The Tampa Bay Rays (54-37) continue their three-game series on the road Saturday night against the Atlanta Braves (44-46). First pitch for the second game of the series is at 7:20 p.m. ET at Truist Park. Let’s analyze BetMGM Sportsbook‘s lines around the Rays vs. Braves odds with MLB picks and predictions.
LHP Josh Fleming is the projected starting pitcher for the Rays. He is 7-4 with a 3.26 ERA, 1.03 WHIP, 5.5 K/9 and 2.2 BB/9 in 69 IP over six starts and eight relief appearances.
Fleming has allowed 5 earned runs in each of his last two starts; however, his last two appearances were out of the bullpen where he pitched a combined 6 1/3 scoreless innings.
LHP Max Fried is the projected starting pitcher for the Braves. He is 6-5 with a 4.71 ERA, 1.39 WHIP, 8.9 K/9 and 3.1 BB/9 in 72 2/3 IP over 14 starts.
The Braves have won Fried’s last three starts at home as he has allowed a combined 4 ER across 18 IP.
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Rays at Braves odds, lines, picks and prediction
MLB odds courtesy of BetMGM; access USA TODAY Sports for a full list. Odds last updated at 12:40 p.m. ET.
- Money line: Rays -105 (bet $105 to win $100) | Braves -115 (bet $115 to win $100)
- Against the spread/ATS: Rays -1.5 (+155) | Braves +1.5 (-190)
- Over/Under: 8.5 (O: -110 | U: -110)
Prediction
Braves 7, Rays 5
Money line (ML)
The Rays opened the series with a 7-6 win and have now won seven of their last eight games. They are 26-20 on the road, and while they have won their last two away from home they had dropped 10 straight on the road prior.
The Braves are 24-23 at home and have won seven of their last 11 games there.
Tonight I LEAN BRAVES (-115).
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Run line/Against the spread (ATS)
Tampa Bay has the league’s second-best record against the spread at 52-39. The Rays are 29-17 ATS on the road and have covered the spread in five of their last six games and in six of their last eight.
Atlanta is 36-54 ATS, the third-worst mark in the majors, and a league-worst 15-32 ATS at home. The Braves have only covered two of their last 10 games, although they are 17-9 ATS as underdogs.
I lean an outright win, but here you have an extra run and a half to play with. Take the BRAVES +1.5 (-190).
Over/Under (O/U)
Only two stadiums have a higher Over percentage than Truist Park’s 61.4%.
Four of the last five games and six of the last eight for the Braves finished with nine or more runs.
Take OVER 8.5 (-110).
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