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The Tampa Bay Rays (92-58) and Baltimore Orioles (92-56) wrap up a 4-game series Sunday. First pitch from Oriole Park at Camden Yards is slated for 1:35 p.m. ET. Let’s analyze BetMGM Sportsbook’s lines around the Rays vs. Orioles odds and make our expert MLB picks and predictions for the best bets.
Season series: Orioles lead 7-5
The Rays lost 8-0 Saturday but are still 7-2 over their last 9 games. Tampa has been outscored 12-11 despite winning the first 2 games of the series and is 1 game back of Baltimore for the AL East lead.
Baltimore snapped a 4-game losing skid with Saturday’s victory. The O’s got 8-scoreless innings from RHP Grayson Rodriguez in a game they needed to stop the bleeding after dropping 5 of their last 7. The Orioles are 44-30 at home this season.
Rays at Orioles projected starters
RHP Zack Littell vs. RHP Dean Kremer
Littell (3-6, 4.25 ERA) makes his 13th start and 26th appearance. He has a 1.16 WHIP, 1.0 BB/9 and 7.4 K/9 in 78 1/3 innings.
- Last start: Loss, 7 IP, 3 ER, 5 H, 0 BB, 8 K in 3-2 loss at Minnesota Twins Tuesday
- 2023 road stats: 2-4, 3.64 ERA (42 IP, 17 ER), .259 OBA over 7 starts and 7 relief appearances
- Never faced the Orioles as a starter
Kremer (12-5, 4.25 ERA) will make his 30th start. He has a 1.32 WHIP, 2.8 BB/9 and 8.0 K/9 in 159 innings.
- Last start: No-decision, 4 1/3 IP, 5 ER, 7 H, 4 BB, 2 K in 11-4 home victory vs. St. Louis Cardinals Monday
- 2023 home stats: 7-2, 4.78 ERA (92 1/3 IP, 49 ER), .253 opponent batting average (OBA) in 17 starts
- 2023 vs. Rays: Win, 6 IP, 0 ER, 4 H, 2 BB, 4 K in 1 start, a 2-1 home victory May 10
- Career vs. Rays: 1-1, 3.00 ERA (24 IP, 8 ER) in 5 starts
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Rays at Orioles odds
Provided by BetMGM Sportsbook; access USA TODAY Sports Scores and Sports Betting Odds hub for a full list. Lines last updated at 7:06 a.m. ET.
- Moneyline (ML): Rays +100 (bet $100 to win $100) | Orioles -120 (bet $120 to win $100)
- Run line (RL)/Against the spread (ATS): Rays +1.5 (-200) | Orioles -1.5 (+165)
- Over/Under (O/U): 8.5 (O: -115 | U: -105)
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Rays at Orioles picks and predictions
Prediction
Orioles 4, Rays 3
Moneyline
PASS.
I lean to the Orioles (-120) to win this game, but I don’t feel confident enough to make this bet. These two teams have played basically even this season and this is mostly a coin flip.
Run line/Against the spread
PASS.
You should never force bets and I don’t love the Orioles enough — like I said in the moneyline section — to bet them to cover this run line. I would not mind taking the Rays getting the run and a half but not at -200 odds. Just avoid this and focus on the total.
Over/Under
BET UNDER 8.5 (-105).
These teams have gone under this run total in 6 of their last 7 meetings.
Kremer has pitched 6 scoreless innings in two of his last 3 starts against this Rays squad. He has also allowed 1 earned run or less in 3 of his last 4 starts overall.
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