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The Toronto Blue Jays (64-51) and the Cleveland Guardians (55-59) play the 3rd contest of a 4-game series at Progressive Field Wednesday. First pitch is scheduled for 7:10 p.m. ET. Let’s analyze BetMGM Sportsbook’s lines around the Blue Jays vs. Guardians odds and make our expert MLB picks and predictions for the best bets.
Season series: tied 1-1
The Guardians turned the tables in a 1-0 win Tuesday after dropping the opener 3-1 on Monday. The Under has easily cashed in each of the 2 games of the series so far as runs have been at a premium.
Toronto saw its 4-game winning streak snapped with Tuesday’s shutout loss, its first time going without a run since July 19 at home against the San Diego Padres. The Jays hadn’t been shut out on the road since July 8 in Detroit. The Under is on an 11-1 run for Toronto dating back to July 25.
The Guardians halted a 3-game losing skid with Tuesday’s win, but they’re still just 2-6 across their past 8 games. Cleveland is averaging just 2.3 runs per game (RPG) across its last 11 games, including just 2 total runs in the first 2 outings of the series. The Under has cashed at an 8-2-1 clip in the past 11 contests.
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Blue Jays at Guardians projected starters
RHP Kevin Gausman vs. LHP Logan Allen
Gausman (8-6, 3.20 ERA) makes his 23rd start. He has a 1.17 WHIP, 2.3 BB/9 and 12.1 K/9 in 132 innings.
- Last start: Loss, 4 1/3 IP, 3 ER, 8 H, 2 BB, 6 K in 6-1 home loss vs. Baltimore Orioles Thursday
- 2023 road splits: 5-4, 3.75 ERA (62 1/3 IP, 26 ER – 8 HR), .248 opponent batting average (OBA) in 11 starts
Allen (5-4, 3.65 ERA) makes his 17th start. He has a 1.37 WHIP, 3.3 BB/9 and 8.9 K/9 in 86 1/3 innings.
- Last start: Win, 6 IP, 2 ER, 4 H, 4 BB, 5 K in 4-2 home win vs. Chicago White Sox Friday
- 2023 home splits: 2-2, 4.00 ERA (45 IP, 20 ER – 6 HR), .272 OBA in 8 starts
Blue Jays at Guardians odds
Provided by BetMGM Sportsbook; access USA TODAY Sports Scores and Sports Betting Odds hub for a full list. Lines last updated at 8:40 a.m. ET.
- Moneyline (ML): Blue Jays -155 (bet $155 to win $100) | Guardians +125 (bet $100 to win $125)
- Run line (RL)/Against the spread (ATS): Blue Jays -1.5 (+105) | Guardians +1.5 (-130)
- Over/Under (O/U): 8 (O: -110 | U: -110)
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Blue Jays at Guardians picks and predictions
Prediction
Blue Jays 4, Guardians 2
Moneyline
The BLUE JAYS (-155) are worth backing as moderate favorites in this 3rd installment of the series.
Gausman has been rather even-handed this season, although he is coming off his shortest outing since May 4. He looks to rebound in a big way, and he did just that after that May outing, spinning 6 scoreless innings. Look for Gausman to bounce back and for the Jays’ offense to get untracked against the southpaw Allen.
Run line/Against the spread
The BLUE JAYS -1.5 (+105) are a decent value at plus odds.
While Toronto failed to cover the run line as a favorite in Tuesday’s game, it did cover in the series opener Monday and is 6-6 on the run line as a favorite across the past 12 games.
On the flip side, the Guardians are just 2-4 in the past 6 games on the run line as underdogs.
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Over/Under
UNDER 8 (-110) is the best play on the board as these teams have managed a total of just 5 runs in the first 2 games of the series.
The Under has connected in 3 in a row for Cleveland, in 6 of its last 7 outings and 8 of its previous 11 contests overall.
As far as Toronto is concerned, the Under is on an 11-1 run. Keep thumping the Under until both of these teams see their bats wake up.
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For more sports betting picks and tips, check out SportsbookWire.com and BetFTW.
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