The Texas Rangers (22-28) and Los Angeles Angels (21-27) close out a two-game series at Angel Stadium Wednesday with a 4:07 p.m. ET first pitch. Let’s analyze BetMGM Sportsbook‘s lines around the Rangers vs. Angels odds with MLB picks and predictions.
RHP Dane Dunning is the projected starting pitcher for the Rangers. He is 2-3 with a 3.74 ERA, 1.34 WHIP, 10.0 K/9 and 2.9 BB/9 over 43 1/3 IP through 9 starts.
Dunning tossed a clunker two starts back, but rallied with a fine 6-inning outing against the New York Yankees in his last start (6 IP, 0 ER, 1 BB, 6 K). The Angels touched him up for 4 R in 5 IP April 28.
RHP Griffin Canning is the projected starter for the Angels. He is 3-3 with a 5.56 ERA, 1.50 WHIP, 10.1 K/9 and 4.2 BB/9 in 34 IP over 7 starts and 1 relief appearance.
Canning is coming off a rocky last start (2 IP, 4 ER on 3 H and 4 BB Thursday vs. Minnesota). His problem starts in 2021 have been a toxic mix of walks and home runs; he has allowed 2.1 HR/9 over his 34 frames.
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Rangers at Angels odds, lines, picks and prediction
MLB odds courtesy of BetMGM; access USA TODAY Sports for a full list. Odds last updated at 9:25 a.m. ET.
- Money line: Rangers +105 (bet $100 to win $105) | Angels -130 (bet $130 to win $100)
- Against the spread/ATS: Rangers +1.5 (-190) | Angels -1.5 (+150)
- Over/Under: 8.5 (O: -110 | U: -110)
Prediction
Rangers 4, Angels 3
Money line (ML)
RANGERS (+105) has a slight lean here. Consider it as a partial-unit lean on the confidence meter.
It’s a play on Dunning, who is more of a ground-ball pitcher on a day with a batter’s breeze in the forecast. It’s also a lean based on the Rangers’ bullpen being a tad better and having the back end of that ‘pen available for duty.
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Run line/Against the spread (ATS)
PASS on the juice-filled run line option. The better value lies in backing the Rangers to win outright.
Over/Under (O/U)
The UNDER 8.5 (-110) is the top play. Peg all four quadrants of pitching (starters and relievers for both teams) as being somewhat underrated by their surface stats to date.
Statcast metrics indicate the quality of contact for both sides does not support the current run-scoring and power numbers.
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