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The Texas Rangers (71-78) and Seattle Mariners (76-73) wrap up a 4-game series Sunday. First pitch from T-Mobile Park is set for 4:10 p.m. ET. Let’s analyze BetMGM Sportsbook’s MLB odds around the Rangers vs. Mariners odds and make our expert MLB picks and predictions for the best bets.
Season series: Mariners lead 7-2
The Mariners have won 2 of 3 in this series so far, and each game has resulted in a 5-4 final score for the winner. The Over is 3-0 in the series, too.
On Friday night, OF Julio Rodriguez hit a 3-run HR in the 8th inning of a 5-4 Mariners victory, while the M’s saw DH Randy Arozarena drive in a run with the bases loaded in the bottom of the 9th Saturday for the 5-4 win.
The Rangers have dropped 4 of the past 5 games, while the Over has cashed in 4 consecutive outings.
For the Mariners, they’re still alive for a postseason spot, but they will need some help with just 13 regular-season games remaining. Seattle is 7-3 in the past 10 games since Sept. 4 while going Over at a 5-0-1 clip in the past 6 contests.
Rangers at Mariners projected starters
LHP Andrew Heaney vs. RHP George Kirby
Heaney (5-13, 3.84 ERA) makes his 29th start and 30th appearance. He has a 1.20 WHIP, 2.4 BB/9 and 9.2 K/9 in 145 1/3 IP.
- Last start: Win, 6 IP, 4 R (3 ER), 3 H (1 HR), 1 BB, 8 K in 7-4 home victory vs. Los Angeles Angels Sept. 8
- 2024 road splits: 2-7, 4.24 ERA, 74 1/3 IP, 35 ER, 84 H, 9 HR, 20 BB, 69 K, 1.40 WHIP in 15 starts
- Last 7 games: 1-2, 3.00 ERA, 36 IP, 12 ER, 8 BB, 42 K, 0.97 WHIP
- Career vs. Mariners: 4-9, 4.35 ERA, 109 2/3 IP, 53 ER, 35 BB, 121 K, 1.29 WHIP in 22 appearances (20 starts)
Kirby (11-11, 3.77 ERA) makes his 31st start. He has a 1.12 WHIP, 1.2 BB/9 and 8.7 K/9 in 172 IP.
- Last start: Loss, 5 IP, 5 ER, 7 H (2 HR), 1 BB, 4 K in 7-3 home setback vs. San Diego Padres Tuesday
- 2024 home splits: 5-5, 3.35 ERA, 75 1/3 IP, 28 ER, 72 H, 5 HR, 10 BB, 81 K, 1.09 WHIP in 13 starts
- Career vs. Rangers: 5-0, 1.08 ERA, 41 2/3 IP, 5 ER, 2 HR, 5 BB, 38 K, 8.2 K/9 with 0.86 WHIP in 7 starts
Who’s going yard? Here’s a breakdown of today’s best home run props with our top picks. Include the BetMGM bonus code SBWIRE to score a $1,500 first-bet offer.
Rangers at Mariners odds
Provided by BetMGM Sportsbook; access USA TODAY Sports Scores and Sports Betting Odds hub for a full list of MLB odds. Lines last updated at 7:52 a.m. ET.
- Moneyline (ML): Rangers +135 (bet $100 to win $135) | Mariners -160 (bet $160 to win $100)
- Run line (RL)/Against the spread (ATS): Rangers +1.5 (-175) | Mariners -1.5 (+145)
- Over/Under (O/U): 7 (O: -120 | U: +100)
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Rangers at Mariners picks and predictions
Prediction
Mariners 5, Rangers 2
Moneyline
The MARINERS (-160) are a solid play in the series finale against the southpaw Heaney. Seattle has a 21-19 mark against left-handed starting pitchers this season.
While Heaney has been pitching a little better for the Rangers (+135) lately, he is still a dismal 2-7 on the road this season, and 4-9 in his career against the M’s.
Run line/Against the spread
If you’re a little more adventurous, consider MARINERS -1.5 (+145) at plus-money.
There is a little risk with the play, as the 1st 3 games in this series have resulted in 1-run games, with Seattle walking it off the past 2 days. However, we’re betting against the erratic Heaney and backing Kirby, who has been money at home.
Over/Under
The total (7) is expected to come down right on the number. As a result, let’s AVOID and focus just on the moneyline or the run line.
If you absolutely, positively had to bet the total in this game, the lean would be to the Under, ever so slightly.
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