Tag: Yankees Mets odds picks prediction spread over/under betting line

New York Yankees at New York Mets odds, picks and predictions

Analyzing Wednesday’s New York Yankees at New York Mets odds and lines, with MLB expert picks, predictions and best bets.

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The New York Yankees (52-29) and New York Mets (38-39) meet Wednesday as they cap off an abbreviated Subway Series. The opening pitch at Citi Field is scheduled for 7:05 p.m. ET (MLB Network). Let’s analyze FanDuel Sportsbook’s lines around the Yankees vs. Mets odds and make our expert MLB picks and predictions for the best bets.

Season series: Mets lead 1-0

The Yankees lost 9-7 in Tuesday’s series opener. Across its last 9 games, New York has faltered on the mound and at the plate and is just 2-7.

The Mets have been on a different trajectory of late. They are 10-2 since June 12. In Subway Series games at home, the New York NL club has won 5 of its last 6.

Yankees at Mets projected starters

RHP Luis Gil vs. LHP Sean Manaea

Gil (9-2, 2.77 ERA) makes his 15th start. He owns a 1.08 WHIP, 4.5 BB/9 and 10.7 K/9 in 81 1/3 IP.

  • Last outing: Loss, 1 1/3 IP, 7 ER, 8 H, 2 BB, 1 K in 17-5 loss vs. Baltimore Orioles Thursday
  • Has never faced the Mets
  • Has yielded a .927 OPS while posting an 8.25 ERA over his last 3 starts

Manaea (4-3, 4.16 ERA) is making his 15th start. He has a 1.29 WHIP, 3.7 BB/9 and 9.2 K/9 in 71 1/3 IP.

  • Last outing: No-decision, 5 2/3 IP, 3 ER, 2 H, 3 BB, 6 K in 5-3 loss at Texas Rangers last Wednesday
  • Career vs. Yankees: 1-3, 4.46 ERA (34 1/3 IP, 17 ER), 29 H, 10 BB, 40 K in 6 starts

Who’s going yard? Here’s a breakdown of today’s best home run props with our top picks. Include the BetMGM bonus code SBWIRE to score a $1,500 first-bet offer.

Yankees at Mets odds

Provided by FanDuel Sportsbook; access USA TODAY Sports Scores and Sports Betting Odds hub for a full list. Lines last updated at 7:43 a.m. ET.

  • Moneyline: Yankees -142 (bet $142 to win $100) | Mets +120 (bet $100 to win $120)
  • Run line (RL)/Against the spread (ATS): Yankees -1.5 (+110) | Mets +1.5 (-132)
  • Over/Under (O/U): 8.5 (O: -118 | U: -104)

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Yankees at Mets picks and predictions

Prediction

Mets 5, Yankees 3

Moneyline

The Mets have won 6 in a row at Citi Field.

As dominant as Gil has been through long stretches this season, the young righty may be dealing with some workload issues as times moving forward. He is simply not in good form heading into this contrast.

Manaea does not have good recent numbers, but his under-the-surface analytics tell a different story. Those key analytics also paint a brighter picture for the Mets bullpen, so from a pitching standpoint tab the home side as being undervalued in this spot.

BetMGM Sportsbook offers more leverage on the Mets side here: BACK THE METS (+125).

Run line/Against the spread

Look for better value on the ML. STEER CLEAR.

Over/Under

There are conflicting indicators here and almost no lean either way. But the Yanks have had enough struggles with left-handers, and 3 straight Manaea starts have cashed on the Under.

There is enough hidden value in the Mets pitching as to make a lower score just a sliver of a value.

CONSIDER A PARTIAL-UNIT PLAY ON THE UNDER 8.5 (-118).

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New York Yankees at New York Mets odds, picks and predictions

Analyzing Tuesday’s New York Yankees at New York Mets odds and lines, with MLB expert picks, predictions and best bets.

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The New York Yankees (52-28) and New York Mets (37-39) play the 1st game of a 2-game Subway Series Tuesday. First pitch from Citi Field is scheduled for 7:10 p.m. ET (TBS). Let’s analyze FanDuel Sportsbook’s lines around the Yankees vs. Mets odds and make our expert MLB picks and predictions for the best bets.

Season series: First meeting; split 4 games last season

New York’s American League entry lost a weekend set to the Atlanta Braves 2 games to 1. The Yankees head across town having faltered in 6 of their last 8 games.

