Tampa Bay Rays at New York Yankees odds, picks and predictions

Analyzing Sunday’s Tampa Bay Rays at New York Yankees odds and lines, with MLB expert picks, predictions and best bets.

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The Tampa Bay Rays (49-49) and New York Yankees (59-41) conclude their 3-game series Sunday. First pitch from Yankee Stadium is set for 1:35 p.m. ET. Let’s analyze FanDuel Sportsbook’s lines around the Rays vs. Yankees odds and make our expert MLB picks and predictions for the best bets.

Season series: Yankees lead 6-5

RHP Taj Bradley held the potent New York Yankees lineup to 1 hit over 7 innings in a 9-1 victory on Saturday. LF Randy Arozarena went 4-for-5 with 2 HRs and 3 RBI and C Alex Jackson had a 3-run blast. Tampa Bay is 22-22 on the road this season.

New York starter Nestor Cortes lasted only 4 1/3 innings after giving up 6 ER on 8 hits Saturday. The Yankees could only muster 5 hits and their only run was an RBI groundout from LF Jahmai Jones in the bottom of the 9th. New York is 26-20 at home.

Rays at Yankees projected starters

RHP Shane Baz vs. RHP Marcus Stroman

Baz (0-1, 5.23 ERA) makes his 3rd start. He has a 1.45 WHIP, 1.7 BB/9 and 9.6 K/9 in 10 1/3 IP.

  • Last start: No-decision, 4 1/3 IP, 3 ER, 6 H, 1 BB, 5 K in 5-4 victory against the New York Yankees on July 11
  • Career: 3-3, 4.26 ERA (50 2/3 IP, 24 ER), 1.18 WHIP, 2.5 BB/9 and 10.5 K/9 in 11 career starts

Stroman (7-4, 3.51 ERA) makes his 20th start. He has a 1.32 WHIP, 4.0 BB/9 and 6.7 K/9 in 105 IP.

  • Last start: No-decision, 4 1/3 IP, 1 ER, 7 H, 2 BB, 2 K in 2-1 defeat at Tampa Bay Rays on July 10
  • 2024 home splits: 2-3, 4.59 ERA (51 IP, 26 ER), 1.24 WHIP, 8.8 K/9 in 9 starts
  • Career vs. Rays: 6-8, 4.49 ERA (104 1/3 IP, 58 R (52 ER), 110 H, 34 BB, 85 K in 18 starts

Who’s going yard? Here’s a breakdown of today’s best home run props with our top picks. Include the BetMGM bonus code SBWIRE to score a $1,500 first-bet offer.

Rays at Yankees odds

Provided by FanDuel Sportsbook; access USA TODAY Sports Scores and Sports Betting Odds hub for a full list. Lines last updated at 1:12 a.m. ET.

  • Moneyline (ML): Rays +128 (bet $100 to win $128) | Yankees -152 (bet $152 to win $100)
  • Run line (RL)/Against the spread (ATS): Rays +1.5 (-160) | Yankees -1.5 (+132)
  • Over/Under (O/U): 8.5 (O: -122 | U: +100)

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Rays at Yankees picks and predictions

Prediction

Yankees 6, Rays 2

Moneyline

PASS.

I like the Yankees (-152) to take the series on Sunday afternoon but I don’t like those odds. I’ll look toward the run line for my wager.

Run line/Against the spread

BET YANKEES -1.5 (+132).

The Rays took advantage of a struggling Cortes on Saturday but that won’t happen on Sunday. Stroman has been brilliant in his last 2 starts against Tampa Bay allowing 1 ER over 13 1/3 IP. He was hard luck loser in his last start against the Rays because the Yankees offense could not back him up against Zach Eflin. This will be a different story against the youngster Baz.

New York is looking to avoid dropping its 6th straight series at home.

Over/Under

PASS.

I don’t see a clear edge on the total, which is why I’ll be staying away from it. In their last 10 meetings, they are 5-4-1 against the Over and 1-1 in this series thus far.

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