Tag: Yankees Orioles odds picks prediction spread over/under betting line

New York Yankees at Baltimore Orioles odds, picks and predictions

Analyzing Friday’s New York Yankees at Baltimore Orioles odds and lines, with MLB expert picks, predictions and best bets.

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The Baltimore Orioles (57-36) welcome the New York Yankees (56-39) to Oriole Park at Camden Yards to kick off a 3-game series Friday. First pitch is set for 7:05 p.m. ET (ESPN+). Let’s analyze FanDuel Sportsbook’s lines around the Yankees vs. Orioles odds and make our expert MLB picks and predictions for the best bets.

Season series: Orioles lead 5-2

The Orioles, who sit atop the AL East with the Yankees 2nd in the division, were swept by the Chicago Cubs in their last series, losing Thursday’s finale 8-0. Baltimore has lost 4 of its last 5 games. It has also lost 4 straight at home after winning 4 straight at home. The Orioles are 29-20 at home on the season and 51-42 against the spread (ATS).

The Yankees, who are 31-20 on the road, lost to the Tampa Bay Rays 5-4 Thursday and dropped 2 of 3 in that road series. They have struggled immensely as of late, losing 7 of their last 9 games and scoring more than 4 runs in just 1 of those 9. New York is 50-45 ATS on the season, having gone just 2-7 ATS over their last 9.

Yankees at Orioles projected starters

RHP Gerrit Cole vs. LHP Cade Povich

Cole (1-1, 6.75 ERA) makes his 5th start. He has a 1.62 WHIP, 4.2 BB/9 and x9.9x K/9 in 17 1/3 IP.

  • Last start: No-decision, 4 1/3 IP, 4 ER (4 R), 7 H, 2 BB, 8 K in 14-4 home win over the Boston Red Sox Saturday
  • 2024 away splits: 1-1, 7.00 ERA (9 IP, 7 ER), 1.67 WHIP, 4 HR, 6.0 K/9 in 2 starts
  • Career vs. Orioles: 5-3, 2.64 ERA (81 2/3 IP, 24 ER), 62 H, 6 HR, 15 BB, 98 K in 13 starts

Povich (1-3, 6.51 ERA) makes his 7th start. He has a 1.48 WHIP, 4.2 BB/9 and 5.9 K/9 in 27 2/3 IP.

  • Last start: Loss, 1 IP, 8 ER (8 R), 5 H, 3 BB, 1 K in 19-8 road loss to the Oakland A’s Saturday
  • 2024 home splits: 1-1, 2.70 ERA (16 2/3 IP, 5 ER), 1.08 WHIP, 3 HR, 7.6 K/9 in 3 starts
  • Career vs. Yankees: 0-1, 1.93 ERA (4 2/3 IP, 1 ER), 1 H, 0 HR, 5 BB, 1 K in 1 start, a 7-6 extra innings road win over New York on June 19

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Yankees at Orioles odds

Provided by FanDuel Sportsbook; access USA TODAY Sports Scores and Sports Betting Odds hub for a full list. Lines last updated at 8:35 a.m. ET.

  • Moneyline (ML): Yankees -126 (bet $126 to win $100) | Orioles +108 (bet $100 to win $108)
  • Run line (RL)/Against the spread (ATS): Yankees -1.5 (+126) | Orioles +1.5 (-152)
  • Over/Under (O/U): 9 (O: -108 | U: -112)

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Yankees at Orioles picks and predictions

Prediction

Yankees 5, Orioles 3

Moneyline

BET YANKEES (-126).

The Yankees have an ace on the mound, and while Cole has struggled to start the season, the expectation is that he’ll rebound to his old self. Couple that with the Yankees, at 31-20, being among the best road teams in the majors, and they’re a strong play here. New York is 12-9 over its last 21 on the road and have won its last 2 starts with Cole on the mound.

The Orioles are 1-2 in Povich’s last 3 starts and have lost 3 straight games. They lost those games a combined 2-21, so they weren’t close battles either. Expect those struggles to continue and back YANKEES (-126).

Run line/Against the spread

PASS.

The Yankees are too risky as a run-line favorite while the Orioles are too pricey as a home, run-line underdog. Avoid this play and back the moneyline.

Over/Under

BET UNDER 9 (-112).

The Orioles have gone Under in 2 straight games and have scored 2 or fewer runs in 3 straight. Their offensive struggles come at a bad time with the Yankees having allowed just 5 total runs in Cole’s last 2 starts.

The Yankees are 1-2-1 O/U in their last 4 games, scoring 4 or fewer in 3 straight and allowing 4 or fewer in 3 of their last 5. Given both teams offensive slowdowns, back UNDER 9 (-112).

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New York Yankees at Baltimore Orioles odds, picks and predictions

Analyzing Thursday’s New York Yankees at Baltimore Orioles odds and lines, with MLB expert picks, predictions and best bets.

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The New York Yankees (20-12) and Baltimore Orioles (19-11) conclude their 4-game series Thursday. First pitch from Oriole Park at Camden Yards is slated for 1:05 p.m. ET (MLB Network). Let’s analyze FanDuel Sportsbook’s lines around the Yankees vs. Orioles odds and make our expert MLB picks and predictions for the best bets.

