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The Texas Rangers (51-35) take on the Boston Red Sox (43-43) in the 2nd game of a 3-game set Wednesday at Fenway Park. First pitch is at 7:10 p.m. ET (MLB Network). Let’s analyze BetMGM Sportsbook’s lines around the Rangers vs. Red Sox odds and make our expert MLB picks and predictions for the best bets.
Season series: Rangers lead 1-0
The Rangers took the series opener 6-2 on Tuesday, powered by a C Mitch Garver 3-run homer in the 2nd inning. Texas has been treading water over the last month, going 10-10 and 15-15 over the last 20 and 30 games, respectively. The Houston Astros have taken advantage of Texas’ mediocre play and are now just 3 games back for the AL West lead. The Rangers are 24-17 away from home this season.
The Red Sox matched the Rangers’ 10 hits Tuesday but could only muster up 2 runs. They have had similar results over the last month or so, going 10-10 and 14-16 over the last 20 and 30 games. Boston sits in last place in the AL East, 13 games behind the division-leading Tampa Bay Rays. The Sox have not played particularly well at home and are just 21-22 at Fenway Park this season.
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Rangers at Red Sox projected starters
RHP Jon Gray vs. RHP Brayan Bello
Gray (6-4, 3.21 ERA) makes his 16th start. He has a 1.08 WHIP, 2.8 BB/9 and 7.6 K/9 through 87 IP.
- Last start: Loss, 6 IP, 5 ER, 7 H, 2 BB, 4 K Friday against the Houston Astros
- Hasn’t faced the Red Sox since 2016
- Road warrior: 4-1, 1.99 ERA, 0.89 WHIP in 7 road starts; 2-3, 4.27 ERA, 1.25 WHIP in 8 home starts
Bello (5-5, 3.08 ERA) makes his 14th start. He has a 1.19 WHIP, 2.7 BB/9 and 8.3 K/9 across 73 IP.
- Last start: Loss, 7 IP, 1 ER, 2 H, 1 BB, 5 K against the Miami Marlins Thursday
- Has allowed 2 ER or fewer in 10 of his last 11 starts
- 1 career start vs. Texas: 6 IP, 0 ER, 3 H, 1 BB, 5 K on Sept. 3, 2022
Rangers at Red Sox odds
Provided by BetMGM Sportsbook; access USA TODAY Sports Scores and Sports Betting Odds hub for a full list. Lines last updated at 9:03 a.m. ET.
- Moneyline (ML): Rangers -110 (bet $110 to win $100) | Red Sox -110 (bet $110 to win $100)
- Run line (RL)/Against the spread (ATS): Rangers -1.5 (+145) | Red Sox +1.5 (-175)
- Over/Under (O/U): 9.5 (O: -115 | U: -105)
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Rangers at Red Sox picks and predictions
Prediction
Red Sox 4, Rangers 3
Moneyline
I like the Red Sox here because Bello has been great the last month-and-a-half. He’s just 2-4 but has a 2.22 ERA and 0.94 WHIP in his last 7 starts. Meanwhile, Gray has been trending in the wrong direction with 5 ER in 2 of his last 3 starts. He is great on the road, but 7 walks in his last 3 starts keep him from going deep into games.
Take the RED SOX (-110).
Run line/Against the spread
The Rangers are favored, and the Red Sox are outpriced on the RL Wednesday.
Instead of the run line, I’m riding with BRAYAN BELLO OVER 17.5 OUTS (-135). He has gone at least 6 innings in 5 straight outings and 6 of his last 7 starts. He also did so in his only career start against Texas.
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Over/Under
This seems like a tall number. Gray has been great on the road, and Bello has been great the last couple of months. Texas is 4-3-3 O/U over the last 10, and Boston is 4-6.
The Under is 3-0-1 in Texas’ last 4 against the AL East and is 3-0-2 in Texas’ last 5 road games. The Under is 8-1 for Boston in the last 9 after they allowed 5 runs or more in a game and 7-1 in the Red Sox’s last 8 following a loss.
I like the UNDER 9.5 (-105).
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