The Mets have been on a different trajectory of late. They are coming off taking 2 of 3 from the Chicago Cubs over a weekend set at Wrigley Field and are 9-2 since June 12.

Yankees at Mets projected starters

RHP Gerrit Cole vs. LHP David Peterson

Cole (0-0, 4.50 ERA) is tabbed for his 2nd start. He allowed 2 ER on 3 hits and 1 walk with 5 K’s in 4 IP in his season debut, a 7-6 home loss in 10 innings vs. the Baltimore Orioles Wednesday.

  • Career vs. Mets: 2-2, 5.89 ERA (36 2/3 IP, 24 ER), 1.61 WHIP, 10.3 K/9 in 7 starts, including 0-0 with 1.50 ERA (6 IP, 1 ER) in 1 start last season
  • Started season late after being shut down with elbow inflammation during spring training
  • Logged a 2.63 ERA in 33 starts last season

Peterson (3-0, 3.97 ERA) is lined up for his 5th start. He’s logged a 1.41 WHIP, 3.2 BB/9 and 4.8 K/9 in 22 2/3 IP.

  • Last outing: Win, 6 IP, 2 ER, 4 H, 3 BB, 6 K in 14-2 win at Texas Rangers June 17
  • Career vs. Yankees: 0-0, 10.38 ERA (4 1/3 IP, 5 ER), 5 H, 4 BB, 4 K in 1 start and 1 relief appearance — last faced them in 2022
  • Missed all of April and most of May after having offseason hip surgery

Who’s going yard? Here’s a breakdown of today’s best home run props with our top picks. Include the BetMGM bonus code SBWIRE to score a $1,500 first-bet offer.

Yankees at Mets odds

Provided by FanDuel Sportsbook; access USA TODAY Sports Scores and Sports Betting Odds hub for a full list. Lines last updated Monday at 10:32 p.m. ET.

  • Moneyline: Yankees -156 (bet $156 to win $100) | Mets +132 (bet $100 to win $132)
  • Run line (RL)/Against the spread (ATS): Yankees -1.5 (+106) | Mets +1.5 (-128)
  • Over/Under (O/U): 8.5 (O: +100 | U: -122)

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Yankees at Mets picks and predictions

Prediction

Mets 5, Yankees 4

Moneyline

The METS (+132) are 4-1 over their last 5 home games against the Yankees. They’ve clocked a robust .888 OPS en route to scoring 6.55 runs per game since June 12.

With Cole making just his 2nd start off the IL and with the home nine having much the better bullpen of late, BACK THE METS (+132).

Run line/Against the spread

No value here: PASS.

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Over/Under

The Over has cashed in 6 of the last 8 Yanks-Mets games at Citi Field.

Tag Cole and the Yankee bullpen with some fade lean. Add some uncertainty for Peterson who is starting on long rest (career .784 OPS allowed on 6 or more days of rest).

The weather forecast calls for a warm night with a batter’s breeze.

BACK THE OVER 8.5 (+100).

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New York Yankees at New York Mets odds, picks and predictions

Analyzing Wednesday’s New York Yankees at New York Mets odds and lines, with expert MLB picks, predictions and best bets.

The New York Yankees (39-29) and the New York Mets (31-36) wrap up a 2-game Subway Series at Citi Field in Queens on Wednesday. First pitch is scheduled for 7 p.m. ET (ESPN). Let’s analyze BetMGM Sportsbook’s lines around the Yankees vs. Mets odds and make our expert MLB picks and predictions for the best bets.

Season series: Yankees lead 1-0; tied 2-2 in 2022

The Yankees jumped all over RHP Max Scherzer for 6 runs in just 3 1/3 innings in Tuesday’s 7-6 series-opening win, although every bit of that offense was needed with RHP Luis Severino coughing up 5 runs in the first 3 innings.

The Mets are in a horrible nosedive and the timing to be facing the rival Yankees is poor. They’ve dropped 2 games in a row, and 9 of the past 10 games overall to sink 5 games under .500. The 6-run explosion was a good sign that perhaps the bats are about to awaken, as the Mets had scored 4 or fewer runs in 8 of the past 13 contests.

The Yankees actually have a losing record across the past 11 games, going just 5-6. The Over result in Tuesday’s game snapped a 4-0 run to the Under.

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Yankees at Mets projected starters

RHP Gerrit Cole vs. RHP Justin Verlander

Cole (7-1, 2.84 ERA) makes his 15th start. He has a 1.14 WHIP, 3.0 BB/9 and 9.5 K/9 in 85 2/3 IP.