Season series: Orioles lead 2-1

After dropping the 1st 2 games of this series, the Yankees won 2-0 on Wednesday night as RHP Luis Gil shut down the Orioles over 6 1/3 innings and 3B Oswaldo Cabrera hit a 2-run HR.

The Orioles were held to just 3 hits and shut out for the 1st time this season as New York handed RHP Corbin Burnes his 1st loss in 6 starts.

Yankees at Orioles projected starters

LHP Carlos Rodon vs. TBD, likely LHP Cole Irvin

Rodon (2-1, 2.48 ERA) makes his 7th start. He has a 1.19 WHIP, 3.9 BB/9 and 8.3 K/9 in 32 2/3 IP

  • Last start: Win, 6 IP, 1 ER, 2 H, 1 BB, 8 K in 15-3 win at the Arizona Diamondbacks Saturday
  • Career vs Orioles: 0-2, 4.37 ERA (22 2/3 IP, 11 ER) in 5 games (4 starts)

Irvin (2-1, 3.49 ERA) may make his 6th start. He has a 1.23 WHIP, 2.2 BB/9 and 5.7 K/9 in 28.1 IP

  • Last start: Win, 7 IP, 0 ER, 4 H, 0 BB, 5 K in 7-0 win at the Oakland A’s on April 27
  • 2024 home splits: 1-1, 3.24 ERA, 16 IP, 17 H, 6 ER, 2 BB, 12 K

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Yankees at Orioles odds

Provided by FanDuel Sportsbook; access USA TODAY Sports Scores and Sports Betting Odds hub for a full list. Lines last updated 12:31 p.m. ET.

  • Moneyline (ML): Yankees -134 (bet $134 to win $100) | Orioles +114 (bet $100 to win $114)
  • Run line (RL)/Against the spread (ATS): Yankees -1.5 (+118) | Orioles +1.5 (-142)
  • Over/Under (O/U): 9 (O: -115 | U: -105)

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Yankees at Orioles picks and predictions

Prediction

Orioles 5, Yankees 3

Moneyline.

BET ORIOLES (+114).

It’s hard not to like Baltimore to bounce back on Thursday in the series finale. They were shut out for the 1st time this season on Wednesday night, and they have to be steaming especially against their hated division rival. In this game, they get a left hander on the mound which they’ve been beating up all season to the tune of a nearly .800 OPS.

You’ve got to love the trends as well, the Orioles are 7-4 against southpaws, 11-7 at home and 10-5 in day games. Take those nice plus odds right to the bank.

Run line/Against the spread

PASS.

I’m going to focus my bet on the moneyline and not worry about the run line in this one.

Over/Under

BET UNDER 9 (-105).

All 3 games in this series have gone Under the total and I truly don’t see that changing in this game. The Orioles have scored at least 3 runs in 3 of their 4 starts against Rodon but he does have 2.48 ERA on the season.

If Irvin doesn’t get the start, the Orioles may turn to RHP Kyle Bradish, who shut down the Yankees in his last outing against New York in 2023.

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New York Yankees at Baltimore Orioles odds, picks and predictions

Analyzing Wednesday’s New York Yankees at Baltimore Orioles odds and lines, with MLB expert picks, predictions and best bets.

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The New York Yankees (19-12) and Baltimore Orioles (19-10) meet for the 3rd matchup of a 4-game set Wednesday. First pitch from Oriole Park at Camden Yards is scheduled for 6:35 p.m. ET. Let’s analyze FanDuel Sportsbook’s lines around the Yankees vs. Orioles odds and make our expert MLB picks and predictions for the best bets.

Season series: Orioles lead 2-0

New York got blanked 2-0 Monday evening and only got 2 solo HRs from C Austin Wells and OF Juan Soto in a 4-2 defeat Tuesday.

Orioles starters RHP Grayson Rodriguez and RHP Dean Kremer were both credited with victories in their respective matchups and have been crucial to Baltimore’s ascension to 1st place in the AL East. Rodriguez has allowed 2 earned runs or fewer in 5 of his 6 starts, while Kremer has served up 3 or fewer in 5 of his 6 outings.

Yankees at Orioles projected starters

RHP Luis Gil vs. RHP Corbin Burnes

Gil (1-1, 4.01 ERA) makes his 6th start. He has a 1.34 WHIP, 6.9 BB/9 and 12.8 K/9 in 24 2/3 innings.

  • Last start: No-decision, 5 IP, 5 ER, 6 H, 2 BB, 6 K in 7-6 loss in 11 innings at Milwaukee Brewers Friday
  • Has the 4th-best Stuff+ (121) out of 133 pitchers with at least 20 IP according to Fangraphs

Burnes (3-0, 2.55 ERA) makes his 7th start. He has a 0.93 WHIP, 2.0 BB/9 and 8.9 K/9 in 55 1/3 innings.

