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The Texas Rangers (73-57) and New York Mets (60-71) open up a 3-game set at Citi Field Monday. First pitch is at 7:10 p.m. ET. Let’s analyze BetMGM Sportsbook’s lines around the Rangers vs. Mets odds and make our expert MLB picks and predictions for the best bets.
Season series: First meeting; Mets won 2-1 last year
The Rangers are amidst their worst stretch of the season as they have lost 9 of their last 10 games. Texas is now 1 game out in the AL West and holds the 2nd AL Wild Card spot. The Rangers have mixed results at 20-23 in interleague play and in going 31-33 on the road.
The Mets snapped a 4-game losing skid with a win over the Los Angeles Angels Sunday. They’re 5-5 and 10-10 over the last 10 and 20 games, respectively. The Mets are 32-30 at home but just 15-22 in interleague play.
Rangers at Mets projected starters
RHP Jon Gray vs. RHP Tylor Megill
Gray (8-7, 3.76 ERA) makes his 24th start. He has a 1.23 WHIP, 3.0 BB/9 and 7.6 K/9 through 131 2/3 IP.
- Last start: Loss, 4 IP, 5 ER, 7 H, 3 BB, 5 K Tuesday against Arizona Diamondbacks
- Last 5 starts vs. Mets: 1-3, 9.82 ERA, 2.05 WHIP, 24 K in 22 IP
Megill (7-7, 5.54 ERA) makes his 20th start. He has a 1.73 WHIP, 4.5 BB/9 and 7.3 K/9 through 91 IP.
- Last outing: Loss, 4 2/3 IP, 3 ER, 8 H, 2 BB, 5 K Tuesday against the Atlanta Braves
- Home/road splits: 5-2, 3.49 ERA, 1.33 WHIP, 7.0 K/9 in 49 IP at home vs. 2-5, 7.93 ERA, 2.19 WHIP, 7.7 K/9 on road
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Rangers at Mets odds
Provided by BetMGM Sportsbook; access USA TODAY Sports Scores and Sports Betting Odds hub for a full list. Lines last updated 11:58 a.m. ET.
- Moneyline (ML): Rangers -140 (bet $140 to win $100) | Mets +115 (bet $100 to win $115)
- Run line (RL)/Against the spread (ATS): Rangers -1.5 (+110) | Mets +1.5 (-135)
- Over/Under (O/U): 9 (O: -105 | U: -115)
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Rangers at Mets picks and predictions
Prediction
Rangers 5 Mets 4
Moneyline
This is a tough one to forecast as the Rangers are the much-better team with the better starter, but they have allowed 4 or more runs in 8 of 9 games. Megill’s numbers are better at home, but I just don’t trust the Mets. Gray’s numbers against them are hideous, but much of that occurred while he was with the Colorado Rockies.
Take the RANGERS (-140).
Run line/Against the spread
I like the Mets to make this one competitive. They have been a .500 ball club for much of the month, and the Rangers have had issues allowing runs.
I’ll LEAN METS +1.5 (-135).
Over/Under
Texas is 5-4-1 O/U over the last 10, and the Mets are 2-8. The Mets have scored just 9 runs in the last 5 games. I’m projecting a push here, and I’ll just AVOID altogether.
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