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The Seattle Mariners (74-72) welcome the Texas Rangers (70-76) to T-Mobile Park Thursday to open a 4-game series. First pitch is set for 9:40 p.m. ET (ESPN+). Let’s analyze BetMGM Sportsbook’s MLB odds around the Rangers vs. Mariners odds and make our expert MLB picks and predictions for the best bets.
Season series: Mariners lead 5-1
The Rangers lost 14-4 to the Arizona Diamondbacks Wednesday, dropping both games in the series. Texas is 5-3 over its last 8 games and sits 3rd in the AL West. It has been outscored 19-33 over its last 5 games. The Rangers are 29-42 on the road this season and 64-82 against the spread (ATS).
The Mariners beat the San Diego Padres 5-2 Wednesday, closing as +101 underdogs. They split the 2-game series and are 5-2 over their last 7 games. Entering the Padres series, Seattle was coming off a 2-1 series win at the St. Louis Cardinals Friday through Sunday. Seattle is 42-29 at home this season and sits 2nd in the AL West. It is 61-85 ATS.
Rangers at Mariners projected starters
RHP Kumar Rocker vs. RHP Bryce Miller
Rocker makes his 1st MLB start. MLB Pipeline’s No. 95 overall prospect was selected with the 3rd overall pick in the 2022 draft.
- Is first player of Indian descent to appear in MLB
- 2024 stats with Triple-A Round Rock: 0-0, 1.80 ERA (10 IP, 2 ER), 0.50 WHIP, 16.2 K/9 in 2 starts
- Last start with Triple-A Round Rock: No-decision, 5 IP, 2 ER, 3 H, 1 BB, 8 K in 4-3 loss at Triple-A Las Vegas Friday
Miller (11-8, 3.18 ERA) makes his 29th start. He has a 0.99 WHIP, 2.1 BB/9 and 8.4 K/9 through 161 1/3 innings.
- Last start: Win, 6 IP, 0 ER, 3 H, 2 BB, 4 K in 6-1 road win over St. Louis Cardinals Friday
- 2024 home stats: 6-3, 2.03 ERA (84 1/3 IP, 19 ER), 0.85 WHIP, 10.2 K/9 in 14 starts
- Career vs. Rangers: 0-3, 12.66 ERA (10 2/3 IP, 15 ER), 2.34 WHIP, 7.6 K/9 in 3 starts
Who’s going yard? Here’s a breakdown of today’s best home run props with our top picks. Include the BetMGM bonus code SBWIRE to score a $1,500 first-bet offer.
Rangers at Mariners odds
Provided by BetMGM Sportsbook; access USA TODAY Sports Scores and Sports Betting Odds hub for a full list of MLB odds. Lines last updated at 11:44 a.m. ET.
- Moneyline (ML): Rangers +115 (bet $100 to win $115) | Mariners -135 (bet $135 to win $100)
- Run line (RL)/Against the spread: Rangers +1.5 (-210) | Mariners -1.5 (+170)
- Over/Under (O/U): 7 (O: -105 | U: -115)
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Rangers at Mariners picks and predictions
Prediction
Mariners 6, Rangers 3
Moneyline
PASS.
There’s no great value on the moneyline here. The Mariners (-135) are too expensive to play, while the Rangers, with a starter making his debut, aren’t a great underdog play either.
Avoid this option.
Run line/Against the spread
BET MARINERS -1.5 (+170).
Seattle has dominated the season series and won 3 of the 6 games by multiple runs. It went 3-0 straight up and 2-1 on the run line in a 3-game home series vs. Texas June 14-16. The Mariners haven’t had a 1-run win since Aug. 25 and are 5-2 ATS in their last 7 games.
The Rangers haven’t had a 1-run los since Aug. 16, either, and have lost 3 of their last 5. Considering those trends and the starting pitching difference, back MARINERS -1.5 (+170).
Over/Under
BET OVER 7 (-120).
The Rangers have gone Over in 3 of their last 4 games and scored a total of 17 runs over their last 4. Texas has given up 28 in those games. It is 7-3 O/U in its last 10.
The Mariners are 4-1-2 O/U in their last 7 games and have scored at least 5 runs in 5 of their last 7. Seattle has scored double figures in 2 of their last 7 as well. Take OVER 7 (-120).
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