  • Last start: No-decision, 6 IP, 1 ER, 3 H, 3 BB, 6 K in 3-2 loss in 11 innings vs. Oakland A’s Friday
  • Has the 2nd-shortest odds (+350 at FanDuel Sportsbook) to win the AL Cy Young behind Detroit Tigers LHP Tarik Skubal (+300)
  • Has induced the 2nd-highest infield fly ball percentage in the AL (21.6%)

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Yankees at Orioles odds

Provided by FanDuel Sportsbook; access USA TODAY Sports Scores and Sports Betting Odds hub for a full list. Lines last updated at 11:07 a.m. ET.

  • Moneyline (ML): Yankees +134 (bet $100 to win $134) | Orioles -158 (bet $158 to win $100)
  • Run line (RL)/Against the spread (ATS): Yankees +1.5 (-156) | Orioles -1.5 (+130)
  • Over/Under (O/U): 8.5 (O: -110 | U: -110)

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Yankees at Orioles picks and predictions

Prediction

Baltimore 4, New York 3

Moneyline

PASS.

I would rather get a run and a half with a little less juice.

Run line/Against the spread

BET YANKEES +1.5 (-156).

This is still a good amount of juice, so if you want to build a RL parlay, consider the BOSTON RED SOX +1.5 (-205 vs. San Francisco Giants, 7 p.m. ET) as a dance partner with N.Y. +1.5 (-156), as Boston RHP Kutter Crawford has yet to allow a HR in 33 1/3 innings. The 2-leg parlay pays out +144.

Burnes has been solid, but none of the teams he has faced this season won a playoff game last year.

The 29-year-old’s 10.6% barrel percentage is on the higher side among eligible pitchers, so there might be more potential for the Yankees to score early on in the game rather than against the likes of RHP Yennier Cano and LHP Danny Coulombe in the O’s pen.

The Yankees lineup this season is much more dangerous with Soto, who is riding an 8-game hitting streak. New York’s team .339 OBP vs. righties is the highest in the AL in big part due to Soto’s .460 OBP, which is the best in the AL.

The top of the lineup with SS Anthony Volpe and CF Aaron Judge combined with a bullpen that has served up only 7 HRs this season (2nd-fewest in AL) should be able help keep this a 1-run game.

Over/Under

BET UNDER 8.5 (-110).

While Judge has generated some power recently with 3 HRs in his last 7 games, he leads MLB in GIDP with 10. Plus, Yankees cleanup hitter DH Giancarlo Stanton has a sub-.300 OBP and looked lost vs. RHP Jacob Webb Tuesday night.

Ultimately, both lineups have great hitters, but with the fences in their 3rd year of being pushed back in left field at Oriole Park, those fly balls don’t go out like they used to. Expect a 3rd straight Under in this series.

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New York Yankees at Baltimore Orioles odds, picks and predictions

Analyzing Tuesday’s New York Yankees at Baltimore Orioles odds and lines, with MLB expert picks, predictions and best bets.

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The New York Yankees (19-11) and Baltimore Orioles (18-10) meet Tuesday for the 2nd game of a 4-game series. First pitch from Oriole Park at Camden Yards is set for 6:35 p.m. ET. Let’s analyze BetMGM Sportsbook’s lines around the Yankees vs. Orioles odds and make our expert MLB picks and predictions for the best bets.

Season series: Baltimore leads 1-0

Baltimore picked up the 2-0 win in Monday’s series opener while cashing as a -130 home favorite. LHP Grayson Rodriguez picked up the win, allowing 5 hits and 3 walks with 3 K’s in 5 2/3 scoreless innings. The Orioles have won 2 of their last 3 games.

The Yankees had 7 hits to Baltimore’s 4, but failed to capitalize on any of the contact. New York left 10 runners on base in the loss.

Yankees at Orioles projected starters

LHP Nestor Cortes vs. RHP Dean Kremer

Cortes (1-2, 3.50 ERA) makes his 7th start. He has a 1.00 WHIP, 1.3 BB/9 and 8.9 K/9 in 36 innings.

  • Last start: Loss, 7 IP, 3 ER, 5 H, 0 BB, 4 K in 3-1 loss vs. Oakland A’s Thursday
  • Career vs. Baltimore: 4-0, 1.99 ERA (45 1/3 IP, 10 ER), 30 H, 12 BB, 61 K across 7 starts and 2 relief appearances

Kremer (1-2, 4.61 ERA) makes his 6th start. He has a 1.06 WHIP, 2.0 BB/9 and 8.9 K/9 in 27 1/3 innings.

  • Last start: Win, 5 1/3 IP, 2 ER, 3 H, 1 BB, 10 K in 6-5 win over Los Angeles Angels Wednesday
  • Career vs. Yankees: 2-3, 5.04 ERA (44 2/3 IP, 25 ER), 46 H, 17 BB, 54 K in 9 starts

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Yankees at Orioles odds

Provided by BetMGM Sportsbook; access USA TODAY Sports Scores and Sports Betting Odds hub for a full list. Lines last updated at 9:34 a.m. ET.

