Texas Rangers at Cleveland Guardians odds, picks and predictions

Analyzing Sunday’s Texas Rangers at Cleveland Guardians odds and lines, with MLB expert picks, predictions and best bets.

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The Texas Rangers (59-70) and the Cleveland Guardians (74-54) wrap up a 3-game series Sunday. First pitch from Progressive Field is set for 1:40 p.m. ET (MLB Network). Let’s analyze FanDuel Sportsbook’s lines around the Rangers vs. Guardians odds and make our expert MLB picks and predictions for the best bets.

Season series: Guardians lead 3-2

The Rangers picked up a 5-3 victory in Friday’s series opener, but the Guardians pounded the Rangers 13-5 on Saturday, cashing the Over (8.5) all on their own.

Despite the rout, Texas is still a respectable 4-2 in the past 6 games, and even with the Over result, the Rangers have cashed low on the total in 6 of the previous 9 outings.

For the Guardians, the 13 runs scored on Saturday were the most since also dropping 13 runs on the Tampa Bay Rays on July 7 in a win at Progressive Field. The Over has cashed in back-to-back games, but the Under is still 6-3 across the previous 9 contests.

Rangers at Guardians projected starters

LHP Cody Bradford vs. LHP Matthew Boyd

Bradford (4-1, 3.56 ERA) makes his 8th start and 9th appearance. He has a 0.95 WHIP, 1.3 BB/9 and 8.6 K/9 in 43 IP.

  • Last start: Loss, 7 IP, 3 ER, 5 H, 0 BB, 8 K in 4-0 home setback vs. Pittsburgh Pirates Tuesday
  • 2024 road splits: 1-0, 7.71 ERA (7 IP, 6 ER), 1.57 WHIP, .323 opponents’ batting average, 1 BB, 9 K in 2 appearances (1 start)
  • Career vs. Guardians: 1-1, 12.00 ERA (6 IP, 8 ER), 1.67 WHIP, 9.0 K/9 in 2 appearances (1 start)

Boyd (0-0, 3.38 ERA) makes his 3rd start. He has a 1.03 WHIP, 3.4 BB/9 and 6.8 K/9 in 10 2/3 IP.

  • Last start: No-decision, 5 1/3 IP, 3 ER, 4 H (2 HR), 4 BB, 2 K in 9-5 road victory in 12 innings vs. New York Yankees Tuesday
  • 2024 home splits: No-decision, 5 1/3 IP, 1 ER, 3 H, 0 BB, 6 K in 2-1 win vs. Chicago Cubs Aug. 13 in season debut and only home start
  • Career vs. Rangers: 1-7, 6.49 ERA (51 1/3 IP, 37 ER), 1.38 WHIP, 8.4 K/9 in 11 appearances (10 starts)

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Rangers at Guardians odds

Provided by FanDuel Sportsbook; access USA TODAY Sports Scores and Sports Betting Odds hub for a full list. Lines last updated at 1:23 a.m. ET.

  • Moneyline (ML): Rangers +108 (bet $100 to win $108) | Guardians -126 (bet $126 to win $100)
  • Run line (RL)/Against the spread (ATS): Rangers -1.5 (+160) | Guardians +1.5 (-194)
  • Over/Under (O/U): 8.5 (O: -106 | U: -114)

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Rangers at Guardians picks and predictions

Prediction

Guardians 6, Rangers 5

Moneyline

The GUARDIANS (-126) are worth playing lightly, but hold your nose and make the pick.

Neither of these teams give bettors a lot of confidence on Sunday. The Rangers (+108) are a dismal 13-19 this season against left-handed starting pitchers.

While Cleveland is an impressive 26-11 vs. LHP this season, best mark in the AL and best winning percentage against southpaws in the majors, Boyd has 1-7 career mark against Texas, which should give bettors pause.

Run line/Against the spread

The Guardians +1.5 (-194) will set you back nearly 2 times your potential return, if you need some insurance and just can’t back Cleveland straight up with Boyd on the hill. It’s not a recommended bet, as it is just too much risk and not nearly enough reward.

PASS.

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Over/Under

OVER 8.5 (-110) is a strong play with a pair of left-handed starters on the bump.

The Over is 2-2 in 4 starts for Bradford, including his only start on the road Aug. 10 against the New York Yankees.

The Over has split in Boyd’s only 2 outings, but again, he has terrible splits against the Rangers, including a 6.49 ERA.

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