TCU at Oklahoma odds, picks and prediction

Analyzing Saturday’s TCU Horned Frogs at Oklahoma Sooners odds and lines, with college football expert picks, predictions and best bets.

The TCU Horned Frogs (3-2, 1-1 Big 12) travel to meet the No. 3 Oklahoma Sooners (6-0, 3-0) Saturday at Memorial Stadium in Norman, Okla. Kickoff is scheduled for 7:30 p.m. ET. Below, we look at the TCU vs. Oklahoma odds and lines, and make our expert college football picks, predictions and bets.

The Horned Frogs were in freefall with a pair of losses to SMU and Texas, but they bounced back with a 52-31 road win at Texas Tech Oct. 9 as 2.5-point favorites. It was TCU’s first cover after opening 0-3-1 against the spread (ATS) this season.

The Sooners had a ridiculous 55-48 comeback win against Texas in the Red River Showdown in Dallas Oct. 9, covering as 4-point favorites. Head coach Lincoln Riley turned to backup QB Caleb Williams in the middle of the game, benching Heisman hopeful QB Spencer Rattler. The cover snapped an 0-3 ATS skid.

Rankings according to the AFCA Coaches Poll powered by USA TODAY Sports.

TCU at Oklahoma odds, spread and lines

Odds provided by Tipico Sportsbook; access USA TODAY Sports’ betting odds for a full list. Lines last updated Wednesday at 5:52 p.m. ET.

  • Money line: TCU +420 (bet $100 to win $420) | Oklahoma -600 (bet $600 to win $100)
  • Against the spread (ATS): TCU +13.5 (-108) | Oklahoma -13.5 (-112)
  • Over/Under (O/U): 65.5 (O: -105 | U: -115)

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TCU at Oklahoma odds, lines, picks and predictions

Prediction

Oklahoma 41, TCU 27

Money line

Oklahoma (-600) will cost you six times your potential return. That’s just too much risk and not enough reward. The Sooners are coming off an epic comeback win, and a little bit of a letdown this week could be possible.

AVOID and look to the spread instead.

Against the spread

OKLAHOMA -13.5 (-108) might be a bit sluggish, especially in the early going, and TCU certainly has the horses to at least hang for a little bit.

The Horned Frogs scored 52 points last week at Texas Tech, proving they have some offensive weapons. But whether it’s Williams, Rattler or a combination of the two under center for the Sooners, Oklahoma is just too strong offensively to beat over 60 minutes.

Over/Under

OVER 65.5 (-105) is the play here. Oklahoma rolled up 55 points last week, while TCU also went for 50-plus. The Horned Frogs have hit the Over in three of the past four, also allowing 31 or more points in each of the past four. Defense isn’t exactly a hallmark for the Frogs.

The Sooners have gone for 37 or more points in four of six outings, hitting the Over in each of those contests. OU is good for 41.2 point per game (PPG) to rank eighth in the country, and its 20th in total yards per game at 472.5. The Sooners have allowed 23.8 PPG, so they’re not quite elite in that department. That’s good for Over bettors.

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