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The Texas Rangers (37-45) and Baltimore Orioles (52-30) play the 3rd contest of a 4-game series Saturday. First pitch from Oriole Park at Camden Yards is scheduled for 7:15 p.m. ET (FOX). Let’s analyze BetMGM Sportsbook’s lines around the Rangers vs. Orioles odds and make our expert MLB picks and predictions for the best bets.
Season series: Orioles lead 2-0
The Rangers were nipped 2-1 Friday, dropping a 5th straight outing. Texas continues to struggle on offense, going for just 12 total runs in the losing skid, good for just 2.4 runs per game (RPG). The pitching staff has allowed 6 or more runs in 3 of those games, though, so the Over is still 3-2 in the 5-game skid.
The Orioles have won 3 straight games, turning things around after a 5-game skid of their own from June 21-25. It’s been all about pitching as Baltimore has allowed just 5 runs in the 3-games, or 1.7 RPG. The Under and Over has alternated in each of the past 8 games, with the Under (8.5) cashing Friday.
Rangers at Orioles projected starters
RHP Michael Lorenzen vs. LHP Cade Povich
Lorenzen (4-3, 3.04 ERA) makes his 14th start. He has a 1.16 WHIP, 3.6 BB/9 and 6.4 K/9 in 77 innings.
- Last start: No-decision, 5 IP, 2 ER, 5 H, 1 BB, 5 K in 6-3 loss at Milwaukee Brewers Monday
- 2023 road splits: 8-4, 4.31 ERA (85 2/3 IP, 41 ER), 1.17 WHIP, .238 opponents’ batting average (OBA), 21 HR, 22 BB, 95 K in 15 starts
- Career vs. Orioles: 0-0, 0.00 ERA (6 IP, 0 ER), 1.00 WHIP, 0 HR, 7.5 K/9 in 1 start and 1 relief appearance
Povich (0-2, 4.15 ERA) makes his 5th start. He has a 1.29 WHIP, 4.2 BB/9 and 5.8 K/9 in 21 2/3 innings.
- Last start: Loss, 5 2/3 IP, 3 ER, 7 H (1 HR), 1 BB, 5 K in 3-2 home setback vs. Cleveland Guardians Monday
- 2024 home splits: 0-1, 2.31 ERA (11 2/3 IP, 3 ER), 1.11 WHIP, .261 OBA, 1 HR, 1 BB, 11 K in 2 starts
- Career vs. Guardians: 0-1, 4.76 ERA (5 2/3 IP, 3 ER), 1.41 WHIP, 1 HR, 7.5 K/9 in 1 start
Who’s going yard? Here’s a breakdown of today’s best home run props with our top picks. Include the BetMGM bonus code SBWIRE to score a $1,500 first-bet offer.
Rangers at Orioles odds
Provided by BetMGM Sportsbook; access USA TODAY Sports Scores and Sports Betting Odds hub for a full list. Lines last updated at 7:13 a.m. ET.
- Moneyline (ML): Rangers +125 (bet $100 to win $125) | Orioles -155 (bet $155 to win $100)
- Run line (RL)/Against the spread (ATS): Rangers +1.5 (-155) | Orioles -1.5 (+125)
- Over/Under (O/U): 9 (O: -110 | U: -110)
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Rangers at Orioles picks and predictions
Prediction
Rangers 4, Orioles 3
Moneyline
The RANGERS (+125) are worth a roll of the dice as short ‘dogs in this 3rd installment of the 4-game set.
Texas has struggled against left-handed starting pitchers, going 11-14 this season, so be careful. However, you can trust Lorenzen on the road against the rookie southpaw Povich. The results are in, and Povich will NOT be the winning pitcher.
Run line/Against the spread
The RANGERS +1.5 (-155) are not priced out of line if you can’t trust Texas straight up, and you’d prefer a little bit of insurance instead.
Texas has been outscored 28-12 in the 5-game losing skid, but 2 of the past 3 losses have been 1-run games.
Over/Under
UNDER 9 (-110) might be a surprising play in a matchup of Lorenzen and Povich, but both pitchers are actually not that bad.
The Under has a 5-3-1 edge in the past 9 games for the Rangers, while the O’s have been on a total roller coaster ride, alternating the Under and Over in the past 8 games since June 21.
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