGM Sportsbook; access USA TODAY Sports Scores and Sports Betting Odds hub for a full list. Lines last updated at 8:45 a.m. ET.

  • Moneyline (ML): Blue Jays -115 (bet $115 to win $100) | Mets -105 (bet $105 to win $100)
  • Run line (RL)/Against the spread (ATS): Blue Jays -1.5 (+145) | Mets +1.5 (-175)
  • Over/Under (O/U): 8.5 (O: -120 | U: +100)

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Blue Jays at Mets picks and predictions

Prediction

Blue Jays 4, Mets 3

Moneyline

After taking the first game of the series, I’ll back the BLUE JAYS (-115) on the road in Saturday’s interleague bout. Berrios has pitched better for Toronto in recent outings, recording a win in 3 of his last 5 starts.

Run line/Against the spread

PASS.

While I have the Blue Jays winning Saturday, the Mets should be able to keep this game within 2 runs. Wagering on New York’s run line isn’t worth the risk unless you can get it at -160 odds or better.

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Over/Under

All signs point toward UNDER 8.5 (+100) being the correct choice in this game. Berrios has been better in recent starts, and Toronto has produced 3 or fewer runs in 7 of its last 10 games.

The Blue Jays are 4-0-1 to the Under in their last 5 games overall, and the Mets are 4-0 to the Under in their last 4 games overall. Plus, the Under is 8-3 in the last 11 meetings in New York.

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For more sports betting picks and tips, check out SportsbookWire.com and BetFTW.

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