The Texas Rangers (21-14) wrap up a 3-game series with the Seattle Mariners (18-18) Wednesday at T-Mobile Park. First pitch is scheduled for 3:40 p.m. ET. Let’s analyze BetMGM Sportsbook’s lines around the Rangers vs. Mariners odds and make our expert MLB picks and predictions for the best bets.
Season series: Tied 1-1
The Rangers were blanked 5-0 by the Mariners Tuesday, just the second time they’ve been shut out this season. Texas was also shut out 2-0 at the Chicago Cubs on April 7 and had scored 2 or more runs in 22 straight games dating back to April 12.
The shutout win for the M’s was the 3rd of the season, but their first since a 1-0 home win against Colorado Rockies on April 16. The Under has cashed in 3 straight contests for Seattle.
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Rangers at Mariners projected starters
RHP Dane Dunning vs. RHP Luis Castillo
Dunning (2-0, 1.42 ERA) makes his 2nd start and 10th appearance. He has a 0.79 WHIP, 2.1 BB/9 and 5.0 K/9 in 25 1/3 innings.
- Last start: No-decision, 5 IP, 0 ER, 2 H, 1 BB, 3 K in 5-4 road loss vs. Los Angeles Angels Friday
- Last season vs. Mariners: 0-1, 4.43 ERA (20 1/3 IP, 10 ER), 20 K, .243 opponent batting average (OBA) in 4 starts
Castillo (2-0, 2.38 ERA) makes his 8th start. He has a 0.91 WHIP, 1.9 BB/9, 9.3 K/9 in 41 2/3 IP innings.
- Last start: No-decision, 7 IP, 4 ER, 5 H, 1 BB, 5 K in 6-4 home loss vs. Houston Astros Friday
- Home splits this season: 2-0, 2.05 ERA (30 2/3 IP, 7 ER), .159 OBA in 5 starts
Rangers at Mariners odds
Provided by BetMGM Sportsbook; access USA TODAY Sports Scores and Sports Betting Odds hub for a full list. Lines last updated at 5:32 a.m. ET.
- Moneyline (ML): Rangers +155 (bet $100 to win $155) | Mariners -190 (bet $190 to win $100)
- Run line (RL)/Against the spread (ATS): Rangers +1.5 (-140) | Mariners -1.5 (+115)
- Over/Under (O/U): 7 (O: -120 | U: +100)
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Rangers at Mariners picks and predictions
Prediction
Mariners 4, Rangers 2
Moneyline
The Mariners (-190) are a little too pricey for my liking, costing you nearly 2 times your potential return. That’s just too much risk for not enough value for a standalone wager.
Even as part of a multi-team parlay, playing Seattle just isn’t worth it.
PASS and play the run line instead.
Run line/Against the spread
The MARINERS -1.5 (+115) cashed as the run line favorite in Tuesday’s 5-0 victory, and are 4-2 in their last 6 when laying the run and a half.
While the Rangers are 6-1 as underdogs on the run line — including 5 outright victories — it’s hard to trust Dunning against Castillo in the pitching matchup, especially at home.
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Over/Under
The UNDER 7 (+100) is the lean, especially after cashing in the first 2 meetings of this series.
The Under cashed in Dunning’s only other start this season is 4-3 in Castillo’s 7 starts.
The Under is also 5-2-1 in the past 8 games for the Rangers against a right-handed starting pitcher, while going 13-5 in the past 18 on the road vs. RHP. For the Mariners, the Under is 9-3 in the past 12 in Game 3 of a series, while going 5-1 in the past 6 meetings in Seattle.
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For more sports betting picks and tips, check out SportsbookWire.com and BetFTW.
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