The Tampa Bay Rays (32-11) and New York Mets (20-23) continue a 3-game set Wednesday at Citi Field. First pitch is slated for 7:10 p.m. ET. Let’s analyze FanDuel Sportsbook’s lines around the Rays vs. Mets odds and make our expert MLB picks and predictions for the best bets.
Season series: Tampa Bay leads 1-0
The Rays have scored exactly 8 runs in 3 straight games and 4 of their last 5. Over those 5 contests, Tampa Bay owns an .885 OPS.
After Tuesday’s 8-5 loss, the Mets are 3-7 over their last 10 games. New York pitchers walked 5 batters Tuesday and have walked 5-plus 6 times in their last 11 games.
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Rays at Mets projected starters
LHP Josh Fleming vs. RHP Kodai Senga
Fleming (0-0, 4.26 ERA) is making his 2nd start aand 8th appearance. He has a 1.42 WHIP, 4.0 BB/9 and 4.8 K/9 in 31 2/3 innings.
- Owns a 3.37 ERA over his last 21 1/3 IP
- Owns a 7.50 ERA on the road since 2021, albeit in a small sample size (78 IP)
Senga (4-2, 4.14 ERA) makes his 8 start. He has notched a 1.51 WHIP, 5.6 BB/9 and 10.5 K/9 in 37 innings.
- Has allowed 4 R or more in 3 of his last 5 starts
- Owns a 1.59 ERA at home and a 6.30 ERA on the road
Rays at Mets odds
Provided by FanDuel Sportsbook; access USA TODAY Sports Scores and Sports Betting Odds hub for a full list. Lines last updated at 1:45 p.m. ET.
- Moneyline: Rays +108 (bet $100 to win $108) | Mets -126 (bet $126 to win $100)
- Run line (RL)/Against the spread (ATS): Rays +1.5 (-200) | Mets -1.5 (+164)
- Over/Under (O/U): 8.5 (O: -112 | U: -108)
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Rays at Mets picks and predictions
Prediction
Mets 6, Rays 4
Moneyline
Neither starter is worth getting behind in this one: PASS.
Run line/Against the spread
The likable Over makes the Mets RL play worth a look. But Tampa’s power and Senga’s dodgy control at times (7.0 BB/9) from April 14-May 5 make for too much risk to take on unless the return was +170 or better.
PASS.
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Over/Under
The pitching in this match-up has some fade lean with both starters and a Tampa bullpen which has thus far skated by with a .243 batting average on balls in play.
The Rays’ offense has been clicking, enough so to discount an inward breeze and BET THE OVER 8.5 (-112).
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