The Detroit Tigers (49-61) and the Tampa Bay Rays (67-46) meet Sunday at Comerica Park for a finale of a 3-game set. First pitch is set for 1:40 p.m. ET. Let’s analyze BetMGM Sportsbook’s lines around the Rays vs. Tigers odds and make our expert MLB picks and predictions for the best bets.
Season series: Rays lead 4-1
Tampa Bay suffered a 4-2 loss Saturday in the second game of the series. The loss marked the Rays’ first this season vs. the Tigers as Tampa opened the season with a 3-game sweep over its AL Central foe and took the opener 8-0 Friday.
The Rays are 6-3 over their last 9 games and 30-27 on the road this season. They are 3 games behind the Baltimore Orioles in the AL East. The Tigers, which sit 8 games behind the Minnesota Twins in the AL Central, are 3-7 over their last 10 and 23-31 at home.
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Rays at Tigers projected starters
RHP Tyler Glasnow vs. RHP Matt Manning
Glasnow (5-3, 3.15 ERA) makes his 13th start. He has a 1.08 WHIP, 2.9 BB/9 and 12.6 K/9 through 68 2/3 IP.
- Last start: Win, 7 IP, 1 ER, 3 H, 2 BB, 8 K in 5-1 road win vs. New York Yankees Monday
- 2023 away splits: 3-1, 2.76 ERA (29 1/3 IP, 9 ER) in 5 starts
- First career start vs. Tigers
Manning (3-3, 4.53 ERA) makes his 10th start. He has a 1.11 WHIP, 2.5 BB/9 and 6.8 K/9 through 47 2/3 IP.
- Last start: Loss, 6 IP, 4 ER, 8 H, 0 BB, 6 K in 4-1 road loss vs. Pittsburgh Pirates Tuesday
- 2023 home splits: 1-1, 4.61 ERA (13 2/3 IP, 7 ER) in 3 starts
- 1 career start vs. Rays: No-decision, 7 IP, 0 ER, 4 H, 3 BB, 7 K on Aug. 7, 2022
Rays at Tigers odds
Provided by BetMGM Sportsbook; access USA TODAY Sports Scores and Sports Betting Odds hub for a full list. Lines last updated at 8:37 a.m. ET.
- Moneyline (ML): Rays -200 (bet $200 to win $100) | Tigers +165 (bet $100 to win $165)
- Run line (RL)/Against the spread (ATS): Rays -1.5 (-115) | Tigers +1.5 (-105)
- Over/Under (O/U): 8 (O: -110 | U: -110)
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Rays at Tigers picks and predictions
Prediction
Rays 5, Tigers 2
Moneyline
PASS.
The moneyline is just too expensive to play for the Rays (-200), who are above .500 on the road and should secure the win in the finale Sunday.
However, considering the Rays are 4-1 in the season series against Detroit (+165), betting against Tampa and Glanow isn’t suggested either.
Run line/Against the spread
BET RAYS -1.5 (-115).
The Rays are 7-5 on the run line with Glasnow on the mound, covering in each of his wins this season. Tampa Bay, at 47-47 ATS as a favorite, has the 5th-best cover rate in the majors.
Detroit is just 26-28 on the run line at home this season. The Tigers have given up at least 11 runs in 2 of the last 3 games Manning has started. They are 4-5 on the run line with him on the mound.
Take RAYS -1.5 (-115).
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Over/Under
LEAN UNDER 9 (-105).
Manning has been solid for most of the season, pitching 5 or more innings in 8 of his 9 starts. He has allowed more than 4 ER in just 1 start this season.
Glasnow has also been among the best pitchers for Tampa Bay since getting his season underway. The Tigers are 1-3 O/U in their last 4 games while Tampa Bay has gone Under in 4 of its last 5 games as well according to Covers.com.
Back UNDER 9 (-105).
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