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The Texas Rangers (72-53) and Arizona Diamondbacks (65-61) play the finale of a 2-game set at Chase Field Tuesday. First pitch is at 9:40 p.m. ET (MLB Network). Let’s analyze BetMGM Sportsbook’s lines around the Rangers vs. Diamondbacks odds and make our expert MLB picks and predictions for the best bets.
Season series: Diamondbacks lead 2-1
The Rangers have lost 5 in a row after the 4-3 defeat in 11 innings Monday in the series opener. They still hold a 1 1/2-game lead over the Houston Astros in the AL West. Texas is 30-29 on the road as opposed to 42-24 at home this season.
The Diamondbacks have won 6 of 7 games and are 8-2 over their last 10. However, they are still just 11-19 over their last 30 games. Arizona is just a half-game out of the final NL Wild Card spot.
Rangers at Diamondbacks projected starters
RHP Jon Gray vs. RHP Zac Gallen
Gray (8-6, 3.52 ERA) makes his 23rd start. He has a 1.19 WHIP, 2.9 BB/9 and 7.5 K/9 through 127 2/3 IP.
- Last start: Loss, 7 IP, 1 ER, 6 H, 2 BB, 4 K Wednesday against the Los Angeles Angels
- Last 5 starts vs. Diamondbacks: 0-1, 7.43 ERA, 1.35 WHIP, 28 K in 26 2/3 IP
Gallen (13-5, 3.17 ERA) makes his 27th start. He has a 1.05 WHIP, 1.8 BB/9 and 9.3 K/9 through 162 IP.
- Last start: Win, 6 1/3 IP, 1 ER, 3 H, 1 BB, 3 K Thursday at San Diego Padres
- 2 career starts vs. Rangers: 0-1, 4.63 ERA, 1.11 WHIP, 14 K in 11 2/3 IP
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Rangers at Diamondbacks odds
Provided by BetMGM Sportsbook; access USA TODAY Sports Scores and Sports Betting Odds hub for a full list. Lines last updated at 8:41 a.m. ET.
- Moneyline (ML): Rangers +105 (bet $100 to win $105) | Diamondbacks -125 (bet $125 to win $100)
- Run line (RL)/Against the spread (ATS): Rangers +1.5 (-190) | Diamondbacks -1.5 (+155)
- Over/Under (O/U): 8.5 (O: -105 | U: -115)
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Rangers at Diamondbacks picks and predictions
Prediction
Diamondbacks 4, Rangers 3
Moneyline
The Rangers are struggling to score runs. They plated 14 runs in the last 5 games, and 8 of those came in 1 game. Gallen has been great, allowing 3 ER in 19 1/3 IP over his last 3 starts. He’s also a massive home-road split pitcher. He’s 10-1 with a 1.82 ERA in the desert and 3-4 with a 4.46 ERA on the road.
Take the DIAMONDBACKS (-125).
Run line/Against the spread
The Diamondbacks are 30-32 on the RL at home this season, and Texas is 32-27 on the road. I like the Texas +1.5 (-190) side here, but we’re not paying nearly double the return.
PASS.
Over/Under
As mentioned, Gallen is great at home and has been great in his last 3 starts. Gray has also allowed just 1 ER in 14 IP over his last 2 starts. Texas is 4-6 O/U over the last 10, and Arizona is 4-5-1. The Over is 6-4 over the last 10 meetings between the teams, but with these 2 hurlers going today, I’ll LEAN UNDER 8.5 (-115).
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