  • Last start: Loss, 6 IP, 2 ER, 7 H, 1 BB, 6 K in a 3-2 home loss vs. the Boston Red Sox Friday
  • 2023 Road splits: 3-0, 2.93 ERA (30 2/3 IP, 10 ER) with a .252 OBA in 5 starts

Verlander (2-3, 4.85 ERA) makes his 8th start. He has a 1.33 WHIP, 3.0 BB/9 and 7.6 K/9 in 39 innings.

  • Last start: No-decision, 3 IP, 5 R (4 ER), 7 H, 4 BB, 3 K in a 13-10 road loss in 10 innings vs. the Atlanta Braves Thursday
  • 2023 Home splits: 1-2, 3.79 ERA (19 IP, 8 ER – 4 HR) with a .222 OBA in 3 starts

Yankees at Mets odds

Provided by BetMGM Sportsbook; access USA TODAY Sports Scores and Sports Betting Odds hub for a full list. Lines last updated 7:13 a.m. ET.

  • Moneyline (ML): Yankees -110 (bet $110 to win $100) | Mets -110 (bet $110 to win $100)
  • Run line (RL)/Against the spread (ATS): Yankees -1.5 (+155) | Mets +1.5 (-190)
  • Over/Under (O/U): 7.5 (O: -105 | U: -115)

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Yankees at Mets picks and predictions

Prediction

Yankees 5, Mets 2

Moneyline

The YANKEES (-110) are the play in this Subway Series finale at Citi Field.

It’s a nice pitching matchup, but Cole comes in with much better numbers and plays for the much hotter team.

He is also coming off his first loss of the season at home against the rival Red Sox, so he’ll likely have a chip on his shoulder.

Run line/Against the spread

The YANKEES -1.5 (+155) are worth a roll of the dice on the run line, even though they only won by a single run on Tuesday.

The Mets have been struggling to score runs, and they’ll be hard-pressed to do much damage against Cole.

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Over/Under

UNDER 7.5 (-115) is a strong play Wednesday after a surprise Under result Tuesday night.

The Under is still 4-1 in the past 5 games for the Yankees and is 4-1 in the previous 5 tries against a right-handed starting pitcher.

The Mets have cashed the Under in 6 of the past 8 despite Tuesday’s Over, while going 5-1 in the past 6 at home vs. a righty.

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New York Yankees at New York Mets odds, picks and predictions

Analyzing Wednesday’s New York Yankees at New York Mets odds and lines, with MLB expert picks and predictions.

The New York Yankees (66-32) and New York Mets (60-37) cap off a 2-game Subway Series Wednesday at 7:10 p.m. ET at Citi Field. Let’s analyze Tipico Sportsbook‘s lines around the Yankees vs. Mets odds with MLB picks and predictions.

Season series: Mets lead 1-0 after a 6-3 victory in Tuesday’s opener.

The Yankees are 2-4 in the second half and are continuing a road trip that opened with stops in Houston and Baltimore. After Tuesday’s setback, New York is now under .500 (10-11) in July.

The Mets had been struggling with their offense until their last couple of games. From July 10-23, New York clocked a mere .609 OPS. In wins Sunday and Tuesday, the Mets banged out 22 hits while posting a .937 OPS.

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Yankees at Mets projected starters

RHP Domingo German vs. RHP Max Scherzer

German returns to the mound after a clunker in his Thursday return from the 60-day IL (shoulder).

  • Lasted just 3 innings in his start at Houston, yielding 5 ER on 6 H and 1 BB.
  • Had a 0.44 ERA, 0.49 in 5 rehab starts across Single-, Double- and Triple-A.
  • Owns a 4.63 ERA, 1.22 WHIP in 344 1/3 career IP.

Scherzer (6-2, 2.28 ERA) owns an 0.89 WHIP, 1.6 BB/9 and 11.8 K/9 through 75 IP in 12 starts.

  • Missed all of June with an oblique injury but owns an 1.78 ERA, 0.79 WHIP since returning July 5.
  • Current Yankees own a high-whiff .624 OPS against him.

Yankees at Mets odds and lines

Odds provided by Tipico Sportsbook; access USA TODAY Sports Scores and Sports Betting Odds hub for a full list. Lines last updated at 12:26 p.m. ET.

