Top of the 2024 NFL draft order scenarios for Week 16

Breaking down the current order and the upcoming schedule of the contenders for the No. 1 overall pick of the 2024 NFL draft

There are three weeks left in the 2023 NFL season. The first 14 games for every team have whittled down the contenders for the top few picks in the 2024 NFL draft.

Entering Week 16, the top four picks look like this:

1. Chicago Bears (from Carolina): 2-12

2. New England Patriots: 3-11

3. Arizona Cardinal: 3-11

4. Washington Commanders: 4-10

While the next grouping of five teams (the Bears, Giants, Jets, Chargers and Titans) are all technically still in play with their 5-9 records, it seems extraordinarily unlikely the Panthers, Patriots and Cardinals will all suddenly go on season-ending winning streaks.

The Panthers won in Week 15, while the Patriots and Cardinals both lost. Washington did as well to remain in the hunt, though the Commanders lose any head-to-head tiebreaker with the Cardinals from beating them back in Week 1. They also beat the Patriots in Week 9.

Week 16 schedule

Panthers host the Packers (6-8)

Patriots visit the Broncos (7-7)

Cardinals visit the Bears (5-9)

Commanders visit the Jets (5-9)