Tampa Bay Rays at Boston Red Sox odds, picks and predictions

Analyzing Monday’s Tampa Bay Rays at Boston Red Sox odds and lines, with MLB expert picks, predictions and best bets.

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The Tampa Bay Rays (20-21) and Boston Red Sox (21-19) open a 4-game series at Fenway Park Monday. First pitch is scheduled for 7:10 p.m. ET. Let’s analyze BetMGM Sportsbook’s lines around the Rays vs. Red Sox odds and make our expert MLB picks and predictions for the best bets.

Season series: First meeting; Rays won 11-2 last season

The Rays fell 10-6 against the New York Yankees Sunday while failing to cash as +131 home underdogs. CF Jose Siri hit a grand slam in the 7th inning, and 1B Yandy Diaz hit a solo shot in the 9th. LHP Tyler Alexander allowed 6 ER in 7 innings to pick up the loss.

Boston has won 2 straight after taking down the Washington Nationals 3-2 Sunday, cashing as a -128 home favorite. A 3-run 2nd inning, which included a 2-run double from SS Ceddanne Rafaela, was all it took to power the Red Sox over Washington. RHP Brayan Bello allowed 2 ER in 5 innings and picked up the win.

Rays at Red Sox projected starters

RHP Zach Eflin vs. RHP Kutter Crawford

Eflin (2-4, 3.75 ERA) makes his 9th start. He has a 1.13 WHIP, 0.8 BB/9 and 7.3 K/9 in 48 innings.

  • Rays are 3-5 in his starts (1-3 on the road)
  • Has allowed 20 ER and 7 HR this season while striking out 39 and walking 4

Crawford (2-1, 1.75 ERA) makes his 9th start. He has a 1.08 WHIP, 2.9 BB/9 and 8.9 K/9 in 46 1/3 innings.

  • Red Sox are 3-5 in his starts (1-3 at home)
  • Has allowed 9 ER and 2 HR while striking out 46 and walking 15

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Rays at Red Sox odds

Provided by BetMGM Sportsbook; access USA TODAY Sports Scores and Sports Betting Odds hub for a full list. Lines last updated at 10:17 a.m. ET.

  • Moneyline (ML): Rays +100 (bet $100 to win $100) | Red Sox -120 (bet $120 to win $100)
  • Run line (RL)/Against the spread (ATS): Rays +1.5 (-210) | Red Sox -1.5 (+160)
  • Over/Under (O/U): 8 (O: -110 | U: -110)

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Rays at Red Sox picks and predictions

Prediction

Red Sox 4, Rays 3

Moneyline

BET RED SOX (-120).

The Red Sox have won back-to-back games and are starting Crawford, who has allowed just 9 ER in his previous 8 starts. They have allowed 3 or fewer runs in 6 of their last 10 games, while the Rays allowed 10 last time out.

Run line/Against the spread

PASS.

There is no value on the run line in this game.

Over/Under

BET UNDER 8 (-110).

The Red Sox have hit the Under in 9 of their last 10 games, including 5 in a row. They have scored 4 or fewer runs in 8 of their last 9 games while allowing 3 or fewer in 6 of their last 10.

The Rays have hit the Under in 3 of their last 5 games and scored 1 or fewer runs in 2 of their last 4.

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