  • Money line: Yankees +155 (bet $100 to win $155) | Mets -190 (bet $190 to win $100)
  • Run line (RL)/Against the spread (ATS): Yankees +1.5 (-145) | Mets -1.5 (+120)
  • Over/Under (O/U): 7.5 (O: +100 | U: -125)

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Yankees at Mets picks and predictions

Prediction

Yankees 5, Mets 4

Money line

The Mets have had some recent offensive struggles at home. PASS …but keep an eye on the line. An underdog Yankees play around +160 or +165 would have some leverage.

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Run line/Against the spread

PASS. Would want a -140 or better to have the Yankees side of this one.

Over/Under

The price on a warm-weather-wind-out game between 2 foes that can mash home runs is solid. German and a struggling Yankees pen carry high-total risk, and Scherzer may not be fully sharp the second time out after the All-Star break.

BACK THE OVER 7.5 (+100).

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New York Yankees at New York Mets odds, picks and predictions

Analyzing Tuesday’s New York Yankees at New York Mets odds and lines, with MLB expert picks and predictions.

The New York Yankees (66-31) and New York Mets (59-37) open a 2-game Subway Series Tuesday at 7:10 p.m. ET at Citi Field. Let’s analyze Tipico Sportsbook‘s lines around the Yankees vs. Mets odds with MLB picks and predictions.

Season series: First meeting. Teams play 2 games in Yankee Stadium Aug. 22-23. The Mets took 4 of 6 games from the Yankees in 2021.

The Yankees are 2-3 in the second half and are continuing a road trip that opened with stops in Houston and Baltimore. New York owns a .913 OPS in its last 10 road games. For the season, the Yanks’ .784 OPS away from home ranks first in MLB.

The Mets dropped 2 of 3 to the San Diego Padres last weekend and are just 5-7 over their last dozen games at Citi Field.

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Yankees at Mets projected starters

LHP Jordan Montgomery vs. RHP Taijuan Walker

Montgomery (3-2, 3.24 ERA) is tabbed for his 20th start. He sports a 1.05 WHIP, 1.67 BB/9 and 7.3 K/9 in 108 1/3 IP.

  • Owns a 7.11 ERA across 3 career starts against the Mets.
  • Facing a club more adept against righties (.732 OPS, 9th MLB) than against lefties (.690 OPS, 22nd). Montgomery has held lefty bats to a .448 OPS this season.

Walker (7-2, 2.55 ERA) owns a 1.09 WHIP, 2.5 BB/9 and 7.2 K/9 through 91 2/3 IP in 16 outings.

  • Current Yankee batters own an aggregate .827 against him.
  • Has allowed 1 ER over his last 21 IP at home and has a 1.80 ERA in his last 7 starts overall.
  • Has been hampered by soreness in his knee and shoulder, so keep an eye on his status for this one.

Yankees at Mets odds and lines

Odds provided by Tipico Sportsbook; access USA TODAY Sports Scores and Sports Betting Odds hub for a full list. Lines last updated at 12:01 a.m. ET.

  • Money line: Yankees -108 (bet $100 to win $108) | Mets -112 (bet $112 to win $100)
  • Run line (RL)/Against the spread (ATS): Yankees -1.5 (+155) | Mets +1.5 (-190)
  • Over/Under (O/U): 8.5 (O: -105 | U: -120)

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Yankees at Mets picks and predictions

Prediction

Yankees 6, Mets 4

Money line

Walker’s recent success has been buoyed by generous rates around the margins (a .219 batting average on balls in play in his last 4 starts, for instance). With a lefty on the mound, the Yankees have the platoon advantage. And the Mets have registered a mere .639 OPS over their last 12 games at home.

BACK THE YANKEES (-108).

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Run line/Against the spread

TAKE THE YANKEES -1.5 (+155). Consider a partial unit unless you can get a price of +160 or better.

Over/Under

Peg the Over with a slight tug here. But with reset bullpens (both teams had off days Monday), this lean is too small to warrant action. PASS.

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New York Yankees at New York Mets odds, picks and prediction

Analyzing Sunday’s New York Yankees at New York Mets odds and lines, with MLB expert picks and predictions.

The New York Yankees (79-63) and New York Mets (71-72) cap off a three-game Subway Series Sunday with an 8:08 p.m. ET first pitch at Citi Field. Let’s analyze the lines around the Yankees vs. Mets odds with MLB picks and predictions.

RHP Clarke Schmidt is the projected starting pitcher for the Yankees. He is being called up from Triple-A Scranton for what marks his second career MLB start and his first major-league action of 2021.

The 25-year-old right-hander appeared in three games last season and allowed 5 ER over 6 1/3 IP. His 2021 season has been cut short by an elbow injury suffered in spring training.

