The New York Yankees (41-35) welcome the Texas Rangers (47-28) to Yankee Stadium Saturday for the 2nd of a 3-game set. First pitch is set for 4:05 p.m. ET. Let’s analyze BetMGM Sportsbook’s lines around the Rangers vs. Yankees odds and make our expert MLB picks and predictions for the best bets.
Season series: Texas leads 4-1.
The Yankees have lost 6 of their last 8 games, dropping the first of the 3-game series 4-2 Friday evening. New York is 23-19 at home, though, sitting 3rd in the AL East.
The Rangers have won 5 of their last 6 and are sitting atop the AL West. They are a strong 23-15 on the road this season and 6.5 games ahead of Houston for the lead in the division.
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Rangers at Yankees projected starters
RHP Jon Gray vs. RHP Luis Severino
Gray (6-2, 2.96 ERA) makes his 14th start. He has a 1.05 WHIP, 2.7 BB/9 and 7.7 K/9 through 76 IP.
- Gray gave up 6 earned runs in 2 1/3 innings against the Blue Jays June 18, his last time on the mound.
- The Rangers are 8-5 with Gray on the mound this season and have won 7 of his last 8 starts
Severino (0-2, 6.30 ERA) makes his 7th start. He has a 1.57 WHIP, 3.9 BB/9 and 8.4 K/9 through 30 IP.
- The 2-time All-Star is off to the worst start of his career and has a career-high ERA
- The Yankees are 3-3 in Severino’s 6 starts
Rangers at Yankees odds
Provided by BetMGM Sportsbook; access USA TODAY Sports Scores and Sports Betting Odds hub for a full list. Lines last updated at 10 a.m. ET.
- Moneyline (ML): Rangers -135 (bet $135 to win $100) | Yankees +110 (bet $100 to win $110)
- Run line (RL)/Against the spread (ATS): Rangers -1.5 (+125) | Yankees +1.5 (-150)
- Over/Under (O/U): 8.5 (O: -120 | U: +100)
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Rangers at Yankees picks and predictions
Prediction
Yankees 5, Rangers 3
Moneyline
PASS.
Texas has been great this season, but it hasn’t played as well as a road favorite, just 11-7 straight up this season. Gray is also coming off one of his worst showings of the year.
The Yankees are 3-3 straight up as a home underdog. While the value is there to play New York on the moneyline, I would prefer the juiced spread.
Run line/Against the spread
BET YANKEES +1.5 (-150).
The Yankees are 4-2 on the run line as a home underdog. New York is also 17-9 as a run line as an underdog, and with a 2-time All-Star pitcher on the mound, it should be able to stay close.
The Yankees have won 6 straight games on Saturdays as well, so this is a day they typically play well on. Overall, back YANKEES +1.5 (-150) given their ability to cover at home and as an underdog.
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Over/Under
LEAN UNDER 8.5 (+100).
The Under has hit in the teams’ last 4 meetings in the Big Apple. The Rangers are 1-2-1 O/U in their last 4 games and 1-3-1 O/U in games against the Yankees this season. The Yankees are 33-41-2 O/U this season and 1-5 O/U in their last 6.
Take UNDER 8.5 (+100).
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