The Toronto Blue Jays (38-28) head to Guaranteed Rate Field Monday to start a 3-game series with the Chicago White Sox (31-33) at 8:10 p.m. ET. Let’s analyze Tipico Sportsbook‘s lines around the Blue Jays vs. White Sox odds with MLB picks and predictions.
Toronto prevented a 3-game sweep by the New York Yankees Sunday with a thrilling, come-from-behind 10-9 victory. The Blue Jays are 5-5 straight up (SU) in their last 10 games.
Chicago lost the rubber match of a 3-game series at the Houston Astros Sunday 4-3. The White Sox are also 5-5 SU in the last 10.
The Blue Jays swept the White Sox in a 3-game set from May 31-June 2 and Toronto outscored Chicago 21-11 in those meetings.
Blue Jays at White Sox projected starters
RHP Jose Berrios vs. RHP Lance Lynn
Berrios is 5-2 with a 4.65 ERA, 1.24 WHIP, 2.1 BB/9 and 7.8 K/9 in 71 2/3 IP over 13 starts.
- Last start: No-decision in Toronto’s 7-6 home win June 15 vs. the Baltimore Orioles with 7 IP, 3 ER, 3 H, 2 HR, 0 BB and 8 K.
- 2021 vs. the White Sox: 0-3 with a 5.57 ERA (21 IP, 13 ER), 1.38 WHIP, 5 HR, 10.3 K/9 in 4 starts.
Lynn (0-0, 6.23 ERA) is making his 2nd start of the year.
- Last start: No-decision in Chicago’s 9-5 win June 13 at the Detroit Tigers with 4 1/3 IP, 3 ER, 10 H, 1 HR, 0 BB and 4 K.
- 2021 vs. the Blue Jays: 0-0 with a 1.29 ERA (14 IP, 2 ER), 8 H, 1 HR, 0 BB and 13 K in 2 starts.
Blue Jays at White Sox odds and lines
Odds provided by Tipico Sportsbook; access USA TODAY Sports Scores and Sports Betting Odds hub for a full list. Lines last updated at 10:53 a.m. ET.
- Money line (ML): Blue Jays -130 (bet $130 to win $100) | White Sox +105 (bet $100 to win $105)
- Run line (RL)/Against the spread (ATS): Blue Jays -1.5 (+122) | White Sox +1.5 (-150)
- Over/Under (O/U): 9.5 (O: +105 | U: -130)
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Blue Jays at White Sox picks and predictions
Prediction
Blue Jays 6, White Sox 4
Money line
BET the BLUE JAYS (-130) because they are a lot more productive vs. right-handed pitching and the presumed sharp side of the market is betting Toronto while the public is backing the White Sox (+105).
Toronto’s lineup is 7th in wRC+ (109), 5th in wOBA (.323) and 3rd in hard-hit rate (34.1%) against right-handed pitching, per FanGraphs. Chicago’s lineup has a 87 wRC+ (ranked 25th), .285 wOBA (28th) and a 25.9% hard-hit rate (dead-last).
Also, more than 70% of the money is on the Blue Jays while roughly 60% of the bets placed are on the White Sox at Tipico Sportsbook. Typically, it’s wiser to follow the cash column of the betting splits since professional bettors put up a lot more dough than your average Joe.
Finally, the Blue Jays have been up-and-down lately and haven’t been able to make up ground on the Yankees in the AL East. But Toronto’s awesome victory vs. New York Sunday could be a momentum-builder, sparking a hot streak for the Blue Jays.
BET the BLUE JAYS (-130).
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Run line/Against the spread
LEAN BLUE JAYS -1.5 (+122) only because this isn’t a very big payout.
But, the White Sox +1.5 (-150) are just 5-16 RL at home vs. right-handed starters with a plus-34.6% return on investment if you bet AGAINST them in those instances. Also, Chicago’s lineup scores nearly 3 fewer runs per 9 innings vs. righties compared to lefties (6.3-3.6).
Over/Under
PASS.
Chicago’s lineup struggles mightily vs. right-handed pitching and Toronto is 10-3 O/U in Berrios’ 13 starts.
Also, there’s more money on the Under while more bets have been placed on the Over but it’s hard to tell which is the sharper side because the total hasn’t budged off the opener. I don’t see an edge for either side of the total.
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