The Tampa Bay Rays (64-44) and New York Yankees (55-50) play the opener of a 3-game set at Yankee Stadium Monday. First pitch is at 7:05 p.m. ET (MLB Network). Let’s analyze BetMGM Sportsbook’s lines around the Rays vs. Yankees odds and make our expert MLB picks and predictions for the best bets.
Season series: Rays lead 4-3
The Rays took 2 of 3 from the Houston Astros over the weekend in hopes of breaking their slide. They are just 7-13 over the last 20 games to fall 1 1/2 games out of 1st place in the AL East. A lot of their problems have been on the road at 27-25 compared to 37-19 at home.
The Yankees lost 2 of 3 to Baltimore over the weekend, but they received a major boost with OF Aaron Judge returning from the injured list. He went 3-for-5 with a HR in his 2nd game back Saturday. The Yankees are 8-12 in their last 20 and sit 9 games back in the division and 3 1/2 out of a Wild-Card spot.
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Rays at Yankees projected starters
RHP Tyler Glasnow vs. RHP Domingo German
Glasnow (4-3, 3.36 ERA) makes his 12th start. He has a 1.12 WHIP, 2.9 BB/9 and 12.8 K/9 in 61 2/3 innings.
- Last start: Win, 7 IP, 1 ER, 2 H, 2 BB, 8 K Tuesday in 4-1 loss against the Miami Marlins
- Last 5 starts vs. Yankees: 2-1, 3.42 ERA, 1.06 WHIP, 37 K in 26 1/3 IP
German (5-7, 4.77 ERA) makes his 20th start. He has a 1.09 WHIP, 2.8 BB/9 and 9.5 K/9 in 103 2/3 innings.
- Last start: Loss, 6 IP, 6 ER, 7 H, 1 BB, 9 K Tuesday in 9-3 loss to the New York Mets
- Career vs. Rays: 13 games, 11 starts, 3-3, 5.04 ERA, 1.30 WHIP, 8.9 K/9
Rays at Yankees odds
Provided by BetMGM Sportsbook; access USA TODAY Sports Scores and Sports Betting Odds hub for a full list. Lines last updated at 8:25 a.m. ET.
- Moneyline (ML): Rays -135 (bet $135 to win $100) | Yankees +110 (bet $100 to win $110)
- Run line (RL)/Against the spread (ATS): Rays -1.5 (+125) | Yankees +1.5 (-155)
- Over/Under (O/U): 8.5 (O: -105 | U: -115)
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Rays at Yankees picks and predictions
Prediction
Rays 6, Yankees 5
Moneyline
The Rays have the advantage on the rubber to start the game as German has allowed 11 ER in 12 IP in his last 2 starts. He has been tagged for 5 runs in 4 of his last 7 starts. Glasnow has a 2.23 ERA over his last 6 starts with 55 K’s in 36 1/3 IP.
I’ll LEAN RAYS -135.
Run line/Against the spread
The Rays are just 25-27 on the RL on the road. The Yankees are just 27-29 at home on the RL, and it has been a disappointing season to say the least. With Judge back, though, and the best bullpen ERA at 3.14, I’m willing to pay the juice for YANKEES +1.5 (-155) at home.
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Over/Under
The Rays are 4-6 O/U over the last 10 games, and the Yankees are 5-4-1. When they play each other, it has been another story with the Over cashing 8 out of 10 times. The Under has cashed just once in 7 games in this matchup this year. These teams are coming off of 2 high-scoring series, and I look for the Over to just sneak past to victory.
LEAN OVER 8 (-105).
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