  • Moneyline (ML): Yankees -120 (bet $120 to win $100) | Orioles +100 (bet $100 to win $100)
  • Run line (RL)/Against the spread (ATS): Yankees -1.5 (+135) | Orioles +1.5 (-160)
  • Over/Under (O/U): 9.5 (O: +100 | U: -120)

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Yankees at Orioles picks and predictions

Prediction

Orioles 6, Yankees 4

Moneyline

PASS.

This is a tough bet to make, as both teams have been so good recently. I lean toward picking the Orioles (+100), but their odds here are safer on the run line, as picking them to win 3 straight vs. the Yankees is always risky. Bet on the RL and/or total.

Run line/Against the spread

BET ORIOLES +1.5 (-160).

The Orioles have covered the run line in 2 of their last 3 games and are 16-12 on the RL this season, while the Yankees are only 14-16. Baltimore is also 7-3 in its last 10 matchups vs. New York, covering the RL in 4 of the last 4 meetings.

Over/Under

LEAN OVER 9.5 (+100).

The Over has hit in 3 of New York’s last 4 road games and is 4-2 in its last 6 overall. For Baltimore, the Over is 16-10-2 on the season.

The Over has also hit in 2 of the last 3 New York-Baltimore matchups and is 6-3-1 in the last 10 meetings.

This is only a lean because the Under has hit in 2 of Baltimore’s last 3 games and is 17-12-1 for the Yankees this year.

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New York Yankees at Baltimore Orioles odds, picks and predictions

Analyzing Monday’s New York Yankees at Baltimore Orioles odds and lines, with MLB expert picks, predictions and best bets.

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The New York Yankees (19-10) and Baltimore Orioles (17-10) open a 4-game set Monday. First pitch from Oriole Park at Camden Yards is scheduled for 6:35 p.m. ET. Let’s analyze FanDuel Sportsbook’s lines around the Yankees vs. Orioles odds and make our expert MLB picks and predictions for the best bets.

Season series: First meeting; Orioles won 7-6 last season

The Yankees took 2 of 3 from the Brewers in Milwaukee, scoring a combined 30 runs on Saturday and Sunday in a pair of victories. CF Aaron Judge is 5 for his last 8 with HRs in consecutive games, and 1B Anthony Rizzo became just the 161st player in MLB history to record 300 HRs.

The Orioles dropped 2 of 3 over the weekend at home against the Oakland A’s. Despite going 0 for 5 Sunday in a 7-6 loss, SS Gunnar Henderson has homered in 3 of his last 5 games and leads the team in HRs (9) and RBIs (22).

Yankees at Orioles projected starters

RHP Clarke Schmidt vs. RHP Grayson Rodriguez

Schmidt (0-0, 4.66 ERA) makes his 6th start. He has a 1.46 WHIP, 3.6 BB/9 and 10.3 K/9 in 25 1/3 innings.

  • Last start: Win, 5 1/3 IP, 3 ER, 4 H, 2 BB, 6 K in 7-3 home victory vs. Oakland Wednesday
  • 2023 vs. Baltimore: 2-1, 5.40 ERA (18 1/3 IP, 11 ER), 1.42 WHIP in 4 starts

Rodriguez (3-1, 4.45 ERA) makes his 6th start. He has a 1.41 WHIP, 2.9 BB/9 and 10.8 K/9 in 28 1/3 innings.

  • Last start: Loss, 4 1/3 IP, 7 ER, 11 H, 1 BB, 7 K in 7-4 loss at Los Angeles Angels Tuesday
  • Career vs. Yankees: 0-0, 0.00 ERA (6 1/3 IP), 3 H, 2 BB, 4 K in 1 start, a 1-0 home victory July 28, 2023

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Yankees at Orioles odds

Provided by FanDuel Sportsbook; access USA TODAY Sports Scores and Sports Betting Odds hub for a full list. Lines last updated at 12:20 p.m. ET.

  • Moneyline (ML): Yankees +100 (bet $100 to win $100) | Orioles -118 (bet $118 to win $100)
  • Run line (RL)/Against the spread (ATS): Yankees -1.5 (+146) | Orioles +1.5 (-178)
  • Over/Under (O/U): 9 (O: -118 | U: -104)

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Yankees at Orioles picks and predictions

Prediction

New York 5, Baltimore 4

Moneyline

BET YANKEES (+100).

Rodriguez allowed a career high 11 hits in his last start, and the Yankees currently possess the top home-run-to-fly-ball rate (with Baltimore in 2nd) at 15.3%. Expect the hot Bronx Bomber bats to get to Rodriguez and an Orioles bullpen that has sorely missed RHP Felix Bautista.

Run line/Against the spread

COMBINE ORIOLES +1.5 (-178) IN A PARLAY.

The O’s pen is now going to be without RHP Craig Kimbrel, who exited Sunday with upper-back tightness after blowing 2 saves over the weekend.

However, this is still a unit that features RHP Yennier Cano, who features a 2.45 ERA and mainly 2 pitches: a sinker and a nasty changeup.

The 30-year-old has the 2nd-highest GB% among 349 pitchers entering Monday with at least 10 innings pitched, and LHP Danny Coulombe is 9th among that group in K% (36.8%) with LHP Keegan Akin right behind him at 35.8%.

