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The Texas Rangers (55-65) take on the Boston Red Sox (63-55) Wednesday to wrap up a 3-game series. First pitch from Fenway Park is scheduled for 6:10 p.m. ET. Let’s analyze BetMGM Sportsbook’s lines around the Rangers vs. Red Sox odds and make our expert MLB picks and predictions for the best bets.
Season series: Boston leads 4-1
The Red Sox won 9-4 as -136 favorites Tuesday as the Over (10) hit.
Boston jumped ahead 6-0 in the 5th inning, thanks to a 3-run shot by C Connor Wong. The Red Sox nearly surrendered the lead in the 6th, as RP Cam Booser gave up an RBI single and 2 bases-loaded walks without recording an out. However, Texas failed to score again in the final 3 innings.
Rangers at Red Sox projected starters
TBD vs. RHP Tanner Houck
RHP Dane Dunning (4-7, 4.77 ERA) is expected to make his 13th start and 21st appearance. He has a 1.41 WHIP, 4.3 BB/9 and 9.1 K/9 through 77 1/3 innings.
- Last outing: No-decision, 2 IP, 0 ER, 2 H, 1 BB, 1 K in relief appearance of 8-7 setback at New York Yankees Sunday
- Last start: Loss, 4 2/3 IP, 2 ER, 4 H, 3 BB, 8 K in 5-0 defeat at Seattle Mariners June 16
- 2024 road stats: 2-3, 5.27 ERA (42 2/3 IP, 25 ER), 1.55 WHIP, 8.0 K/9 in 12 appearances (7 starts)
Houck (8-8, 3.02 ERA) makes his 24th start. He has a 1.14 WHIP, 2.4 BB/9 and 8.0 K/9 in 140 IP.
- Last start: No-decision, 6 IP, 1 ER, 4 H, 3 BB, 1 K in 8-4 home loss against Houston Astros Friday
- 2024 home stats: 4-5, 2.96 ERA (82 IP, 27 ER), 1.12 WHIP, 7.6 K/9 in 13 starts
Who’s going yard? Here’s a breakdown of today’s best home run props with our top picks. Include the BetMGM bonus code SBWIRE to score a $1,500 first-bet offer.
Rangers at Red Sox odds
Provided by BetMGM Sportsbook; access USA TODAY Sports Scores and Sports Betting Odds hub for a full list. Lines last updated at 11:03 a.m. ET.
- Moneyline (ML): Rangers +125 (bet $100 to win $125) | Red Sox -150 (bet $150 to win $100)
- Run line (RL)/Against the spread (ATS): Rangers +1.5 (-160) | Red Sox -1.5 (+135)
- Over/Under (O/U): 9.5 (O: +100 | U: -120)
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Rangers at Red Sox picks and predictions
Prediction
Red Sox 6, Rangers 5
Moneyline
As road underdogs, the Rangers post the 4th-worst record in baseball, winning just 13 of their 40 games (32.5%).
On the other hand, the Red Sox as home favorites are nearly as bad. They won 19 of their 42 games (45.2%).
I still like the Red Sox to sweep, especially since the Rangers delayed the announcement of their starting pitcher. However, at -150, there are other bets on this game with higher value.
LEAN RED SOX (-150).
Run line/Against the spread
Both Boston and Texas are in the bottom 5 in covering the run line. Since I am picking Boston for this game, I don’t have confidence that it can win and cover today.
PASS.
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Over/Under
The Rangers-Red Sox head-to-head series this year has been filled with offense. In the 5 meetings this season, Boston has scored a total of 36 runs (7.2 per game). Texas, while scoring fewer runs, has still put up 23 in the season series (4.6 runs per game).
Plus, Boston is 32-25-5 to the Over after a win.
BET OVER 9.5 (+100).
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