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The Toronto Blue Jays (13-11) and Kansas City Royals (14-10) play the 3rd game of a 4-game series at Kauffman Stadium Wednesday. First pitch is scheduled for 7:40 p.m. ET (ESPN+). Let’s analyze FanDuel Sportsbook’s lines around the Blue Jays vs. Royals odds and make our expert MLB picks and predictions for the best bets.
Season series: Tied 1-1
The Royals beat the Blue Jays 3-2 Tuesday, closing as +108 underdogs. They scored all 3 in the 5th inning. Kansas City snapped a 3-game losing streak with the win and pushed its home record to 10-5. The Royals are 14-10 on the run line this season.
The Blue Jays won 5-3 to open the series Monday but struggled offensively Tuesday. They have won 3 of their last 5 games, all on the road. Toronto is 7-8 on the road and 13-11 on the run line this season.
Blue Jays at Royals projected starters
RHP Yariel Rodriguez vs. RHP Alec Marsh
Rodriguez (0-0, 2.35 ERA) makes his 3rd start. The rookie has a 1.30 WHIP, 3.5 BB/9 and 15.3 K/9 in 7 2/3 innings.
- Last start: No-decision, 4 IP, 1 ER, 3 H, 1 BB, 7 K in 5-1 road win over San Diego Padres Friday
- Blue Jays are 2-0 in his starts
- Previously played with the Chunichi Dragons in Japan’s Central League
Marsh (3-0, 3.22 ERA) makes his 5th start. He has a 1.03 WHIP, 2.0 BB/9 and 6.4 K/9 in 22 1/3 innings.
- Last start: Win, 5 2/3 IP, 0 ER, 3 H, 2 BB, 6 K in 9-4 victory vs. Baltimore Orioles Friday
- 2024 home splits: 1-0, 2.61 ERA (10 1/3 IP, 3 ER — 0 HR), 11 H, 3 BB, 9 K, .350 opponent slugging percentage in 2 starts
- Royals are 4-0 in his starts
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Blue Jays at Royals odds
Provided by FanDuel Sportsbook; access USA TODAY Sports Scores and Sports Betting Odds hub for a full list. Lines last updated at 2 p.m. ET.
- Moneyline (ML): Blue Jays -126 (bet $126 to win $100) | Royals +108 (bet $100 to win $108)
- Run line (RL)/Against the spread (ATS): Blue Jays -1.5 (+126) | Royals +1.5 (-152)
- Over/Under (O/U): 8.5 (O: -114 | U: -106)
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Blue Jays at Royals picks and predictions
Prediction
Royals 4, Blue Jays 3
Moneyline
BET ROYALS (+108).
While both Marsh and Rodriguez have been strong options for their team, the latter has only pitched 7 2/3 innings through 2 starts, which suggests the Blue Jays bullpen will be more active in this game. Toronto’s relievers rank 26th in ERA.
The Blue Jays have lost 2 of their last 3 games, scoring a combined 10 runs in those. Kansas City is 6-4 as a home underdog. With those trends in mind, back ROYALS (+108).
Run line/Against the spread
PASS.
The Royals are too expensive here as run-line underdogs, and the preferred play for the home side is on the moneyline. Similarly, the Blue Jays are too risky as favorites.
Over/Under
LEAN UNDER 8.5 (-106).
Both pitchers have been strong for their respective teams this season, and both teams have also recently trended toward the Under. The Royals are 8-15-1 O/U on the season and 2-7 O/U in their last 9 games.
The Blue Jays have gone Under in both of Rodriguez’s starts and are 10-14 O/U on the season. They have gone Under in 4 of their last 5, holding their opponent to 3 or fewer in 4 of those 5.
Back UNDER 8.5 (-106).
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