Baltimore has the offense to hang with the Yankees, as 3B Jordan Westburg, LF Colton Cowser, C Adley Rutschman and 1B Ryan Mountcastle are all hitting above .300. I just expect Schmidt to outpitch Rodriguez, which will ultimately be the 1-run difference.

Over/Under

PASS.

Ever since they moved the fences back at Oriole Park, this is not the bandbox that it once was. However, since the Yankees are coming in with plenty of offensive momentum, it’s hard to back the Under in this spot.

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New York Yankees at Baltimore Orioles odds, picks and predictions

Analyzing Friday’s New York Yankees at Baltimore Orioles odds and lines, with MLB expert picks, predictions and best bets.

The New York Yankees (54-48) face the Baltimore Orioles (62-40) Friday to open their 3-game series. First pitch from Oriole Park at Camden Yards is at 7:05 p.m. ET. Let’s analyze BetMGM Sportsbook’s lines around the Yankees vs. Orioles odds and make our expert MLB picks and predictions for the best bets.

Season series: Tied 5-5

This is the last full series before the trade deadline, although the result of these games won’t change the outlook for these teams. The Orioles have impressed everyone this year while the Yankees have disappointed.

Both teams were off on Thursday. Baltimore lost to the Philadelphia Phillies on Wednesday 6-4 and have gone 5-5 in their last 10 games. They have gone 14-8 in July and lead the AL East by 1 1/2 games.

The Yankees split their series with their hometown rival New York Mets by taking Wednesday’s game 3-1. They have won 4 of their last 5 games and are 9-12 in July. The Yankees are last in the division, 8 games behind the Orioles.

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Yankees at Orioles projected starters

RHP Gerrit Cole vs. RHP Grayson Rodriguez

Cole (9-2, 2.78 ERA) makes his 22nd start. He has a 1.08 WHIP, 2.5 BB/9 and 10 K/9 in 129 1/3 innings.

  • Last start: No-decision, 6 1/3 IP, 2 ER, 5 H, 1 BB, 10 K in 5-2 home win vs. Kansas City Royals on Saturday
  • 2023 road stats: 3-1, 2.59 ERA (48 2/3 IP, 14 ER) in 8 games
  • Career vs. Orioles: 5-3, 2.80 ERA (70 2/3 IP, 22 ER) in 11 games

Rodriguez (2-2, 6.91 ERA) makes his 13th start. The 23-year-old rookie has a 1.66 WHIP, 4 BB/9 and 10.6 K/9 in 56 innings.

  • Last start: No-decision, 5 2/3 IP, 2 ER, 3 H, 2 BB, 6 K in 6-5 road win at Tampa Bay Rays on Saturday
  • 2023 home stats: 1-2, 9.11 ERA (26 2/3 IP, 27 ER) in 6 games
  • Has never faced Yankees before

Yankees at Orioles odds

Provided by BetMGM Sportsbook; access USA TODAY Sports Scores and Sports Betting Odds hub for a full list. Lines last updated at 12:55 a.m. ET.

  • Moneyline (ML): Yankees -120 (bet $120 to win $100) | Orioles +100 (bet $100 to win $100)
  • Run line (RL)/Against the spread (ATS): Yankees -1.5 (+135) | Orioles +1.5 (-165)
  • Over/Under (O/U): 8.5 (O: -120 | U: +100)

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Yankees at Orioles picks and predictions

Prediction

Yankees 6, Orioles 4

Moneyline

The Yankees may be sitting in last place in the AL East, but that’s not stopping Cole from having a strong season, especially on the road where he allows a .616 OPS (versus the .635 at home).

Pair that with Rodriguez’s struggles in Camden Yards and it tough to pick the Orioles. Rodriguez has allowed 17 BB at home compared to the 8 on the road. And he allows a 1.02 OPS with a .348 batting average in Baltimore.

BET YANKEES (-120).

Run line/Against the spread

The Orioles have only played 13 games as a home underdog this season so its tough to see a trend. They are 8-5 ATS in those games, but at -165 a Yankees bet is the better value option, especially looking at the pitching splits. On top of that the Yankees are 26-20 ATS on the road and are 21-13 as the underdog. I think its worth .5 units on YANKEES -1.5 (+135).

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Over/Under

Both teams trend toward the Over. After a loss, the Orioles have an Over record of 21-14-4. And the Yankees are 28-22-3 after a win.

Combine that with Baltimore going Under in 5 of their last 7 despite a 51-43-8 Over record this entire season, its time for their offense to come back.

LEAN OVER 8.5 (-120).

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New York Yankees at Baltimore Orioles odds, picks and predictions

Analyzing Saturday’s New York Yankees at Baltimore Orioles odds and lines, with MLB expert picks, predictions and best bets.

The New York Yankees (4-3) will square off against the Baltimore Orioles (4-3) in the 2nd game of a 3-game series on Saturday at Oriole Park at Camden Yards. First pitch is scheduled for 7:05 p.m. ET. Let’s analyze BetMGM Sportsbook’s lines around the Yankees vs. Orioles odds and make our expert MLB picks and predictions for the best bets.

