The Toronto Blue Jays (60-48) and Baltimore Orioles (56-52) open a 3-game AL East series Monday. First pitch from Oriole Park at Camden Yards is set for 7:05 p.m. ET. Let’s analyze Tipico Sportsbook‘s lines around the Blue Jays vs. Orioles odds with MLB picks and predictions.
Season series: tied 2-2
The Blue Jays are continuing an ungainly road trip that has thus far included stops at the Tampa Bay Rays and Minnesota Twins. Toronto has thus far gone 3-3 on the trip.
The Orioles had a 5-game win streak snapped Sunday. Baltimore pitching has been sharp, posting a 3.52 ERA with the club going 10-6 since the All-Star break.
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Blue Jays at Orioles projected starters
LHP Yusei Kikuchi vs. RHP Jordan Lyles
Kikuchi (4-5, 4.86 ERA) has pitched 74 innings over 18 starts. He’s logged a 1.47 WHIP, 5.2 BB/9 and 10.2 K/9.
- Has allowed just 3 ER over 9 IP across 2 starts since the All-Star break.
- Allowed 4 runs in a 4-frame stint June 13 against the Orioles.
- Owns a 5.74 ERA and 1.91 WHIP on the road.
Lyles (8-8, 4.40 ERA) is making his 23rd start. He has a 1.43 WHIP, 3.0 BB/9 and 7.5 K/9 through 124 2/3 IP.
- Has notched a 2.68 ERA at Camden Yards in 2022 and a 2.35 ERA across his last 23 IP there.
- Owns a Boeing 7.48 ERA across 4 lifetime starts against Toronto.
Blue Jays at Orioles odds and lines
Odds provided by Tipico Sportsbook; access USA TODAY Sports Scores and Sports Betting Odds hub for a full list. Lines last updated at 10:12 a.m. ET.
- Money line: Blue Jays -140 (bet $140 to win $100) | Orioles +115 (bet $115 to win $100)
- Run line (RL)/Against the spread (ATS): Blue Jays -1.5 (+110) | Orioles +1.5 (-135)
- Over/Under (O/U): 9.5 (O: -107 | U: -115)
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Blue Jays at Orioles picks and predictions
Prediction
Blue Jays 6, Orioles 4
Money line
Peg the Orioles as being overcooked and a bit cluster-lucky (grouping and avoiding groups of hits in an advantageous way) on both sides of the ball.
Toronto’s offense is capable of more, and Kikuchi faces a Baltimore order swung around to the lesser side of its platoon numbers (.678 OPS vs. lefty pitching).
With fair pricing here, BACK THE BLUE JAYS (-140).
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Run line/Against the spread
More aggressive bettors may want to split their action on the Jays, placing half a unit on the above play and another half on TORONTO -1.5 (+110).
The risk is in the frequency (higher than average) with which these 2 clubs tangle in 1-run affairs. The average MLB club has played in 30 1-run games: Toronto has played in 38; Baltimore has played in 34.
Over/Under
PASS: Value signals here swing both ways.
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