The No. 24 TCU Horned Frogs (17-8, 6-6 Big-12) square off with the No. 18 Iowa State Cyclones (16-8, 7-5) Wednesday. Tip-off at James H. Hilton Coliseum is at 9 p.m. ET (ESPNU). Below, we analyze Tipico Sportsbook’s lines around the TCU vs. Iowa State odds, and make our expert college basketball picks, predictions and bets.
Rankings courtesy of the USA TODAY Sports Coaches Poll.
TCU will be looking to get revenge on Iowa State for a 69-67 defeat on Jan. 7. The Horned Frogs were topped on their home court despite being favored by 5.5 points as the Cyclones recorded 1 of their 2 road wins this season.
Both teams have been far different at home than on the road. TCU is 3-5 on the road (11-3 at home) and Iowa State is 12-1 at home (2-6 on the road).
TCU lost 72-68 as a 2-point underdog to Baylor Saturday; Iowa State comes in off a 64-56 road loss to Oklahoma State Saturday despite being a 7-point favorite.
Both teams have found victories difficult to come by in Big-12 action after opening the season strong in non-conference play. Despite that, this game will go a long way toward momentum entering March — especially if TCU can garner its 4th road win of the season against a top-20 team.
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TCU at Iowa State odds
Provided by Tipico Sportsbook; access USA TODAY Sports Scores and Sports Betting Odds hub for a full list. Lines last updated at 12:42 a.m. ET.
- Moneyline (ML): TCU +145 (bet $100 to win $145) | Iowa State -190 (bet $190 to win $100)
- Against the spread (ATS): TCU +3.5 (-105) | Iowa State -3.5 (-115)
- Over/Under (O/U): 134.5 (O: -105 | U: -115)
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TCU at Iowa State picks and predictions
Prediction
Iowa State 65, TCU 63
Moneyline
PASS.
Iowa State (-190) has performed well at home this season and a match with TCU should be no different. However, while this line is okay to add to a parlay it is not suitable for a straight wager.
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Against the spread
BET TCU +3.5 (-105).
Iowa State, despite its good play at home, has been uneven in recent outings and TCU will have revenge on its mind after losing to the Cyclones on its home floor.
Iowa State is 1-6 ATS in its last 7 games and is also 1-6 ATS in its last 7 against teams with a winning record. TCU is 9-1 ATS in its last 10 Wednesday games and the underdog has covered in the last 5 meetings in this series. The Horned Frogs will be able to stay inside this number.
Over/Under
Take the UNDER 134.5 (-105)
This game will be a low-scoring mesh of solid defense and bad shooting. Iowa State has the 17th-ranked scoring defense at 61.8 points allowed per game and the TCU offense only ranks 72nd with 76.2 points per game. On the road in Ames, the Horned Frogs will find getting to this number difficult.
TCU allows 66.8 points and will also find holding the 210th-ranked offense of Iowa State (70.1 points) less of a challenge than recent opponents it has faced. With both offenses struggling against solid defenses, the UNDER 134.5 (-105) is the way to go.
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