Season series: Orioles lead 1-0.

On Friday, the Yankees lost 7-6 to the Orioles despite OF Oswald Cabrera producing a 3-for-4 outing with 3 RBIs. RHP Clarke Schmidt struggled in Friday’s loss for New York, allowing 3 BB, 4 ER and 5 H in 3 1/3 IP.

The Orioles didn’t get much production out of RHP Dean Kremer either, who also gave up 3 BB, 4 ER and 5 H in Friday’s victory. Baltimore added 2 more stolen bases Friday, giving them a league-high 13 thus far.

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Yankees at Orioles projected starters

RHP Jhony Brito vs. LHP Cole Irvin

Brito (1-0, 0.00 ERA) makes his 2nd start. He has a 0.60 WHIP, 1.8 BB/9 and 10.8 K/9 through 5 IP.

  • Made his major league debut vs. the Giants April 2 of this season.
  • Impressed in his debut with a 76-pitch outing where he tossed 6 K’s and allowed 0 ER.

Irvin (0-1, 13.50 ERA) makes his 2nd start. He has a 2.50 WHIP, 4.5 BB/9 and 9 K/9 through 4 IP.

  • Allowed 6 ER and 8 H in his season debut against the Boston Red Sox on Apr. 2.
  • Has given up multiple ER in 10 of his last 13 starts dating back to last season.

Yankees at Orioles odds

Provided by BetMGM Sportsbook; access USA TODAY Sports Scores and Sports Betting Odds hub for a full list. Lines last updated at 9:05 a.m. ET.

  • Moneyline (ML): Yankees -130 (bet $130 to win $100) | Orioles +110 (bet $100 to win $110)
  • Run line (RL)/Against the spread (ATS): Yankees -1.5 (+120) | Orioles +1.5 (-145)
  • Over/Under (O/U): 9 (O: +100 | U: -120)

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Yankees at Orioles picks and predictions

Prediction

Yankees 7, Orioles 4

Moneyline

Following a loss Friday, the YANKEES (-130) are who I’m taking in Saturday’s AL East showdown. New York is 46-19 in the last 65 meetings.

Run line/Against the spread

YANKEES -1.5 (+120) is the pick in this matchup with New York having a dangerous lineup against southpaws. Brito was fantastic in his debut against the Giants. So if he can limit mistakes again, the Yankees should be in a decent position to win by multiple runs.

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Over/Under

OVER 9 (+100) is the lean in this game despite the high total. Irvin has shown a tendency to struggle against righty-heavy lineups, and the Orioles are capable of generating runs in a multitude of ways, especially with their ability to steal bases.

The Over is 4-1 in the last 5 meetings in Baltimore.

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New York Yankees at Baltimore Orioles odds, picks and predictions

Analyzing Friday’s New York Yankees at Baltimore Orioles odds and lines, with MLB expert picks, predictions and best bets.

The New York Yankees (4-2) open a 3-game set with the Baltimore Orioles (3-3) Friday. First pitch from Camden Yards is at 3:05 p.m. ET. Let’s analyze BetMGM Sportsbook’s lines around the Yankees vs. Orioles odds and make our expert MLB picks and predictions for the best bets.

Season series: First meeting of 2023. The Yankees won last season’s series 12-7.

The Yankees won both of their opening series at home against the San Francisco Giants and Philadelphia Phillies, losing just game 2 each time. New York scored 4 or more runs in 5 of their 6 games.

Baltimore started the season with a back-and-forth 3-game set against the Boston Red Sox where it recorded just 1 victory. However, the Orioles found their footing against the Texas Rangers to start the week, winning the first 2 games before falling 5-2 in the finale Wednesday.

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Yankees at Orioles projected starters

RHP Clarke Schmidt vs. RHP Dean Kremer

Clarke Schmidt (0-0, 8.10 ERA) makes his 2nd start. He allowed 3 ER on 5 H and 1 BB with 5 K over 3 1/3 IP in his debut Saturday vs. the Giants.

  • Went 5-5 with a 3.12 ERA over 3 starts and 26 relief appearances in 2022.
  • Allowed 2 HR in his season debut; allowed just 2 HR once in his 29 games in 2022 and didn’t allow a single HR in his 3 starts last season.

Dean Kremer (0-0, 15.00 ERA) makes his 2nd start. He allowed 5 ER on 6 H and 1 BB with 3 K over 3 IP in his debut Saturday vs. the Red Sox.

  • Posted a 8-7 record with a 3.23 ERA and 1.25 WHIP over 21 starts and 1 relief appearance in 2022.
  • Allowed 4 ER on 5 H and 1 BB with 6 K over 5 1/3 in his lone start vs. the Yankees last season.

Yankees at Orioles odds

Provided by BetMGM Sportsbook; access USA TODAY Sports Scores and Sports Betting Odds hub for a full list. Lines last updated at 10:56 a.m. ET.