  • Appeared in eight minor league games across four levels this season. Posted a 2.96 ERA and 1.24 WHIP over 27 1/3 IP.

RHP Carlos Carrasco is the projected starting pitcher for the Mets. He is 1-2 with a 5.88 ERA, 1.28 WHIP, 8.6 K/9 and 1.6 BB/9 through 33 2/3 IP spanning eight starts.

  • Coming off back-to-back starts against the Miami Marlins with 7 runs (4 ER) over 10 1/3 IP. Logged a 7.07 ERA over his previous three starts against the San Francisco Giants and Los Angeles Dodgers.

Yankees at Mets odds, lines, picks and prediction

MLB odds courtesy of Tipico Sportsbook; access USA TODAY Sports for a full list. Odds last updated at 3:55 p.m. ET.

  • Money line: Yankees +100 (bet $100 to win $100) | Mets -120 (bet $120 to win $100)
  • Against the spread/ATS: Yankees -1.5 (+160) | Mets +1.5 (-200)
  • Over/Under: 8.5 (O: -115 | U: -107)

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Prediction

Mets 5, Yankees 4

Money line (ML)

The Yanks went into this series having lost six straight and 10 of their previous 12 games. That slump came after winning 13 consecutive games from Aug. 14-27.

The Mets were in first place in the NL East through Aug. 6, but they have fallen off with a 23-32 second half. That second half includes one win and one loss thus far in this series. The Mets took Friday’s opener, 10-3 but lost a Saturday cliffhanger 8-7.

Schmidt represents a desperate start for the Yankees. He wasn’t going even 5 innings in the minors, so this figures to be a short-inning start leading into a bullpen game. The Yanks are 1-3 in their last four series finales and are in a fatigue-rut portion of their schedule.

BACK THE METS (-120).

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Run line/Against the spread (ATS)

PASS on the extra juice drowning out the prices on this run line.

Over/Under (O/U)

Peg both offenses as being undervalued. Both bullpens figure to be in careful-management mode with several top arms likely to remain on the shelf.

TAKE THE OVER 8.5 (-115).

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New York Yankees at New York Mets odds, picks and prediction

Analyzing Saturday’s New York Yankees at New York Mets odds and lines, with MLB expert picks and predictions.

The New York Yankees (78-63) meet the New York Mets (71-71) in the second of the three-game “Subway Series” at Citi Field. First pitch is scheduled for 7:45 p.m ET. Let’s analyze the lines around the Yankees vs. Mets odds with MLB picks and predictions.

The Mets clobbered the Yankees 10-3 in the series opener Friday highlighted by a 5-run bottom of the 3rd and Mets starting RHP Tylor Megill having 7 IP with 2 ER, 4 H, 1 BB and 10 K.

Season series: Mets lead 3-1.

RHP Corey Kluber is on the rubber for the Yankees. Kluber is 4-3 with a 3.69 ERA (61 IP, 25 ER), 1.28 WHIP, 4.1 BB/9 and 9.7 K/9 in 12 starts.

  • Last outing: No-decision with 3 2/3 IP, 2 ER, 3 BB and 5 K in the Yankees’ 8-7 home loss against the Baltimore Orioles Sunday.
  • Road splits: 3-1 with a 4.50 ERA (32 IP, 16 ER), 1.25 WHIP and 3.0 K/BB in six starts.
  • vs. Mets on the current roster (48 PA): 3.58 FIP with a .133 batting average (BA), .223 wOBA, .400 expected slugging percentage (xSLG), 31.3 K% and 86.5 mph exit velocity (EV).

RHP Taijuan Walker gets the nod for the Mets. Walker is 7-9 with a 4.15 ERA (138 2/3 IP, 64 ER), 1.19 WHIP, 3.2 BB/9 and 8.4 K/9 in 25 starts and one relief appearance.

  • Last outing: No-decision in the Mets’ 13-6 win at the Washington Nationals Sunday with 4 1/3 IP, 6 ER, 6 H, 3 BB and 6 K.
  • Walker beat the Yankees, 8-3, July 3 with 5 2/3 IP, 2 ER, 2 H, 2 BB and 5 K.
  • vs. Yankees on the current roster (98 PA): 5.52 FIP with a .256 BA, .332 wOBA, .532 xSLG, 18.4 K% and 92.2 mph EV.

