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The LA Chargers (8-5) welcome the Tampa Bay Buccaneers (7-6) to SoFi Stadium Sunday. Kickoff is set for 4:25 p.m. ET (FOX). Let’s analyze BetMGM Sportsbook’s NFL odds around the Buccaneers vs. Chargers odds, and make our expert NFL picks and predictions.
The Buccaneers beat the Las Vegas Raiders 28-13 Sunday, closing as a 7-point home favorite. QB Baker Mayfield threw for 295 yards and 3 TDs. Tampa Bay has rattled off 3 straight wins, going 2-1 against the spread (ATS). It is 4-2 ATS on the road this season.
The Chargers lost to the Kansas City Chiefs 19-17 in Week 14 action. They did cover as a 4.5-point road underdog. Los Angeles has lost 2 of its last 3 which followed a 4-game winning streak. It is 6-1 ATS over its last 7 games and 9-4 ATS on the season. The Chargers are led by QB Justin Herbert, who has 14 TDs and just 1 INT in 13 starts.
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Buccaneers at Chargers odds
Provided by BetMGM Sportsbook; access USA TODAY Sports Scores and Sports Betting Odds hub for a full list of NFL odds. Lines last updated Saturday at 8:13 p.m. ET.
- Moneyline (ML): Buccaneers +125 (bet $100 to win $125) | Chargers -150 (bet $150 to win $100)
- Against the spread (ATS): Buccaneers +3 (-120) | Chargers -3 (+100)
- Over/Under (O/U): 45.5 (O: -110 | U: -110)
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Buccaneers at Chargers key injuries
Buccaneers
- LB KJ Britt (ankle) out
- SAF Mike Edwards (hamstring) out
- RB Bucky Irving (back/hip) questionable
- LB Joe Tryon-Shoyinka (ankle) questionable
- SAF Antoine Winfield Jr. (knee) out
Chargers
- TE Will Dissly (shoulder) out
- WR Ladd McConkey (knee/shoulder) questionable
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Buccaneers at Chargers picks and predictions
Prediction
Chargers 23, Buccaneers 17
Moneyline
PASS.
The Chargers have won every game that they’ve closed as a home favorite. Expect them to come out on top again, but avoid their expensive moneyline value.
Against the spread
BET CHARGERS -3 (+100).
Los Angeles has dominated at home. It has played 6 times at home and closed as a favorite in 4 of those. In the 4 times it has closed as a favorite, it has covered. It is 7-1 ATS as a favorite on the season.
Tampa Bay is 1-3 ATS as an underdog of 4 points or greater, so while it is 8-5 ATS on the season, it hasn’t consistently covered as a slight underdog. The Buccaneers defense has allowed at least 26 points in 6 games, so they are a unit difficult to trust against a competent LA attack.
Back CHARGERS -3 (+100).
Over/Under
BET UNDER 45.5 (-110).
Both defenses have performed well over the last several weeks. The Bucs, who are 1-3 O/U in their last 4 games, have allowed 23 or fewer points in 4 straight games and in 7 of 13 contests.
The Chargers have scored 23 or fewer points in 3 straight games and have allowed 20 or fewer points in all but 2 games. They have a strong defense and are just 4-9 O/U. They have held 4 opponents to under 10 points.
Considering those defensive strengths, back UNDER 45.5 (-110).
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