  • Moneyline (ML): Yankees -130 (bet $130 to win $100) | Orioles +110 (bet $100 to win $110)
  • Run line (RL)/Against the spread (ATS): Yankees -1.5 (+125) | Orioles +1.5 (-155)
  • Over/Under (O/U): 8.5 (O: -110 | U: -110)

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Yankees at Orioles picks and predictions

Prediction

Orioles 5, Yankees 3

Moneyline

The Yankees have been tough to score on so far this season, ranking 3rd in MLB with 14 runs against. They are 5th in opponent doubles per game, 2nd in opponent walks per game, and 1st in opponent strikeouts.

The Orioles are scoring at an above-average rate to start the season. Baltimore is 1st in both stolen base attempts per game (2.00) and stolen bases per game (1.83). The Yankees have yet to throw anyone out trying to steal. I expect them to bring the offense for their home opener.

LEAN ORIOLES (+110).

Run line/Against the spread

This game will be Baltimore’s home opener but so far teams have struggled to cover at home; home teams have covered in 37 of 86 games (43%) through Wednesday afternoon.

You can certainly take the Orioles with the run of insurance if you don’t want to take them straight up, although it is pretty juicy.

BET ORIOLES +1.5 (-160).

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Over/Under

The Orioles are 4-2 to the Over, while the Yankees are 4-2 to the Under.

It’s best to PASS until game 2 to see how they match up against each other.

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New York Yankees at Baltimore Orioles odds, picks and predictions

Analyzing Thursday’s New York Yankees at Baltimore Orioles odds and lines, with MLB expert picks and predictions.

The New York Yankees (28-9) face the Baltimore Orioles (14-24) in the finale of their 4-game series Thursday at Oriole Park at Camden Yards. First pitch is scheduled for 12:35 p.m. ET. Let’s analyze Tipico Sportsbook‘s lines around the Yankees vs. Orioles odds with MLB picks and predictions.

N.Y.’s 3-2 victory over Baltimore Wednesday extended the Yankees’ win streak to 4 games and their series-winning streak to 9. The Orioles have lost 6 consecutive games, which includes a 3-game sweep at the Detroit Tigers this past weekend.

Yankees at Orioles projected starters

LHP Jordan Montgomery vs. LHP Bruce Zimmermann 

Montgomery is 0-1 with a 3.06 ERA, 1.08 WHIP, 2.0 BB/9 and 7.4 K/9 through 35 1/3 IP across 7 starts.

  • Last start: No-decision in N.Y.’s 3-2 loss at the Chicago White Sox Saturday with 4 1/3 IP, 2 ER, 6 H, 1 HR, 3 BB and 4 K.
  • 2022 vs. the Orioles: 0-0 with a 1.69 ERA (10 2/3 IP, 2 ER), 7 H, 2 BB and 6 K over 2 starts.
  • vs. Orioles on the current roster: 3.70 FIP with a .238/.296/.350 expected batting average (xBA), wOBA (xwOBA), slugging percentage (xSLG) slash line, 23.1 K% and 85.5 mph exit velocity (EV) in 121 plate appearances (PA).

Zimmermann is 2-2 with a 2.72 ERA, 1.21 WHIP, 2.2 BB/9 and 7.9 K/9 across 36 1/3 IP over 7 starts.

  • Last start: Loss, 3-0, at the Detroit Tigers Saturday with 6 IP, 2 ER (3 R), 7 H, 2 HR, 1 BB and 2 K.
  • 2022 vs. the Yankees: 0-1 with a 2.89 ERA (9 1/3 IP, 3 ER), 11 H, 3 BB and 11 K across 2 starts.
  • vs. Yankees on the current roster: 4.80 FIP with a .332/.406/.585 xBA-xwOBA-xSLG slash line, 22.7 K% and 91.4 mph EV in 66 PA.

Yankees at Orioles odds and lines

Odds provided by Tipico Sportsbook; access USA TODAY Sports Scores and Sports Betting Odds hub for a full list. Lines last updated at 7:53 a.m. ET.

  • Money line (ML): Yankees -220 (bet $220 to win $100) | Orioles +175 (bet $100 to win $175)
  • Run line (RL)/Against the spread (ATS): Yankees -1.5 (-125) | Orioles +1.5 (+102)
  • Over/Under (O/U): 8.5 (O: +100 | U: -125)

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Yankees at Orioles picks and predictions

Prediction

Yankees 7, Orioles 3

Money line

BET the YANKEES (-220) because they have a significant 3-phase edge over the Orioles. N.Y.’s lineup and bullpen are top-5 units and the Yankees hit left-handed pitching much better than Baltimore.

The Yankees are 5th in wRC+ (117), 7th in wOBA (.324) and 3rd in hard-hit rate (33.6%) against left-handed pitching, according to FanGraphs. While the Orioles rank 28th in wRC+ (80), 27th in wOBA (.276) and 23rd in hard-hit rate (27.1%) against lefties.

Montgomery also has better advanced pitching numbers both on the year and against Thursday’s opponent than Zimmermann.

Montgomery’s contact, outside-the-zone swing and swinging-strike rates improved from his first to second start vs. the Orioles this season. Whereas Zimmermann’s contact, outside-the-zone swing and swinging-strike rates all worsened in his second start against the Yankees.

