Texas at Arkansas odds, picks and predictions

Analyzing Saturday’s Texas at Arkansas odds and lines, with college football expert picks, predictions and best bets.

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The 3rd-ranked Texas Longhorns (8-1, 4-1 SEC) and Arkansas Razorbacks (5-4, 3-3) meet Saturday. Kickoff from Razorback Stadium in Fayetteville, Ark., is scheduled for noon ET (ABC / ESPN+). Let’s analyze FanDuel Sportsbook’s college football odds around the Texas vs. Arkansas odds, and make our expert college football picks and predictions.

The Longhorns head to Arkansas for this old Southwest Conference matchup. Arkansas has won the past 2 meetings in this series, with the most recent victory coming 40-21 as a 6.5-point underdog Sept. 11, 2021. The last time the Longhorns topped the Hogs was Sept. 27, 2008, at the DKR.

Texas worked over Florida 49-17 last weekend in Austin, cashing as a 23-point favorite. In 3 games off campus, either in a true road game or neutral-site affair, the Longhorns are 3-0 straight up (SU) and 2-1 against the spread (ATS), with the total going 1-1-1 in those outings.

Arkansas needs 1 more win in the next 3 outings to become bowl eligible. It is concerning that the Hogs were pounded 63-31 at home against Ole Miss last time out on Nov. 2 as an 8-point underdog.

The Razorbacks are just 2-3 SU in the past 5 games, while failing to cover 2 of the previous 3 outings. The Over has hit in back-to-back games for the first time since the total went high in 3 straight to open the season.

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Texas at Arkansas odds

Provided by FanDuel Sportsbook; access USA TODAY Sports Scores and Sports Betting Odds hub for a full list of college football odds. Lines last updated at 8:06 a.m. ET.

  • Moneyline (ML): Texas -530 (bet $530 to win $100) | Arkansas +390 (bet $100 to win $390)
  • Against the spread: Texas -12.5 (-115) | Arkansas +12.5 (-105)
  • Over/Under (O/U): 57.5 (O: -110 | U: -110)

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Texas at Arkansas picks and predictions

Prediction

Texas 37, Arkansas 16

Moneyline

Texas (-530) will cost you more than 5 times your potential return, and that’s way too much risk for not enough reward.

Arkansas (+390) showed too many holes against Ole Miss last week, exposing so many weaknesses. The Razorbacks just don’t have the offense to hang with the ‘Horns.

AVOID.

Against the spread

Back TEXAS -12.5 (-115) on the road, and look for the Longhorns to win this one going away.

Arkansas +12.5 (-105) is 2-0 ATS this season as a double-digit underdog this season, including a 19-14 outright win over Tennessee Oct. 15. While that was certainly impressive, losses in the 2 most recent home games against LSU and Ole Miss by 24 or more points is not.

Over/Under

UNDER 57.5 (-110) is a strong play despite the fact the Over has connected in 2 in a row for Arkansas.

The Under is 4-2 in the past 6 outings for the Razorbacks, while going 2-1 in the past 3 home games.

For the Longhorns, the total has gone low at a 3-1-1 clip in the past 5 outings, while allowing 17 or fewer points in 7 of 9 games this season.

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