Yankees at Mets odds, lines, picks and prediction

MLB odds provided by Tipico Sportsbook; access USA TODAY Sports for a full list. Odds last updated at 2:15 p.m. ET.

  • Money line: Yankees -130 (bet $130 to win $100) | Mets +105 (bet $100 to win $105)
  • Against the spread/ATS: Yankees -1.5 (+130) | Mets +1.5 (-160)
  • Over/Under: 7.5 (O: -125 | U: +100)

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Prediction

Yankees 5, Mets 4

Money line (ML)

“LEAN” to the YANKEES (-130) – for a half unit only – because there’s a significant “line freeze” in the betting market and the Yankees are an awful 2-8 over their last 10 games.

According to Pregame.com, over 80% of the cash wagered is on the Yankees, but the consensus line hasn’t budged from the opener. It’s kind of a red flag that oddsmakers haven’t moved the number in lieu of the one-sided action.

However, Kluber’s advanced pitching numbers against these Mets batters are much better than Walker’s vs. the Yankees and the bullpen matchup is effectively a wash. Also, the Yankees are 27-23 overall as road favorites and the Mets are 8-9 as home underdogs.

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Run line/Against the spread (ATS)

PASS because the Yankees -1.5 (+130) needs to be north of +150 considering their 21-29 ATS record as road favorites and the Mets’ 12-5 ATS record as home underdogs.

Over/Under (O/U)

Slight “LEAN” to the OVER 7.5 (-125) for a tiny wager because it’s both a sharp and public play hence the Over being way more expensive and the Over is 5-1-1 in the past seven Yankees-Mets contests.

However, both teams play more to the Under in their location-based O/U trends and each has a strong bullpen so I definitely don’t love this play.

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New York Yankees at New York Mets odds, picks and prediction

Analyzing Friday’s New York Yankees at New York Mets odds and lines, with MLB expert picks and predictions.

The New York Yankees (78-62) and New York Mets (70-71) swing into a three-game Subway Series Friday with a 7:10 p.m. ET first pitch at Citi Field. Let’s analyze the lines around the Yankees vs. Mets odds with MLB picks and predictions.

LHP Jordan Montgomery is the projected starting pitcher for the Yankees. He is 5-5 with a 3.47 ERA, 1.21 WHIP, 8.7 K/9, and 2.9 BB/9 through 135 IP over 25 starts.

  • Owns a second-half ERA of 1.93.
  • Has clocked a 3.39 ERA at home over the last three years but a more pedestrian 4.44 mark on the road.
  • Has held current Mets bats to a .651 aggregate OPS and .089 isolated power.

RHP Tylor Megill is the projected starting pitcher for the Mets. Megill is 2-4 with a 4.20 ERA, 1.25 WHIP, 9.9 K/9, and 2.4 BB/9 over 70 2/3 IP across 14 starts.

  • Has a 7.98 ERA and coughed up 7 home runs across 14 2/3 IP over his last three starts.

Yankees at Mets odds, lines, picks and prediction

MLB odds courtesy of Tipico Sportsbook; access USA TODAY Sports for a full list. Odds last updated at 11:19 a.m. ET.

  • Money line: Yankees -125 (bet $125 to win $100) | Mets +102 (bet $100 to win $102)
  • Against the spread/ATS: Yankees -1.5 (+135) | Mets +1.5 (-170)
  • Over/Under: 7.5 (O: -112 | U: -108)

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Prediction

Mets 5, Yankees 4

Money line (ML)

The Yankees head across town to Queens after being swept by the Toronto Blue Jays in a four-game set at Yankee Stadium. The Yanks have lost six straight and are just 2-10 with a .621 OPS since winning 13 consecutive games from Aug. 14-27.

The Mets are coming off a 4-4 road trip against the Washington Nationals and Miami Marlins and are back at Citi Field where they have won four straight. The Mets were first place in the NL East until Aug. 7 but they have fallen off with a 22-31 second half.

The Mets outscored the Yankees 20-12 while taking two of three games from them at Yankee Stadium July 3-4.

The starter matchup adds risk to the Mets side for Friday’s series opener. So does the bullpen comparison, although the Yankee relief corps has of late been an injury-riddled patchwork job. The risk is rewarded with the tag.

BACK THE METS (+102).

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Run line/Against the spread (ATS)

PASS on the extra juice drowning out the prices on this run line.

Over/Under (O/U)

Peg both offenses as being undervalued. On a low-humidity night with a pitcher’s breeze, the total feels a click too low.

TAKE THE OVER 7.5 (-112).

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