N.Y. owes Montgomery more wins since he only has 6 wins with a sub-4.00 ERA over his last 37 starts dating back to last season.

Zimmermann hasn’t given up any home runs to N.Y.’s lineup and that will probably change in his 3rd meeting with the Bronx Bombers this year.

RISK 1-1.25 units on the YANKEES (-220) instead of betting to win 1 unit because this is an expensive ML.

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Run line/Against the spread

LEAN YANKEES -1.5 (-125) due to all of their aforementioned edges in this matchup and 6 of their last 7 wins have been by at least 2 runs. However, the Orioles are 11-5 RL as home underdogs so I prefer the Yankees ML.

Over/Under

PASS because N.Y.’s lineup never produces for Montgomery and the Yankees are 0-7 O/U in Montgomery’s 7 starts this season. N.Y. is also 6-11 O/U as a road favorite and Baltimore is 5-10-1 O/U as a home underdog.

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Gannett may earn revenue from Tipico for audience referrals to betting services. Tipico has no influence over nor are any such revenues in any way dependent on or linked to the newsrooms or news coverage. See Tipico.com for Terms and Conditions. 21+ only. Gambling problem? Call 1-800-GAMBLER (NJ), 1-800-522-4700 (CO), 1-800-BETS-OFF (IA).

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New York Yankees at Baltimore Orioles odds, picks and predictions

Analyzing Wednesday’s New York Yankees at Baltimore Orioles odds and lines, with MLB expert picks and predictions.

The New York Yankees (27-9) and Baltimore Orioles (14-23) meet for the 3rd contest of a 4-game set at Oriole Park at Camden Yards Wednesday. First pitch is set for 7:05 p.m. ET. Let’s analyze Tipico Sportsbook‘s lines around the Yankees vs. Orioles odds with MLB picks and predictions.

Season series: New York leads 6-2.

The Yankees took the first 2 games of this series and have won 5 straight against Baltimore. New York is 8-1 with an .836 OPS across its last 9 games.

The Orioles have lost 5 contests in a row, logging a .572 OPS along the way. They went 6 straight games without logging more than 2 extra-base hits in a game before collecting 3 doubles and a home run Tuesday.

Yankees at Orioles projected starters

RHP Gerrit Cole vs. RHP Jordan Lyles

Cole (3-0, 2.95 ERA) has registered a 1.12 WHIP, 2.9 BB/9 and 11.3 K/9 through 36 2/3 IP across 7 starts.

  • Owns a 1.42 ERA with 46 K over his last 31 2/3 IP vs. Baltimore.
  • Current Orioles batters own an aggregate .660 OPS against him.
  • Perhaps bounced a bit in his last (6 1/3 IP, 3 ER) after throwing 114 pitches May 8. Had allowed just 1 ER over his previous 19 IP.
  • Is averaging 87.9 pitches per game.

Lyles (2-3, 4.38 ERA) is tabbed for his 8th start. He has a 1.51 WHIP, 3.2 BB/9 and 7.4 K/9 through 39 IP.

  • Allowed 6 runs against these Yankees in 4 2/3 IP April 26; allowed 1 run over 5 1/3 IP when he faced New York April 15.
  • Owns a 1.93 ERA through 3 home starts.

Yankees at Orioles odds and lines

Odds provided by Tipico Sportsbook; access USA TODAY Sports Scores and Sports Betting Odds hub for a full list. Lines last updated 10:45 a.m. ET.

  • Money line: Yankees -280 (bet $280 to win $100) | Orioles +220 (bet $100 to win $220)
  • Run line (RL): Yankees -2.5 (+105) | Orioles +2.5 (-130)
  • Over/Under (O/U): 7.5 (O: -105 | U: -120)

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Yankees at Orioles picks and predictions

Prediction

Yankees 5, Orioles 4

Money line

This line has tilted quite a bit toward New York since being released. Baltimore is a theoretical lean, but the Yankees are in a no-fade zone, so its best to leave this one alone. PASS.

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Run line/Against the spread

Two top Yankee relievers — LHP Aroldis Chapman and RHP Michael King — figure to be unavailable for Wednesday after Chapman was used Monday and Tuesday and King threw 38 pitches Tuesday.

The Yankee bullpen is quite good, but its surface numbers are somewhat tamped down by some generous rates around the margins. Baltimore’s relief numbers swing the other way.

The ML soared toward New York overnight while this 2.5-run line stayed nearly the same.

BACK BALTIMORE +2.5 (-130).

Over/Under

Baltimore’s offense has been hamstrung by a low average on balls in play in high-leverage situations. Overall, the Orioles’ quality-of-contact figures indicate better days ahead.

TAKE THE OVER 7.5 (-107).

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Gannett may earn revenue from Tipico for audience referrals to betting services. Tipico has no influence over nor are any such revenues in any way dependent on or linked to the newsrooms or news coverage. See Tipico.com for Terms and Conditions. 21+ only. Gambling problem? Call 1-800-GAMBLER (NJ), 1-800-522-4700 (CO), 1-800-BETS-OFF (IA).

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