Tampa Bay Buccaneers at New Orleans Saints odds, picks and predictions

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The Tampa Bay Buccaneers (2-1) visit the New Orleans Saints (2-1) on Sunday. Kickoff from the Caesars Superdome is set for 1 p.m. ET (FOX). Below, we analyze BetMGM Sportsbook’s lines around the Buccaneers vs. Saints odds, and make our expert NFL picks and predictions.

The Buccaneers are coming off a short week after falling 25-11 against the Eagles while failing to cover as 5.5-point home underdogs Monday night. QB Baker Mayfield went 15-of-25 passing for 146 yards with a touchdown and interception in the loss. It seemed the Tampa offense could not move the ball until late in the 4th quarter when the outcome was no longer in question. WR Mike Evans was Mayfield’s favorite target with 5 receptions on 10 targets for 60 yards and a TD.

New Orleans fell 18-17 on the road against the Packers last week, failing to cover as a 1-point favorite. The Saints entered the 4th quarter up 17-0 before giving up 18 unanswered points to lose the game. But the bigger loss of the day was QB Derek Carr exiting early with a shoulder injury. WR Chris Olave kept the offense moving with 8 receptions for 104 yards, but ultimately the defense could not hold the line to end the game.

There are reports that Carr won’t play against the Saints — he’s listed as “questionable” on the NFL injury report as of early Sunday morning.

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Buccaneers at Saints odds

Provided by BetMGM Sportsbook; access USA TODAY Sports Scores and Sports Betting Odds hub for a full list. Lines last updated at 6:50 a.m. ET.

Moneyline (ML): Buccaneers +150 (bet $100 to win $150) | Saints -185 (bet $185 to win $100)
Against the spread (ATS): Buccaneers +3.5 (-110) | Saints -3.5 (-110)
Over/Under (O/U): 40 (O: -110 | U: -110)

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Buccaneers at Saints key injuries

Buccaneers

CB Carlton Davis (toe) questionable
CB Jamel Dean (neck, shoulder) out
DT Calijah Kancey (calf) out
DT Vita Vea (pectoral) questionable
LB Devin White (foot) questionable

Saints

CB Paulson Adebo (hamstring) out
QB Derek Carr (shoulder) questionable
S Jordan Howden (finger) out
TE Foster Moreau (ankle) questionable
OL Cesar Ruiz (concussion) out

Buccaneers at Saints picks and predictions

Prediction

Saints 24, Buccaneers 20

Moneyline

PASS.

The Saints are playing at home and are the rightful favorites in this game, which is why the odds are set at -185. There is more profit to be made betting the spread below.

Against the spread

LEAN SAINTS -3.5 (-110).

While their collapse last week was catastrophic, the Saints will bounce back in front of their home crowd against a Buccaneers team that looked awful on offense last week. New Orleans has had a full week to prepare backup QB Jameis Winston to take the field against his former team and he will step up to the challenge. The Saints will also see RB Alvin Kamara return from suspension this week giving them an added edge.

Over/Under

LEAN OVER 40 (-110).

Neither team has been spectacular on offense this season, but both Mayfield and Winston are capable of finding the open receivers and creating scoring opportunities. You can expect clumsy turnovers, but both QBs have displayed playmaking abilities. The mix of QB Taysom Hill along with Kamara and Olave is a recipe for points and the Over hitting.

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